ilmscore | Inflation Predictions
61.1%
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 241
Correct: 11
Incorrect: 7
Pending: 223
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Jerome Powell predicts that inflation could return if monetary policy is loosened too soon or too much.
"If we loosen policy too soon or too much, we could see inflation come back."
Jul 27, 2025
Pending
Inflation has passed the point of no return and is expected to reaccelerate.
"I believe that we've already passed the point of no return. I think that inflation will reacelerate."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
Inflation will reach 3-4% if its current upward trend continues.
"if in if this continues at this rate, we'll be at 3 to 4% inflation, which again is not what the Fed..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
The author predicts the June 2025 CPI inflation rate will increase.
"The reason I believe inflation is going to go up is because again the way that um CPI is calculated,..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
If June 2025 CPI shows a 0.2-0.3% increase, core CPI is predicted to jump back to over 3%.
"If we see a 0 2 or a.3% increase, we could possibly see inflation jump back up, core core inflation ..."
Jul 14, 2025
Pending
Inflation is predicted to rise from 2.4% to 2.7-2.8% following the upcoming CPI report.
"our inflation is likely to rise. Based off of my understanding, the overall inflation expectation is..."
Jul 11, 2025
Pending
US inflation rate is predicted to rise from 2.4% to between 2.7% and 2.8% following the July 15th CPI report, primarily due to the 12-month calculation methodology removing a zero-inflation June from the previous year.
"When we take away June, and there was no inflation last year in June, and we add anything, our infla..."
Jul 11, 2025
Pending
The 50% copper tariff will eventually lead to inflation being passed down to consumers over a period of months.
"And that means that that form of inflation, regardless if you refuse to acknowledge it, it will take..."
Jul 10, 2025
Pending
The recently passed Trump tax stimulus bill could cause inflation to persist.
"There's some stuff that can make inflation kind of hang around a little bit."
Jul 4, 2025
Pending
Inflation is not predicted to experience another major spike similar to the 1970s.
"I've been very clear. I don't think we're going to get another major spike like this."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
US inflation is predicted to continue to increase, especially if tariffs are reported and crude oil prices uptick.
"You should not be surprised if inflation continues to go higher."
Jul 1, 2025
Pending
Future inflation reports are expected to show an increase due to the delayed impact of tariffs and rising energy/oil prices.
"And this has not even taken into consideration the tariffs that have not really even been factored i..."
Jun 25, 2025
Pending
Energy-related inflation will uptick in 3-5 months due to current geopolitical events (Strait of Hormuz closure).
"later down the road, 3 to five months from now, why are we seeing inflation begin to uptick on the e..."
Jun 23, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve estimates a $10/barrel increase in crude oil could lead to a 0.2% rise in inflation.
"The Federal Reserve estimates that every $10 a barrel jump in crude oil prices could result in.2% mo..."
Jun 23, 2025
Pending
Prices for goods, services, and assets will continue to rise due to government debt and money printing, regardless of interest rate policy.
"But no matter which path we choose, prices are going up."
Jun 21, 2025
Pending
Tariffs are predicted to be inflationary.
"I thought tariffs weren't inflationary. Surprise, surprise. Again, they most likely will be."
Jun 21, 2025
Pending
More inflation is expected to impact prices this summer due to tariffs.
"we expect to see more of them over the coming months. Meaning, we're already starting to see some pr..."
Jun 20, 2025
Pending
Gas prices are highly likely to increase, which will most likely lead to a rise in the inflation rate, as crude oil prices per barrel increase.
"there's a huge probability that gas prices are bound to go up which will most likely contribute to o..."
Jun 16, 2025
Pending
Inflation is expected to remain high in the foreseeable future.
"I see a period where inflation will continue to remain high for the foreseeable future."
Jun 14, 2025
Incorrect
Any rise in inflation caused by tariffs will be relatively short-lived.
"if there is a rise in inflation due to tariffs, I think it will be relatively shortlived"
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
The author does not expect a 1970s-style inflationary wave.
"I don't think we're going to see the exact same, you know, inflationary wave. It's not my base case ..."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
The disinflationary trend is expected to continue.
"the disinflationary trend continues."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
If crude oil price increases continue, the energy sector in CPI will see a huge jump, causing overall inflation to gap up.
"So, if this continues and if this holds, then yes, the energy sector in that CPI section will most l..."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
Inflation is predicted to increase if oil and energy prices rise.
"as oil and energy prices begin to go up, expect inflation to begin to follow as well."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
If current crude oil price increases continue and hold, the energy sector's contribution to CPI will significantly jump, leading to an overall increase in inflation.
"So, if this continues and if this holds, then yes, the energy sector in that CPI section will most l..."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
If energy and oil prices increase, inflation will skyrocket.
"When energy prices begin to go up, right, because oil prices are going up, then our inflation will b..."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
Increased tariffs will lead to higher inflation, visible in economic data during June 2025.
"We'll start seeing more tariff effects on the economy through inflation this month."
Jun 2, 2025
Pending
If the Federal Reserve prints money to save the US government, inflation is predicted to rise significantly, similar to 2020 levels.
"Will the Federal Reserve have to step in and possibly print money out of thin air to save the US gov..."
May 23, 2025
Pending
Inflation predicted to start rising in June 2025.
"I think next month, we'll begin to see inflation begin to uptick."
May 19, 2025
Pending
More inflation is expected later in 2025.
"So, you know, we're expecting to see more inflation um later this year."
May 19, 2025
Pending
The cost of goods will increase due to tariffs.
"the cost of goods is going to go up because there's all these crazy tariffs on the goods"
May 16, 2025
Pending
Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is expected to increase if producer inflation (PPI) rises due to tariffs.
"if we do see inflation begin to pick up for producers because of these tariffs and they're beginning..."
May 15, 2025
Pending
The inflation rate is expected to rise for May and June 2025, primarily due to base effects from flat inflation months in May and June of the previous year.
"for next month and the month after expect inflation to rise because last year we had two flat months..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
If there's any change in inflation data for May and June 2025 (compared to no change in May and June 2024), inflation will most likely rise.
"So this year if there's any change that will most likely mean that inflation will begin to go up."
May 13, 2025
Pending
The inflation rate is expected to rise in May and June 2025, primarily because the calculation will compare against two flat months from the previous year.
"for next month and the month after expect inflation to rise because last year we had two flat months..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
If inflation data for May and June 2025 shows any change compared to May and June 2024, inflation is predicted to increase in 2025.
"May and June of last year of 2024 there was no change. So this year if there's any change that will ..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
Inflation is predicted to experience an increase due to the implementation of tariffs.
"I wouldn't be that surprised to see a bump up in inflation just as an artifact of of seeing those uh..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
Inflation is widely expected to increase due to tariffs.
"I think everybody believes that inflation is going to come as a result of tariffs."
May 12, 2025
Pending
If the May 2025 CPI data shows any increase compared to May 2024 (which had no increase), the report will indicate rising inflation.
"if you look at the actual report, you can see that in the month of May for 2024, there was no increa..."
May 12, 2025
Pending
Inflation is predicted to rise when tariffs take effect, as costs are passed down to consumers.
"And what do you think is going to happen to our inflation rate when tariffs begin to take effect? Th..."
May 7, 2025
Pending
A sharp decline in inflation is expected in the coming months, influenced by various factors.
"you have a recipe for a sharp decline in inflation in the coming months"
May 4, 2025
Pending
The worst-case inflation scenario projects a 1% rise in the PCE index over the next year, with current levels around 2%.
"the worst case scenario on the inflation side would be a personal consumption expenditures index or ..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
A continued decline in oil prices, due to OPEC's production increase, will make the inflation outlook less severe than anticipated.
"sprinkle in continued decline in oil prices due to OPEC's upcoming production increase and all of a ..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
The next inflation data print is predicted to be a significantly high one, exceeding expectations.
"there's a non-negligible chance that the next inflation print is just a big one, right? and and it j..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
Goods deflation is possible in the short term due to increased inventories and decreased consumption.
"this means we could actually see goods deflation in the short term"
May 4, 2025
Pending
Increased supply and decreased demand could lead to a drop in goods inflation in the short term.
"the effect of this increase in supply and decrease in demand could be a drop in goods inflation in t..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
Services inflation may also decline due to reduced consumption and immigration crackdowns.
"services inflation could also fall because of the reduction in consumption as well as the crackdown ..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
Tariffs are predicted to cause upward pressure on prices, leading to increased inflation as 2025 progresses.
"Historically, tariffs have led to inflation and I don't really see a reason why what they wouldn't d..."
May 2, 2025
Pending
Increased tariffs will lead to a rise in inflation, as reflected in monthly CPI reports.
"It will later get tracked as inflation as tariffs begin to go up. Then that gets passed down to the ..."
Apr 29, 2025
Pending
Increased tariffs will lead to higher consumer prices, which will subsequently be reflected as an increase in inflation via monthly CPI reports.
"It will later get tracked as inflation as tariffs begin to go up. Then that gets passed down to the ..."
Apr 29, 2025
Pending