All Predictions
Prediction
Quote
Status
3 years ago
Predicts that adopting a currency board or peg in Argentina will significantly reduce inflation and attract investments.
Adopting a currency board or peg will still a massively reduce inflation and attract investments that can be used to finally build Argentina into a modern, stable and prosperous economy
2 years ago
Incorrect
Predicts that adopting a currency board or peg in Argentina will significantly reduce inflation and attract investments.
Adopting a currency board or peg will still a massively reduce inflation and attract investments that can be used to finally build Argentina into a modern, stable and prosperous economy
Incorrect
Predicted that implemented CBDCs are likely to improve people's lives and will not primarily serve as a means of government control.
so that we end up with a cbdc that improves our lives rather than helping our governments to control it. Which luckily I think for many of us is really likely.
2 years ago
Incorrect
Predicted that implemented CBDCs are likely to improve people's lives and will not primarily serve as a means of government control.
so that we end up with a cbdc that improves our lives rather than helping our governments to control it. Which luckily I think for many of us is really likely.
Incorrect
Predicted that society will transition to a cashless system where physical currency is replaced by digital software.
The ultimate objective is to move us to a cashless society so you will no longer have that hard asset of that $20 bill or a $10 bill. Your money will essentially be software.
2 years ago
Incorrect
Predicted that society will transition to a cashless system where physical currency is replaced by digital software.
The ultimate objective is to move us to a cashless society so you will no longer have that hard asset of that $20 bill or a $10 bill. Your money will essentially be software.
Incorrect
Predicted that China's population will shrink.
However, there are only 1.4 billion people in China nd its population is set to shrink in the future.
2 years ago
Correct
Predicted that China's population will shrink.
However, there are only 1.4 billion people in China nd its population is set to shrink in the future.
Correct
The speaker agreed with Peter Zeihan that China's increased authoritarianism will prevent it from adequately responding to future crises.
Mr. Zeihan is right that China's increase authoritarianism will prevent it from responding adequately to all of these crises
2 years ago
Correct
The speaker agreed with Peter Zeihan that China's increased authoritarianism will prevent it from adequately responding to future crises.
Mr. Zeihan is right that China's increase authoritarianism will prevent it from responding adequately to all of these crises
Correct
The speaker predicted that the CCP will likely prevent China's financial system from collapsing and will limit household losses.
the CCP will likely keep the financial system from collapsing, limiting the losses of households
2 years ago
Correct
The speaker predicted that the CCP will likely prevent China's financial system from collapsing and will limit household losses.
the CCP will likely keep the financial system from collapsing, limiting the losses of households
Correct
Peter Zeihan predicted that the US is likely to stop policing global oceans after securing energy independence.
he predicts that having secured energy independence, the US is likely to stop policing the global oceans.
2 years ago
Incorrect
Peter Zeihan predicted that the US is likely to stop policing global oceans after securing energy independence.
he predicts that having secured energy independence, the US is likely to stop policing the global oceans.
Incorrect
The UN predicted that China's population will shrink by 8% by 2050.
the UN is even more optimistic as it lives. China's population will only shrink by 8% up to 2050.
2 years ago
Correct
The UN predicted that China's population will shrink by 8% by 2050.
the UN is even more optimistic as it lives. China's population will only shrink by 8% up to 2050.
Correct
The Economist's graph indicated that China's working-age population will likely fall rapidly.
China's a working age population has indeed already peaked and will likely fall rapidly.
2 years ago
Correct
The Economist's graph indicated that China's working-age population will likely fall rapidly.
China's a working age population has indeed already peaked and will likely fall rapidly.
Correct
Predicts that dollarization in Argentina will result in lower economic growth and more severe economic crises.
the evidence seems to suggest that dollarization...is bad for economic growth and tends to make economic crises worse.
2 years ago
Pending
Predicts that dollarization in Argentina will result in lower economic growth and more severe economic crises.
the evidence seems to suggest that dollarization...is bad for economic growth and tends to make economic crises worse.
Pending
Predicts that dollarization in Argentina will likely eliminate its high inflation.
as the experience by Italy, Greece, El Salvador and Ecuador has shown us, it will probably work to eliminate inflation
2 years ago
Pending
Predicts that dollarization in Argentina will likely eliminate its high inflation.
as the experience by Italy, Greece, El Salvador and Ecuador has shown us, it will probably work to eliminate inflation
Pending
Predicted that with the adoption of CBDCs, governments will track all purchases and impose penalties for undesirable consumer behaviors.
You buy a stick of gum. The government will know, you buy a new car, the government will know, you bought the wrong car, you didn't buy an EV. Now you're going to get penalized.
2 years ago
Pending
Predicted that with the adoption of CBDCs, governments will track all purchases and impose penalties for undesirable consumer behaviors.
You buy a stick of gum. The government will know, you buy a new car, the government will know, you bought the wrong car, you didn't buy an EV. Now you're going to get penalized.
Pending
Predicted that China's investment-led growth model will not be radically reformed, leading to continued unsustainable growth and most likely a Japan-style stagnation, making it difficult for the Chinese economy to catch up to the United States in the next few decades.
And this is why I think that it's likely that the investment led growth model will not be radically reformed and therefore the unsustainable growth China has now will continue until it stops naturally either in the form of an economic collapse as it did in the United States, or in the form of several lost decades as it did in Japan. And given that China's financial system is state controlled and therefore it cannot collapse, as the banks did in the United States, most economists I follow now believe that this stagnation scenario is the most likely, which means that the Chinese economy will have a difficult time catching up to the United States in the next few decades.
2 years ago
Pending
Predicted that China's investment-led growth model will not be radically reformed, leading to continued unsustainable growth and most likely a Japan-style stagnation, making it difficult for the Chinese economy to catch up to the United States in the next few decades.
And this is why I think that it's likely that the investment led growth model will not be radically reformed and therefore the unsustainable growth China has now will continue until it stops naturally either in the form of an economic collapse as it did in the United States, or in the form of several lost decades as it did in Japan. And given that China's financial system is state controlled and therefore it cannot collapse, as the banks did in the United States, most economists I follow now believe that this stagnation scenario is the most likely, which means that the Chinese economy will have a difficult time catching up to the United States in the next few decades.
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted that international trade will once again be vulnerable to piracy after the US stops policing global oceans.
Which means that international trade will once again be vulnerable to piracy.
2 years ago
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted that international trade will once again be vulnerable to piracy after the US stops policing global oceans.
Which means that international trade will once again be vulnerable to piracy.
Pending
Martin Wolf argued that the fall in China's working-age population for the next ten years can be fully compensated.
Martin Wolf has argued that the fall in China's working age population for the next ten years... can actually be fully compensated
2 years ago
Pending
Martin Wolf argued that the fall in China's working-age population for the next ten years can be fully compensated.
Martin Wolf has argued that the fall in China's working age population for the next ten years... can actually be fully compensated
Pending
The Lancet estimated that China's population will halve by 2100.
The Lancet... which estimates that China's population will only have by 2100
2 years ago
Pending
The Lancet estimated that China's population will halve by 2100.
The Lancet... which estimates that China's population will only have by 2100
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted the end of China as an economic entity within a decade.
and as an entity and an economic entity within a decade.
2 years ago
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted the end of China as an economic entity within a decade.
and as an entity and an economic entity within a decade.
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted the end of China as a political entity within a decade or two.
with his wild prediction that we are looking at the end of China s a political entity within a decade or two
2 years ago
Pending
Peter Zeihan predicted the end of China as a political entity within a decade or two.
with his wild prediction that we are looking at the end of China s a political entity within a decade or two
Pending
Prediction Statistics by Year
Year
Total
Correct
Wrong
Pending
Unrated
Accuracy
2023
Total
18
Correct
5
Wrong
4
Pending
9
Unrated
0
Accuracy
55.6%
2023
18
5
4
9
0
55.6%
Recent Videos
Video Title
Predictions
Published
Status
Argentina's Radical Plan to End Inflation, Explained
2 years ago
•
3
•
A
Argentina's Radical Plan to End Inflation, Explained
3
2 years ago
Analyzed
Why Central Banks Are Launching Digital Currencies
2 years ago
•
3
•
A
Why Central Banks Are Launching Digital Currencies
3
2 years ago
Analyzed
Economist explains why China's growth miracle is failing
2 years ago
•
2
•
A
Economist explains why China's growth miracle is failing
2
2 years ago
Analyzed
Economist Fact-Checks Zeihan's China Collapse Story
2 years ago
•
10
•
A
Economist Fact-Checks Zeihan's China Collapse Story
10
2 years ago
Analyzed
The 5 megatrends that will dominate 2026
3 weeks ago
•
0
•
P
The 5 megatrends that will dominate 2026
0
3 weeks ago
Pending
How scientists radically reduced violence in America (no gun ban)
1 month ago
•
0
•
P
How scientists radically reduced violence in America (no gun ban)
0
1 month ago
Pending
How China checkmated Western economies
1 month ago
•
0
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P
How China checkmated Western economies
0
1 month ago
Pending
Why it’s so difficult to get a job right now (it's not A.I.)
1 month ago
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0
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P
Why it’s so difficult to get a job right now (it's not A.I.)
0
1 month ago
Pending
Economist reacts to podcast guests bashing economic science
1 month ago
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0
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P
Economist reacts to podcast guests bashing economic science
0
1 month ago
Pending
Why humanity will shrink far sooner than we thought
2 months ago
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0
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P
Why humanity will shrink far sooner than we thought
0
2 months ago
Pending
Why giant monopolies are eating our economies
2 months ago
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0
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P
Why giant monopolies are eating our economies
0
2 months ago
Pending
Why Russia's war economy is stronger than you think
2 months ago
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0
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P
Why Russia's war economy is stronger than you think
0
2 months ago
Pending
Why Gen-Z's relationship crisis is getting worse
3 months ago
•
0
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P
Why Gen-Z's relationship crisis is getting worse
0
3 months ago
Pending
The economic miracle that killed millions
3 months ago
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0
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P
The economic miracle that killed millions
0
3 months ago
Pending
Economist fact-checks Gary’s Economics
4 months ago
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0
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P
Economist fact-checks Gary’s Economics
0
4 months ago
Pending
Economist reacts to Tiktoks about the economy
5 months ago
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0
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P
Economist reacts to Tiktoks about the economy
0
5 months ago
Pending
Trump's trade war - 6 months later
5 months ago
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0
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P
Trump's trade war - 6 months later
0
5 months ago
Pending
China’s increasingly bizarre economy
6 months ago
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0
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P
China’s increasingly bizarre economy
0
6 months ago
Pending
What rapid ageing will do to the global economy
6 months ago
•
0
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P
What rapid ageing will do to the global economy
0
6 months ago
Pending
Why gen-Z men are turning far right and women far left
7 months ago
•
0
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P
Why gen-Z men are turning far right and women far left
0
7 months ago
Pending
What the new global economic order will look like
7 months ago
•
0
•
P
What the new global economic order will look like
0
7 months ago
Pending
Why China will not win the trade war (big picture)
8 months ago
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0
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P
Why China will not win the trade war (big picture)
0
8 months ago
Pending
I was wrong about Trump's tariff masterplan
8 months ago
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0
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P
I was wrong about Trump's tariff masterplan
0
8 months ago
Pending
Is Europe becoming too corrupt & undemocratic?
9 months ago
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0
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P
Is Europe becoming too corrupt & undemocratic?
0
9 months ago
Pending
Reciprocal Tariffs, everything you need to know!
9 months ago
•
0
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P
Reciprocal Tariffs, everything you need to know!
0
9 months ago
Pending
Why Trump's tariff chaos actually makes sense (big picture)
9 months ago
•
0
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P
Why Trump's tariff chaos actually makes sense (big picture)
0
9 months ago
Pending
Why Europe will be stronger without America
9 months ago
•
0
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P
Why Europe will be stronger without America
0
9 months ago
Pending
The real reason Argentina’s economy is such a mess
10 months ago
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0
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P
The real reason Argentina’s economy is such a mess
0
10 months ago
Pending
Why central banks are increasingly buying gold and Bitcoin
10 months ago
•
0
•
P
Why central banks are increasingly buying gold and Bitcoin
0
10 months ago
Pending
If Spain is the world’s best economy, why are they so unhappy?
10 months ago
•
0
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P
If Spain is the world’s best economy, why are they so unhappy?
0
10 months ago
Pending
Economist explains the A.I. bubble
11 months ago
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0
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P
Economist explains the A.I. bubble
0
11 months ago
Pending
Is the U.S turning into an oligarchy?
11 months ago
•
0
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P
Is the U.S turning into an oligarchy?
0
11 months ago
Pending
Economists dropped $10M in rural Africa. It changed economic science forever.
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Economists dropped $10M in rural Africa. It changed economic science forever.
0
1 year ago
Pending
The world in 2025 - 5 key trends to watch out for
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
The world in 2025 - 5 key trends to watch out for
0
1 year ago
Pending
How much longer can Israel keep fighting?
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
How much longer can Israel keep fighting?
0
1 year ago
Pending
Is this radical economic idea ruining Germany?
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Is this radical economic idea ruining Germany?
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why Germany’s economy is much stronger than you think
1 year ago
•
0
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P
Why Germany’s economy is much stronger than you think
0
1 year ago
Pending
What Trump will do to the global economy
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
What Trump will do to the global economy
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why solar will soon dominate & what that means for the world
1 year ago
•
0
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P
Why solar will soon dominate & what that means for the world
0
1 year ago
Pending
Italy’s comeback, Germany’s decline, China's massive stimulus & more
1 year ago
•
0
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P
Italy’s comeback, Germany’s decline, China's massive stimulus & more
0
1 year ago
Pending
Economist explains why Europeans are getting poorer… and happier
1 year ago
•
0
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P
Economist explains why Europeans are getting poorer… and happier
0
1 year ago
Pending
Ukraine invades, Italy tricks the rich, CEO's China warning, Bangladesh's revolution & more
1 year ago
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0
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P
Ukraine invades, Italy tricks the rich, CEO's China warning, Bangladesh's revolution & more
0
1 year ago
Pending
Turkey's comeback, Russia's overheating economy & more
1 year ago
•
0
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P
Turkey's comeback, Russia's overheating economy & more
0
1 year ago
Pending
I interviewed the ECB's chief economist
1 year ago
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0
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P
I interviewed the ECB's chief economist
0
1 year ago
Pending
Economist fact-checks Galloway's doomer take on America's young
1 year ago
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0
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P
Economist fact-checks Galloway's doomer take on America's young
0
1 year ago
Pending
Shocking democracy wins, the baby crisis, China's export threat & more
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Shocking democracy wins, the baby crisis, China's export threat & more
0
1 year ago
Pending
Economist explains why India can never grow like China
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Economist explains why India can never grow like China
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why the West rejects a new wave of cheap Chinese goods
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Why the West rejects a new wave of cheap Chinese goods
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why the US won't cut rates... yet
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Why the US won't cut rates... yet
0
1 year ago
Pending
Economist explains why you can't afford a house anymore
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Economist explains why you can't afford a house anymore
0
1 year ago
Pending
What a Deglobalized Economy Will Look Like
1 year ago
•
0
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P
What a Deglobalized Economy Will Look Like
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why Americans don't believe in their "booming" economy
1 year ago
•
0
•
P
Why Americans don't believe in their "booming" economy
0
1 year ago
Pending
Why Inflation is Coming Down So Fast
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Why Inflation is Coming Down So Fast
0
2 years ago
Pending
Interest Rates Explained #inflation #interestrates #economics
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Interest Rates Explained #inflation #interestrates #economics
0
2 years ago
Pending
Is Germany The Sick Man of Europe?
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Is Germany The Sick Man of Europe?
0
2 years ago
Pending
Why the Rich World is Dying and How to Save It
2 years ago
•
0
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P
Why the Rich World is Dying and How to Save It
0
2 years ago
Pending
The Problem With Britain's Economy
2 years ago
•
0
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P
The Problem With Britain's Economy
0
2 years ago
Pending
How China Hides Trillions From America
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
How China Hides Trillions From America
0
2 years ago
Pending
Did Austerity Ruin Britain's Economy? | ft. Dr. Jo Michell
2 years ago
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0
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P
Did Austerity Ruin Britain's Economy? | ft. Dr. Jo Michell
0
2 years ago
Pending
Did Sanctions Just Break Russia After All?
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Did Sanctions Just Break Russia After All?
0
2 years ago
Pending
Economist Fact-Checks Johnny Harris
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Economist Fact-Checks Johnny Harris
0
2 years ago
Pending
Tracking Russia’s Economy with Alternative Data | Hanna Sakhno
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Tracking Russia’s Economy with Alternative Data | Hanna Sakhno
0
2 years ago
Pending
Turkey's Economy Cannot Hold Out Much Longer
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Turkey's Economy Cannot Hold Out Much Longer
0
2 years ago
Pending
Why Chinese Cars Are Flooding The World
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Why Chinese Cars Are Flooding The World
0
2 years ago
Pending
The Rise & Fall of Europe's Most Notorious Bank
2 years ago
•
0
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P
The Rise & Fall of Europe's Most Notorious Bank
0
2 years ago
Pending
Italy's Debt is NOT The Problem
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Italy's Debt is NOT The Problem
0
2 years ago
Pending
Egypt's Currency Crisis #economics #economiccrisis
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
Egypt's Currency Crisis #economics #economiccrisis
0
2 years ago
Pending
South Africa's State of Disaster #economics #economiccrisis
2 years ago
•
0
•
P
South Africa's State of Disaster #economics #economiccrisis
0
2 years ago
Pending
Pakistan's Unravelling Economy #economics #economiccrisis
2 years ago
•
0
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P
Pakistan's Unravelling Economy #economics #economiccrisis
0
2 years ago
Pending
Sanctions, 1 Year Later
2 years ago
•
0
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P
Sanctions, 1 Year Later
0
2 years ago
Pending
China's Threat to The U.S. Dollar Is Way Overblown
2 years ago
•
0
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P
China's Threat to The U.S. Dollar Is Way Overblown
0
2 years ago
Pending
India's Plan to End China's Financial Dominance
2 years ago
•
0
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P
India's Plan to End China's Financial Dominance
0
2 years ago
Pending
How Erdogan "Saved" Turkey's Economy
3 years ago
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0
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P
How Erdogan "Saved" Turkey's Economy
0
3 years ago
Pending
Economist Reviews 2022
3 years ago
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0
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P
Economist Reviews 2022
0
3 years ago
Pending
Crypto's Great Financial Crisis: Everything You Need To Know (So Far)
3 years ago
•
0
•
P
Crypto's Great Financial Crisis: Everything You Need To Know (So Far)
0
3 years ago
Pending
This Theory Predicts The End of Crypto
3 years ago
•
0
•
P
This Theory Predicts The End of Crypto
0
3 years ago
Pending
The Offshore Global Dollar System | Jeff Snider
3 years ago
•
0
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P
The Offshore Global Dollar System | Jeff Snider
0
3 years ago
Pending
Economist Fact-Checks Ray Dalio's China's inevitable rise story
3 years ago
•
0
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P
Economist Fact-Checks Ray Dalio's China's inevitable rise story
0
3 years ago
Pending
China's Economy is 60% Smaller Than We Thought
3 years ago
•
0
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P
China's Economy is 60% Smaller Than We Thought
0
3 years ago
Pending
Europe's Upcoming Recession
3 years ago
•
0
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P
Europe's Upcoming Recession
0
3 years ago
Pending
Money & Macro Channel Trailer
3 years ago
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0
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P
Money & Macro Channel Trailer
0
3 years ago
Pending
Nonsense! China's Economy Will NOT Collapse
3 years ago
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0
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P
Nonsense! China's Economy Will NOT Collapse
0
3 years ago
Pending
The Fed's Great Inflation Mystery
3 years ago
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0
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P
The Fed's Great Inflation Mystery
0
3 years ago
Pending
Money & Macro Live Stream
3 years ago
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0
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P
Money & Macro Live Stream
0
3 years ago
Pending
Who Really Killed Sri Lanka’s Economy?
3 years ago
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0
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P
Who Really Killed Sri Lanka’s Economy?
0
3 years ago
Pending
Do Central Banks Really Control Inflation?
3 years ago
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0
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P
Do Central Banks Really Control Inflation?
0
3 years ago
Pending
Why Russia Is Making More Money Than Ever
3 years ago
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0
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P
Why Russia Is Making More Money Than Ever
0
3 years ago
Pending
Why Türkiye's Lira is Broken (It’s Not Interest Rates) (ft. @IntoEurope)
3 years ago
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0
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P
Why Türkiye's Lira is Broken (It’s Not Interest Rates) (ft. @IntoEurope)
0
3 years ago
Pending
Why Afghanistan is Dying
3 years ago
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0
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P
Why Afghanistan is Dying
0
3 years ago
Pending
Who is Actually Winning The Economic War?
3 years ago
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0
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P
Who is Actually Winning The Economic War?
0
3 years ago
Pending
The Spectacular Rise & Fall of Russia's Economy
3 years ago
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0
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P
The Spectacular Rise & Fall of Russia's Economy
0
3 years ago
Pending
How The West Broke Russia's Economy
3 years ago
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0
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P
How The West Broke Russia's Economy
0
3 years ago
Pending
Quantitative Easing is Not the Reason for High Inflation
3 years ago
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0
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P
Quantitative Easing is Not the Reason for High Inflation
0
3 years ago
Pending
What is Actually Causing Inflation? A Deep Dive (ft. @unlearningeconomics9021)
3 years ago
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0
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What is Actually Causing Inflation? A Deep Dive (ft. @unlearningeconomics9021)
0
3 years ago
Pending
How Russia's Economy Shields Itself From Western Sanctions
3 years ago
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0
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P
How Russia's Economy Shields Itself From Western Sanctions
0
3 years ago
Pending
The Controversial Rise of Central Banking
4 years ago
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0
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The Controversial Rise of Central Banking
0
4 years ago
Pending
Stagflation Coming? MMT Good? QE Bad? Best Econ Books? | Q&A Summary
4 years ago
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0
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P
Stagflation Coming? MMT Good? QE Bad? Best Econ Books? | Q&A Summary
0
4 years ago
Pending
The Economics of China's Evergrande Crisis
4 years ago
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0
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P
The Economics of China's Evergrande Crisis
0
4 years ago
Pending
The Hidden History of Money in Medieval Europe
4 years ago
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0
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The Hidden History of Money in Medieval Europe
0
4 years ago
Pending
Economics Explained's Hyperinflation Nonsense
4 years ago
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0
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Economics Explained's Hyperinflation Nonsense
0
4 years ago
Pending
Best Country for the Middle Class (ft. @Econoboi)
4 years ago
•
0
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P
Best Country for the Middle Class (ft. @Econoboi)
0
4 years ago
Pending
The Dutch Economy is NOT the Most Unequal
4 years ago
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0
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P
The Dutch Economy is NOT the Most Unequal
0
4 years ago
Pending
Lebanon's Economy: how to Fix its Currency Crisis
4 years ago
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0
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P
Lebanon's Economy: how to Fix its Currency Crisis
0
4 years ago
Pending
The Economy of Japan: how a Superpower Fell from Grace in Four Decades
4 years ago
•
0
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P
The Economy of Japan: how a Superpower Fell from Grace in Four Decades
0
4 years ago
Pending
Denmark's Economy: is the Krone in Trouble?
4 years ago
•
0
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P
Denmark's Economy: is the Krone in Trouble?
0
4 years ago
Pending
How this Algorithm Predicted the Bitcoin 2021 Bubble
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