Why Stablecoins Might Be America’s $800B Bailout Plan
Published: 2025-04-05
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-05
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
USDT is growing fastest on Toncoin and Aptos, and is expected to grow on Ethereum's layer 2s soon.
"USDT appears to be growing the fastest on Toncoin, Aptos and soon on Ethereum's layer 2s"
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USDC is growing fastest on Hyperliquid, Solana, Sui, Aptos, Base, and Sonic.
"USDC seems to be growing the most on Hyperliquid, as well as Solana, Sui, Aptos, Base, and Sonic"
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XRP, with a market cap over $100 billion and millions of holders, could see tens of billions in stablecoins minted using it as collateral.
"XRP has a market cap well over $100 billion with millions of holders who would prefer to borrow against their XRP rather than to sell it"
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USDT supply could triple from $100 billion to $300 billion.
"USDT supply could triple from its starting point of 100 billion"
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USDC supply is expected to grow 6x to 10x.
"foreshadows a 6 to 10 times increase in USDC supply"
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USDC supply is projected to reach $240 billion to $400 billion.
"this would translate to a USDC supply between 240 to 400 billion"
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5-10% of PayPal's $1.7 trillion in payments being made with stablecoins could mint tens to hundreds of billions of dollars.
"if just 5 to 10% of PayPal's payments were made using stable coins it would translate to tens or hundreds of billions of dollars being minted"
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USDT is experiencing rapid growth on Toncoin and Aptos, with anticipated growth on Ethereum layer 2s.
"USDT appears to be growing the fastest on Toncoin, Aptos and soon on Ethereum's layer 2s"
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USDC's growth is strongest on Hyperliquid, Solana, Sui, Aptos, Base, and Sonic.
"USDC seems to be growing the most on Hyperliquid, as well as Solana, Sui, Aptos, Base, and Sonic"
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The growth of Ripple's (RLUSD) stablecoin and its impact on XRP's ecosystem is currently an underpriced bullish factor in crypto.
"the growth of RLUSD and its impact on XRP its ecosystem and the broader crypto market is one of the most underpriced factors in crypto right now"
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Tens of billions of stablecoins could be minted using XRP as collateral.
"the result could be tens of billions of stable coins being minted using XRP as collateral"
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US debt ceiling deadline projected for August.
"this de facto deadline is currently projected to be sometime in August"
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US government hit its debt ceiling in January of this year (2025).
"the US government hit its debt ceiling in January this year"
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US government will need to issue approximately $800 billion in new debt to refill the TGA.
"the US government will need to issue roughly $800 billion of new debt in a very short period of time"
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The Federal Reserve is significantly reducing its Quantitative Tightening (QT).
"the Fed recently announced it would significantly be reducing its QT"
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US debt ceiling needs to be raised by August.
"the US debt ceiling needs to be raised by sometime in August"
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The US needs to find buyers for $800 billion in bonds to refill the TGA.
"it needs to find buyers for the $800 billion of bonds it will need to issue to refill the TGA"
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The US debt ceiling was raised in 2023.
"the last time the debt ceiling was raised in 2023"
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The TGA was refilled between June and October 2023 over a four to five month period.
"the TGA then quickly refilled between June and October over four to five months"
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The TGA will be partially refilled in April due to tax season.
"the TGA will be partially refilled in April due to the tax season"
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Quantitative Tightening (QT) by the Fed has ended.
"QT has ended"
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The US government needs $800 billion to refill the TGA.
"$800 billion is all the US government will need to refill the TGA"
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At the start of the previous crypto bull market, the total market cap of the largest stablecoins was approximately $7 billion.
"the total market cap of the largest stable coins was roughly $7 billion"
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By the end of the previous crypto bull market, the total market cap of stablecoins grew to over $140 billion.
"by the end of the bull market the total market cap had grown to over 140 billion"
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The total supply of stablecoins could grow by 10x, assuming diminishing returns similar to Bitcoin.
"the total supply of stable coins could grow by about 10 times"
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USDT supply could triple from its current $100 billion to approximately $300 billion.
"USDT supply could triple from its starting point of 100 billion"
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USDC's supply grew 20x during the previous crypto cycle.
"USDC's supply simultaneously grew by 20 times"
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USDC supply is predicted to increase 6x to 10x in the next cycle.
"foreshadows a 6 to 10 times increase in USDC supply"
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USDC supply is projected to reach between $240 billion and $400 billion.
"this would translate to a USDC supply between 240 to 400 billion"
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PayPal processed nearly $1.7 trillion in payments last year (2024).
"PayPal processed almost $1.7 trillion in payments last year"
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Approximately $800 billion is needed to refill the TGA.
"the $800 billion cash pile required to refill the TGA"
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Stablecoin regulations are in progress through Congress.
"sensible stable coin regulations, which are of course working their way through Congress"
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Two stablecoin bills are progressing through Congress: one in the Senate and one in the House.
"one in the Senate and one in the House"
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The 'Genius Act' for stablecoin regulation has been approved by the Senate Banking Committee.
"the stable coin bill in the Senate is called the Genius Act and it was recently approved by the Senate Banking Committee"
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The 'Stable Act' for stablecoin regulation has been introduced to the House Financial Services Committee.
"the stable coin bill in the House is called the Stable Act and it was recently introduced to the House Financial Services Committee"
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The Genius Act permits decentralized stablecoin experimentation, while the Stable Act proposes a 2-year ban on them.
"the Genius Act allows for experimentation with decentralized stable coins whereas the Stable Act calls for a 2-year ban on decentralized stable coins"
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One of the stablecoin bills is expected to be approved by August.
"one of these bills is expected to be approved by August"
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The aim is to pass stablecoin regulations within Trump's first 100 days in office, by April 29th.
"the goal is to have stable coin regulations passed within Trump's first 100 days in office and that's April 29th"
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The total number of crypto investors is projected to triple this cycle.
"the total number of crypto investors could as much as triple this cycle"
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Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi increased 10x in the previous cycle.
"the total value locked in DeFi rose by 10 times in the previous cycle"
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TVL in DeFi is expected to grow 3x to 5x this cycle.
"the total value locked in DeFi will rise considerably this cycle not 10 times but perhaps closer to three to five times"
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Stablecoin supply is projected to increase by 10x.
"the total supply of stable coins could grow by about 10 times"
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The combined potential stablecoin supply could be close to the $800 billion needed to refill the TGA.
"the number that's surprisingly close to the $800 billion cash pile required to refill the TGA"
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One of the stablecoin bills is expected to be approved by August, possibly sooner.
"one of these bills is expected to be approved by August but it looks like this could happen much sooner"
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Stablecoin regulations are targeted to be passed within Trump's first 100 days, by April 29th.
"the goal is to have stable coin regulations passed within Trump's first 100 days in office and that's April 29th"
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Altcoins on Layer 1 blockchains are expected to benefit from increased on-chain liquidity.
"altcoins on these layer 1 will benefit as well due to the overall increase in onchain liquidity"
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Historically, when ETH pumps, altcoins on Ethereum and Solana also pump.
"most major smart contract cryptos like Solana and Ethereum when ETH also pumped altcoins on Ethereum and Solana would also pump"
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