Is This The Bitcoin Pump We Should Believe In OR Is It A Trap?
Published: 2025-11-27
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-11-27
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
If USDT dominance rejects from its pink box after a short-term bounce, it will lead to further downside for USDT dominance, which could push Bitcoin to $100,000-$110,000.
"If that short-term bounce rejects from the pink box, that's going to be your inverse fair value gap, and that leads to further downside. Well, that'll be really good for crypto. That might lead to Bitcoin continuing a bit higher, possibly towards that, you know, anywhere between $100,000 and $110,000 give or take."
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Bitcoin could reach an extreme target of $105,000 if specific USDT dominance rejection occurs.
"I've got about $105,000. It would be quite an extreme move. In order to see that, basically, you must see a rejection over here."
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QQQ is predicted to catch up and show higher prices soon, after breaking its previous lower high.
"QQQ, same thing. Needs to reclaim. It is breaking the previous lower high, which is a good sign. So this one's lagging slightly but it should catch up sometime soon and you should see higher prices over there."
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Bitcoin is expected to rally into resistance, reject, and then come down to form a potential higher low at the white line in the next couple of weeks.
"Now what I would say is you're going to be looking for resistance rejection, come back down, white line over here, potential higher low that comes into play. And then you can reevaluate. So that's what you're looking at for the next couple of weeks."
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Bitcoin is predicted to have a short-term rally into resistance, followed by a medium-term rejection and decline, leading to a reevaluation point around mid-December 2025 or January 2026.
"So if you fast forward four or five weeks later, well that's mid-December, maybe even January only that you see, which means in the shorter term rally into resistance, in the medium term start to reject and come down, and that's where you reevaluate."
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The current upside move in Bitcoin is most likely a 'complacency bounce' (dead-cat bounce).
"I think that's going to be the most likely outcome is a complacency bounce with this move towards the upside."
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Bitcoin's rally is expected to find resistance at $94,000 (50% Fib/middle Bollinger band), then $98,000 (Golden Pocket), and in an extreme scenario, the 0.786 to 0.886 Super Fib retracement zone (implied to be above $98k, possibly around $105k).
"your 50% level which lines up with the middle Bollinger band is at $94,000. Just above that, you have $98,000 at the Golden Pocket, and then after that, you have not only your previous lower high... but also your Super Fib retracement which goes from the 0.786 to the 0.886 level. And that would be therefore the third and most extreme zone that I think price would go into, and I think it will take time to get there."
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Bitcoin will likely struggle to hold above $100,000; a temporary wick above this level is possible in December 2025, but price will likely reject and close below it.
"I think it's going to be very tough for Bitcoin to reclaim and get anywhere above 100K. I could see the 100K level taken temporarily on a wick basis just purely because it's such a big psychological number... but then rejecting and closing the candle back below. So that's only going to come into play in the future. Again, assuming this trajectory, this is only December's problem. We are still in November."
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If Bitcoin closes November 2025 below $97,292 (confirming a monthly bearish MACD cross), then even an extreme rally to $105,000 in December 2025 would likely fail, forming a lower macro high and acting as a 'complacency bounce'.
"if we close below that level [97,292] and next month price happens to put in an extreme rally to about 105k for instance, that tells me that I know that there will be a very high chance that it's going to fail. It's going to be a complacency bounce and it's going to lead to a lower macro high which becomes a great exit opportunity for anyone stuck in positions."
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If a monthly bearish MACD cross is confirmed (by November 2025 close), even a rally to $110,000 in January 2026 would be problematic, suggesting it would likely be a false rally.
"If you even rallied, let's say in January to $110,000, it doesn't matter because at that point you've got the MACD bearish cross and that's a problem. It's very problematic."
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If Bitcoin's monthly candle closes above $97,292, avoiding a bearish MACD cross, there would be a slim chance of rallying to new all-time highs.
"if the monthly candle closes above $97,292, that's going to allow the MACD to not have a bearish cross. And the way that would affect me... is it would reposition my mindset that maybe there is a slim chance of rallying to new all-time highs."
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The current Bitcoin rally is likely to be 'faded' (short-lived and reverse).
"gun to my head I would say probably. [the current rally will get faded]"
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The ETH/BTC pair needs 3-4 more weeks (mid-late December 2025) for confirmation of its potential breakout.
"Alrighty, we got ETH/BTC as well fighting to come out of here. We need about three or four more weeks for confirmation if this can get the job done."
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Solana is expected to put in a lower high between $150 and $160.
"If anywhere within that zone or maybe a push a little bit higher between 150 and 160, I would expect is the lower high."
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If Solana rejects and breaks lower, it will inevitably drop down into the $100 zone.
"if you reject over here and you come back down for these lows, inevitably you're going to be dropping down into the 100 zone."
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ASTER token is predicted to move back down to its range lows, around $0.87 and potentially lower.
"I think that ASTER is going to move back down into the yellow box... towards range lows which is anywhere from about 87 cents and below that."
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Zcash is expected to break its current trendline and begin a distribution phase.
"I think this trend line's going to break... I think that Zcash is going to probably distribute over here."
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FartCoin is predicted to rally as high as $0.64.
"FartCoin could rally as much as 64 cents."
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USELESS coin is ultimately predicted to revert back down to $0.0255.
"But ultimately, I think this is going to revert back down to like 0.0255."
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Crypto prices predicted to be lower by Thanksgiving (November 28, 2025).
"is this going to lead to a trap which leads to another awkward situation where you're sitting around the Thanksgiving table tomorrow with paper hands, right? Paper hands and lower prices across the board."
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For a 'full retrace' of crypto prices on Friday (November 29, 2025), USDT dominance would likely see a big spike up, recovering its inverse fair value gap.
"for that to happen, for the full retrace [on Friday], you're probably going to end up seeing another big spike up over here on the USDT dominance and basically just recovering this inverse fair value gap over there."
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The total crypto market cap is very likely to find significant resistance at $3.51 trillion.
"Total still bouncing over here. Very likely to find a lot of resistance at 3.51 trillion."
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The Total 2 (altcoin) crypto market cap is predicted to face resistance at just under $1 trillion.
"Resistance levels coming in at just under one trillion over there."
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The crypto market is expected to experience low volume and not see a significant upturn before the upcoming Monday (December 1, 2025).
"I can't foresee that this chart over here is going to turn back up anytime before Monday. I just genuinely don't see it because I know that the markets will have low volume."
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Bitcoin could rally to $105,000 in an extreme scenario.
"That might lead to Bitcoin continuing a bit higher, possibly towards that, you know, anywhere between $100,000 and $110,000 give or take. [...] well, maybe not as high as $110,000, but I've got about $105,000. It would be quite an extreme move. [...] I think in an extreme scenario, you rally to about $105,000."
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S&P 500 and Dow Jones to retest and hold their respective yellow box levels as support. QQQ, while lagging, is expected to catch up and see higher prices soon.
"Now, you want to see this flip into support at the yellow box. And this is going to be the same thing for the Dow Jones breaking above its yellow box. Now, you want to throw back, hold that level as support. QQQ, same thing. Needs to reclaim. It is breaking the previous lower high, which is a good sign. So this one's lagging slightly but it should catch up sometime soon and you should see higher prices over there."
Pending
In the next couple of weeks, Bitcoin is expected to experience resistance rejection, pull back to the $86,000 level (white line), and then potentially form a higher low, which could position trends back towards the upside in the very short term.
"Then, if it comes down, creates a higher low, that may position the trends back towards the upside in the very short term. [...] Now what I would say is you're going to be looking for resistance rejection, come back down, white line over here, potential higher low that comes into play. And then you can reevaluate. So that's what you're looking at for the next couple of weeks."
Pending
The high time frame trend for Bitcoin is down, so any rallies into major resistance are expected to be rejected dead-cat/complacency bounces, likely forming a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern and getting faded.
"High time frame trends are down, which means any bounces that occur on major resistance until proven otherwise, you should expect that they should reject. [...] in the shorter term rally into resistance, in the medium term start to reject and come down [...] I think that's going to be the most likely outcome is a complacency bounce with this move towards the upside. [...] even if we do rally aggressively over here, we still have the likelihood of a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is unfortunately bearish. [...] gun to my head I would say probably [this rally is going to get faded]."
Pending
Bitcoin is expected to face resistance at $94,000 (50% fib, middle Bollinger band), then $98,000 (Golden Pocket), and an extreme resistance zone between 0.786 and 0.886 fib retracements, with reaching these levels taking time.
"Level to level your 50% level which lines up with the middle Bollinger band is at $94,000. Just above that, you have $98,000 at the Golden Pocket, and then after that, you have not only your previous lower high which I'm going to mark off over here—previous lower high order block that led to the breakdown—but also your Super Fib retracement which goes from the 0.786 to the 0.886 level. And that would be therefore the third and most extreme zone that I think price would go into, and I think it will take time to get there."
Pending
It will be very tough for Bitcoin to reclaim and stay above $100,000. It might wick above $100,000 temporarily due to it being a psychological level but will likely reject and close below, with this scenario expected to unfold by December 2025.
"I think it's going to be very tough for Bitcoin to reclaim and get anywhere above 100K. I could see the 100K level taken temporarily on a wick basis just purely because it's such a big psychological number. A round number, six-figure Bitcoin. So, I could see you doing something like that but then rejecting and closing the candle back below. So that's only going to come into play in the future. Again, assuming this trajectory, this is only December's problem. We are still in November."
Pending
If Bitcoin's November 2025 monthly candle closes below $97,292, confirming a bearish MACD cross, it is highly likely the market top is in. Any subsequent extreme rally (e.g., to $105k in December 2025 or $110k in January 2026) would be a failing complacency bounce leading to a lower macro high.
"if we close below that level and next month price happens to put in an extreme rally to about 105k for instance, that tells me that I know that there will be a very high chance that it's going to fail. It's going to be a complacency bounce and it's going to lead to a lower macro high which becomes a great exit opportunity for anyone stuck in positions. [...] If you even rallied, let's say in January to $110,000, it doesn't matter because at that point you've got the MACD bearish cross and that's a problem. [...] So let's say we close below that level. Therefore confirming the monthly bearish MACD cross, the moving averages cross towards the downside, at which point you say highly, highly likely that the top is in and the price comes down in the same way."
Pending
If Bitcoin's November 2025 monthly candle closes above $97,292, avoiding a bearish MACD cross, there would be a slim chance of rallying to new all-time highs.
"if the monthly candle closes above $97,292, that's going to allow the MACD to not have a bearish cross. And the way that would affect me, I said over here, is it would reposition my mindset that maybe there is a slim chance of rallying to new all-time highs."
Pending
Ethereum is expected to have one more leg down, which would be a good buying opportunity.
"we think there'll be one more leg down and that's worthwhile buying."
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Solana is expected to form a lower high between $150 and $160. If it rejects from current levels and retests previous lows, it will inevitably drop to the $100 zone.
"If anywhere within that zone or maybe a push a little bit higher between 150 and 160, I would expect is the lower high. [...] if you reject over here and you come back down for these lows, inevitably you're going to be dropping down into the 100 zone."
Pending
Zcash's trend line is expected to break, leading to distribution and a potential short trade opportunity.
"I think this trend line's going to break. [...] I think that Zcash is going to probably distribute [...] So, I lean towards Zcash is probably going to start to distribute over here. So, it's one of the ones that probably have a short trade on the table."
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USDT dominance to find support at 5.8% for a short-term bounce, then reject from a 'pink box' resistance level leading to further downside (beneficial for crypto). Conversely, if USDT dominance rallies and breaks above 6.13%, it would be a bull trap for crypto, leading to lower crypto prices.
"what you need to be looking out for now is USDT dominance support coming into the yellow line at 5.8%. That should lead to a short-term bounce. If that short-term bounce rejects from the pink box, that's going to be your inverse fair value gap, and that leads to further downside. [...] that if price rallies and breaks back above that, well then this was the true trap. If you do something like that, that was the true trap. That's going to lead to lower prices."
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ASTER is expected to move back down to its range lows, around $0.87 and potentially lower.
"I think that ASTER is going to move back down into the yellow box. I don't want to say exactly which level because this is quite a wide range and we have a lack of data over here, but it looks like it wants to move back down towards range lows which is anywhere from about 87 cents and below that."
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The total crypto market cap (Total) is very likely to find significant resistance at $3.51 trillion.
"Total still bouncing over here. Very likely to find a lot of resistance at 3.51 trillion."
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The crypto market is not expected to turn back up before the upcoming Monday (after Thanksgiving 2025) due to anticipated low volume over the weekend.
"I can't foresee that this chart over here is going to turn back up anytime before Monday. I just genuinely don't see it because I know that the markets will have low volume. They're going to have low volume over the course of the weekend."
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USELESS Coin is expected to revert back down to $0.0255.
"But ultimately, I think this is going to revert back down to like 0.0255."
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