ilmscore | The US Government's Bitcoin Holdings Exposed

The US Government's Bitcoin Holdings Exposed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 14
Correct: 5
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
US government holds an estimated 325,000 BTC.
"The best estimate puts the total at around 325,000 BTC."
BTC
Pending
In October 2025, a seizure of 127,271 BTC increased US government holdings to over $36 billion.
"In October 2025 alone, a single seizure added 127,271 BTC to America's pile, pushing total government reserves past $36 billion."
BTC
Incorrect
In summer 2025 (as per FOIA request), US Marshals held 28,888 BTC valued at approximately $3.44 billion.
"a Freedom of Information Act request revealed that the US Marshall Services Asset forfeiture division held a total of 28,888 Bitcoin worth approximately $3.44 billion."
BTC
Incorrect
In October 2025, DOJ announced the seizure of approximately 127,271 BTC from the Prince Group, valued at nearly $15 billion.
"In October 2025, the Department of Justice announced what it called quote largest ever forfeite action, the seizure of approximately 127,271 Bitcoin valued at nearly 15 billion."
BTC
Correct
In February 2022, over 95,000 BTC, valued at $3.7 billion at the time, was seized in relation to the Bitfinex hack.
"In February 2022, the DOJ announced the arrest of a New York couple and a seizure of over 94,000 Bitcoin, valued at $3.7 billion at the time. Subsequent actions brought the total recovered to approximately 95,000 BTC."
BTC
Correct
In November 2021, approximately 50,676 BTC was seized from James 'Jimmy' Jong, who had stolen it from Silk Road in 2012.
"In November 2021, law enforcement agents raided the home of one James Jimmy Jong in Gainesville, Georgia, and seized approximately 50,676 Bitcoin."
BTC
Correct
Nearly 70,000 BTC, valued at over $1 billion, was seized, traced to 'individual X' who had stolen funds from Silk Road.
"there was also the seizure of nearly 70,000 BTC valued at over $1 billion at the time, traced to an unnamed hacker known only as individual X, who had also stolen the funds from Silk Road years earlier."
BTC
Correct
Between 2014 and 2023, the US Marshals Service auctioned approximately 195,092 BTC, generating $366.5 million.
"Between 2014 and 2023, the US MS sold approximately 195,092 Bitcoin through these auctions. Total revenue generated roughly 366.5 million."
BTC
Correct
The 195,092 BTC sold between 2014-2023 for $366.5 million would have been worth over $18.9 billion at January 2025 prices.
"The 195,092 Bitcoin sold for 366.5 million would at then current market prices be worth over 18.9 billion."
BTC
Incorrect
US government policy changed in 2025 to retain forfeited Bitcoin as reserve assets, rather than selling them.
"Government BTC deposited into the Strategic Bitcoin reserve shall not be sold and shall be maintained as reserve assets of the United States, utilized to meet governmental objectives in accordance with applicable law."
BTC
Pending
US government is developing budget-neutral strategies to acquire additional Bitcoin for the strategic reserve.
"the order also instructed the secretaries of the Treasury and Commerce to develop quote budgetneutral strategies for acquiring additional Bitcoin for the reserve."
BTC
Pending
The US government currently holds over 300,000 BTC and has a policy not to sell it.
"So, they're now sitting on well over 300,000 BTC with an explicit policy not to sell it."
BTC
Incorrect
The US government becoming one of the largest BTC holders is considered structurally bullish for the market.
"And with the US now one of the biggest holders of BTC on the planet, that's structurally bullish."
BTC
Incorrect
The current US Bitcoin policy has a projected 3-year runway, potentially influenced by the Trump administration.
"For now though, the strategic Bitcoin reserve has 3 years of a Trumpshaped runway."
BTC
Incorrect