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Predictions (2024)

Prediction
Quote
Status
UK real post-tax labor income expected to grow by over 3% in 2024.
real post tax labor income is expected to grow by over 3% in 2024
1 year ago Pending
UK real post-tax labor income expected to grow by over 3% in 2024.
real post tax labor income is expected to grow by over 3% in 2024
Pending
UK inflation is projected to return to the Bank of England's 2% target by 2025.
the trend of falling inflation or disinflation is expected to continue with inflation projected to return to the bank of England's Target of 2% by 2025
1 year ago Pending
UK inflation is projected to return to the Bank of England's 2% target by 2025.
the trend of falling inflation or disinflation is expected to continue with inflation projected to return to the bank of England's Target of 2% by 2025
Pending
IMF projects UK real GDP growth of 0.5% in 2024, strengthening to 1.5% in 2025, supported by disinflation.
The IMF also projects real GDP growth of 0.5% in 2024 potentially strengthening to 1.5% in 25 as disinflation which is a fall in the rate of inflation supports real incomes
1 year ago Pending
IMF projects UK real GDP growth of 0.5% in 2024, strengthening to 1.5% in 2025, supported by disinflation.
The IMF also projects real GDP growth of 0.5% in 2024 potentially strengthening to 1.5% in 25 as disinflation which is a fall in the rate of inflation supports real incomes
Pending
Bank of England predicts UK GDP growth of 4% in Q1 2024 and 2% in Q2 2024, with continued growth throughout the rest of 2024.
The bank of England expects GDP to grow by 4% in q1 and 2% in Q2 of 2024 with further growth throughout the year
1 year ago Pending
Bank of England predicts UK GDP growth of 4% in Q1 2024 and 2% in Q2 2024, with continued growth throughout the rest of 2024.
The bank of England expects GDP to grow by 4% in q1 and 2% in Q2 of 2024 with further growth throughout the year
Pending
Industrial metals, particularly copper, could see a surge due to anticipated infrastructure spending under a potential Trump presidency.
Industrial Metals particularly copper could see a surge with anticipated infrastructure spending
1 year ago Pending
Industrial metals, particularly copper, could see a surge due to anticipated infrastructure spending under a potential Trump presidency.
Industrial Metals particularly copper could see a surge with anticipated infrastructure spending
Pending
Overall market volatility, as reflected by the VIX and MOVE indices, is expected to rise under a potential Trump presidency.
Market volatility would be expected to rise with both evx and move indices reflecting heightened uncertainty
1 year ago Pending
Overall market volatility, as reflected by the VIX and MOVE indices, is expected to rise under a potential Trump presidency.
Market volatility would be expected to rise with both evx and move indices reflecting heightened uncertainty
Pending
A potential Trump presidency may result in increased currency volatility, especially for nations vulnerable to trade tariffs.
this may also result in increased currency volatility especially for Nations vulnerable to trade tariffs
1 year ago Pending
A potential Trump presidency may result in increased currency volatility, especially for nations vulnerable to trade tariffs.
this may also result in increased currency volatility especially for Nations vulnerable to trade tariffs
Pending
The US dollar may strengthen due to expectations of higher interest rates and economic growth under a potential Trump presidency.
expectations of higher interest rates and economic growth May strengthen the US dollar
1 year ago Pending
The US dollar may strengthen due to expectations of higher interest rates and economic growth under a potential Trump presidency.
expectations of higher interest rates and economic growth May strengthen the US dollar
Pending
The MOVE index, a measure of bond market volatility, is anticipated to increase if Trump wins the election.
the move index a measure of bond Market volatility is anticipated to increase if Trump wins the election reflecting investor uncertainty in fixed income markets
1 year ago Pending
The MOVE index, a measure of bond market volatility, is anticipated to increase if Trump wins the election.
the move index a measure of bond Market volatility is anticipated to increase if Trump wins the election reflecting investor uncertainty in fixed income markets
Pending
High-yield corporate bonds may see gains with a positive economic outlook under a potential Trump presidency.
corporate bonds particularly high yield may see gains with a positive economic Outlook
1 year ago Pending
High-yield corporate bonds may see gains with a positive economic outlook under a potential Trump presidency.
corporate bonds particularly high yield may see gains with a positive economic Outlook
Pending
Treasury yields are predicted to increase due to anticipated government spending and a hawkish Federal Reserve under a potential Trump presidency.
increased government spending and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve could drive treasury yields up
1 year ago Pending
Treasury yields are predicted to increase due to anticipated government spending and a hawkish Federal Reserve under a potential Trump presidency.
increased government spending and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve could drive treasury yields up
Pending
Private prison stocks, such as GEO Group, are predicted to benefit under a potential Trump presidency.
private prison stocks like geog group could benefit
1 year ago Pending
Private prison stocks, such as GEO Group, are predicted to benefit under a potential Trump presidency.
private prison stocks like geog group could benefit
Pending
The technology sector may gain from tax cuts under a potential Trump presidency.
Technology May gain from tax cuts
1 year ago Pending
The technology sector may gain from tax cuts under a potential Trump presidency.
Technology May gain from tax cuts
Pending
Energy shares are predicted to benefit from a potential Trump presidency.
investors may be particularly keen on small caps stocks and energy shares which stand to benefit from potential Trump policies like tax cuts and Regulatory easing
1 year ago Pending
Energy shares are predicted to benefit from a potential Trump presidency.
investors may be particularly keen on small caps stocks and energy shares which stand to benefit from potential Trump policies like tax cuts and Regulatory easing
Pending
US domestic equities are expected to rally under a potential Trump presidency.
US Stocks would be expected to Rally during Trump's previous term US Stocks... experience significant gains a similar rally would be expected amongst domestic equities in anticipation of policy-driven growth
1 year ago Pending
US domestic equities are expected to rally under a potential Trump presidency.
US Stocks would be expected to Rally during Trump's previous term US Stocks... experience significant gains a similar rally would be expected amongst domestic equities in anticipation of policy-driven growth
Pending
Money market fund prices are predicted to potentially fluctuate slightly and may fall, which differentiates them from savings accounts or cash.
depending on the type of money market fund you buy the price May fluctuate slightly and may fall unlike a savings account and of course unlike cash
2 years ago Pending
Money market fund prices are predicted to potentially fluctuate slightly and may fall, which differentiates them from savings accounts or cash.
depending on the type of money market fund you buy the price May fluctuate slightly and may fall unlike a savings account and of course unlike cash
Pending
Income on money market funds is predicted to increase when a central bank raises its policy rate and decrease when it cuts its policy rate.
as a central bank raises and cuts its policy rate so the income on money market funds increases and decreases
2 years ago Pending
Income on money market funds is predicted to increase when a central bank raises its policy rate and decrease when it cuts its policy rate.
as a central bank raises and cuts its policy rate so the income on money market funds increases and decreases
Pending
Money market funds with slightly longer maturities, such as JGSA, are predicted to experience a price decrease if interest rates rise.
other funds like jgsa have a slightly longer maturity which means that their price will fall as interest rates rise
2 years ago Pending
Money market funds with slightly longer maturities, such as JGSA, are predicted to experience a price decrease if interest rates rise.
other funds like jgsa have a slightly longer maturity which means that their price will fall as interest rates rise
Pending
The author estimates a 10% chance of his single stock portfolio outperforming the broader market.
personally I estimate that my chance of beating the market is low probably around 10% so I put 10% into my single stock portfolio
1 year ago Pending
The author estimates a 10% chance of his single stock portfolio outperforming the broader market.
personally I estimate that my chance of beating the market is low probably around 10% so I put 10% into my single stock portfolio
Pending

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