Stagflation Incoming? How Trump’s Tariffs Could Crash the Economy
Published: 2025-04-16
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-16
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
US recession by end of 2025.
"trump's tariffs have upped the odds of a US recession this year"
Pending
Corporate investment to be deterred internationally and domestically due to Trump's pause (within 2025).
"the uncertainty created by Trump's pause is likely to deter corporate investment both internationally and domestically"
Pending
Trump to drop the 'Chat GPT part' of tariffs if trade negotiations are satisfactory (within 2025).
"if these trade negotiations are to Trump's satisfaction he can at least be expected to drop the chat GBT part of the tariffs"
Pending
Some potential damage from tariffs will be avoided if trade negotiations move quickly (within 2025).
"if things keep moving this quickly some of the potential damage from these rates will be avoided entirely"
Pending
Tariffs might be kept in place for years if they are deemed necessary for reshoring.
"if tariffs are the tool needed to make it happen they might be kept in place for years to come"
Pending
Trump's tariffs are likely to cause stagflation (within 2025).
"some economists are now saying that Trump's tariffs are likely to cause stagflation"
Pending
Huge tariffs on China will lead to a huge increase in input costs for US manufacturers, causing cost-push inflation (within 2025).
"huge tariffs on China will mean a huge increase in input costs for US manufacturers so cost push inflation"
Pending
US unemployment to reach 7.5% if tariffs persist beyond 2026.
"output and jobs will fall as a result and as we learned in Trump's first term China's retaliatory tariffs can crash US farm incomes exacerbating rural unemployment accordingly the chief economist at Moody's Analytics projects US unemployment to reach 7.5% if the tariffs persist beyond 2026"
Pending
Tariffs could reduce US GDP growth to nearly zero by end of 2025.
"JP Morgan estimates tariffs could reduce the US GDP growth to nearly zero this year"
Pending
A recession is imminent or already underway (within 2025).
"Larry Fin says he is quote petrified and that he thinks a recession is imminent if not already underway"
Pending
Tariffs are looking increasingly like they won't last (within 2025).
"at the time of making this video it's looking increasingly like they won't last"
Pending
A recession may still occur (within 2025).
"a recession may still be on the cards"
Pending