"The risk to the downsides on employment. Um and that's why we it's an important week this week with regards to the NFP numbers. And if unemployment rose again in December, this is pretty interesting because this could potentially trigger what is known as the SAM rule. And it's another benchmark that could potentially be used to define whether we're in a recession or not. Uh so that's something that could potentially happen. Okay. And um this is potentially why some uh market analysts think that we're likely to get a surprise cut, including Zack and Mark Xandandy over there. Okay. Um, meanwhile, if we have a look at the Fed watch tool, I think we've got it's saying a 62% chance of a cut in Q1. Yeah. So, that's what we could see."
By Coin Bureau | January 5, 2026 | Pending
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Interpreted Prediction
There is a 62% chance of a Fed rate cut in Q1 2026, potentially triggered by rising unemployment in December activating the SAM rule.

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