ilmscore | US vs China: The Economic Cold War Is Heating Up in 2025

US vs China: The Economic Cold War Is Heating Up in 2025

Published: 2025-03-18
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US, under a potential second Trump administration, may attempt to isolate China by leveraging a rapport with Russia, similar to Henry Kissinger's strategy in the 1970s.
"we think the US may be about to attempt a reverse Kissinger maneuver if Trump can patch over things in Ukraine and bring an end to the war there then he'll be free to leverage his rapport with President Putin to try and peel Russia away from China isolating the latter just as former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger did with China following the sinos Soviet split of the 1970s"
US-China Relations
Pending
China's dominance in critical mineral production and processing will continue to provide Beijing with significant leverage due to the difficulty for the US to establish alternative supplies.
"China controls around 60% of Global Production and 85% of processing capacity for critical minerals which the world economic Forum has described as the quote oil of the 21st century and unlike how China was able to Simply buy soy from Brazil instead of the US it's not easy for the US to establish alternative supplies of critical minerals"
Critical Minerals Supply
Pending
China is unlikely to respond to trade war escalations with physical confrontation.
"kinetic War seems to be the last thing China wants and there's no reason to think that Beijing will respond to trade War escalation with physical confrontation"
US-China Trade War
Pending
The US has shifted its rationale for imposing tariffs on China multiple times, moving from trade fairness to semiconductors and AI, and now to an unspecified reason ('fenel').
"the US is now on its third rationale for waging a trade war with China first it was about trade fairness then it was about semiconductors and Ai and now what was it again ah yes fenel"
US Tariffs
Pending
De-escalation of tensions between the US and China appears unlikely in the near future.
"deescalation seems unlikely anytime soon"
US-China Relations
Pending