"Outcome number two, the war keeps going. Hermuse stays closed for another 3 to 4 weeks and that is roughly the point where economists say things start to break and they're very hard to reverse and they take a very long time to rebuild. We could see bond markets in the UK and Europe start to crack. Foreign holders of US treasuries are going to have to start selling their treasuries to pay for their energy and food. And that makes US treasury yields or interest rates go up. So the stock market finally catches up to what the bond market's been saying. Credit spreads blow out, corporate earnings get slashed, and you get a credit crisis that some people compare to 2008, right? job layoffs and all assets go down. There's very little places to go to protect yourself financially except maybe other than things like cash in the short term and gold in the midterm. But it's really hard to say. That's outcome number two."
By Andrei Jikh | March 31, 2026 | Incorrect
From video
The End Of Pax Americana 00:21:33 - 00:22:31
Interpreted Prediction
If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for 3-4 more weeks, bond markets in the UK and Europe will crack, leading foreign holders to sell US treasuries, increasing US yields. This will cause the stock market to fall, credit spreads to blow out, corporate earnings to be slashed, and a 2008-like credit crisis with job layoffs and falling asset values.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-29
While the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed throughout April 2026, the predicted 2008-like credit crisis and systemic collapse of European and UK bond markets did not occur; instead, global markets showed resilience and reached record highs by late April.

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