ilmscore | FOMC LIVE Crypto TRADING Competition: Banter Royale 🏆 [Episode 3]

Predictions from this Video

Total: 4
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 4
Prediction
Topic
Status
Timothy Peterson predicts Bitcoin to increase by up to 12% in the 12 days following October 29, 2025.
"Bitcoin set to gain up to 12% over the next 12 days."
BTC
Pending
Jerome Powell states that the Federal Reserve will end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, 2025. From December 2025, the balance sheet size will be held steady, with maturing mortgage-backed securities proceeds reinvested into Treasury bills to foster a portfolio primarily of Treasury securities, while reserve balances gradually move lower.
"The Fed will end QT on December 1, and mortgage-backed security redemptions will be invested into T-bills after it. In December, we'll enter the next phase of our normalization plans by holding the size of our balance sheet steady. While reserve balances continue to move gradually lower as other non-reserve liabilities such as currency keep growing, we will continue to allow agency securities to run off our balance sheet and will reinvest the proceeds from those securities in Treasury bills, furthering progress toward a portfolio consisting primarily of Treasury securities."
Monetary Policy (Balance Sheet)
Pending
Jerome Powell's reasonable base case is that the effects on inflation will be short-lived, leading to a one-time price level shift. He also expects housing services inflation and the non-housing, non-market part of services inflation to continue declining, contributing to a gradually cooling economy.
"A reasonable base case is that the effects on inflation are short-lived, a one-time shift in the price level. In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside. housing services inflation has been coming down and is expected to continue to come down. The non-housing, the non-market part of it should come down. policy is still modestly restrictive in my telling. So, that's the kind of thing that should lead to a gradually cooling economy."
Inflation Outlook
Pending
Jerome Powell predicts that at a future point, the Fed will need to start gradually increasing bank reserves to keep pace with the growth of the banking system and the overall economy.
"But at a certain point, you'll want to start reserves to start gradually growing to keep up with the size of the banking system and the size of the economy. So, we'll be adding reserves at a certain point, and that's the last point."
Monetary Policy (Bank Reserves)
Pending