ilmscore | The Great Stock Market Shift

The Great Stock Market Shift

Published: 2024-07-12
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Prediction
Topic
Status
Monster Beverage (MNST) is likely to have found a short-term bottom and is expected to start rebounding.
"I think there's a pretty good chance that this may be the shortterm bottom at least uh for it to start rebounding"
MNST
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September 2024, likely followed by further cuts in November and possibly December 2024.
"it's more or less a done deal they're going to cut rates in September probably in November again and maybe even in December"
Interest Rates
Pending
Both tech and non-tech stock sectors are predicted to rise together for the remainder of 2024.
"they can both go up together for the rest of the year"
Stock Market
Pending
Lower interest rates will cause investors to move money from money market funds into riskier assets like stocks, further driving the bull market higher.
"a lot of cash on the sidelines that will come into the market once interest rates go down propelling the boom Market even higher"
Investment Flows
Pending
The current market environment (July 2024) is comparable to 1995, suggesting the early stages of the AI revolution will lead to a prolonged bull market akin to the dot-com boom.
"where we are today is very similar to 1995 that was the leadup to the do boom and like I keep saying we are just at the early stages of this AI Revolution so my guess I think we are more 1995"
Stock Market / AI Revolution
Pending
The US economy (as of July 2024) is slowing but still growing, and no severe recession is in sight unless an unforeseen catalyst emerges.
"looking at where the economy is right now the economy is slowing but it's still growing uh and there's no severe recession inside again unless there's an unknown Catalyst that no one can predict"
Economy
Pending
The stock market (S&P 500, implied) has an 82% chance of gaining 7-9% in the second half of 2024 (July-December).
"we've got 82% chance the next 6 months we should see another 7 to 9% gain"
Stock Market (S&P 500)
Pending
The stock market (S&P 500, implied) is predicted to finish 2024 with a positive gain, based on a historical 100% probability for years where the first six months gained over 10%.
"for the full year 2024 we should end the year positive because based on history it has been a 100% probability that you get a positive year when the first 6 months is more than 10%"
Stock Market (S&P 500)
Pending
The stock market (S&P 500, implied) is predicted to end 2024 with at least a 20% gain.
"if you ask me to guess I would say we should end the year at least above 20%"
Stock Market (S&P 500)
Pending
The stock market is expected to experience significant volatility and a potentially bearish trend from the third week of July to the end of October 2024, particularly in September and October due to election year dynamics, followed by a bullish rally towards year-end.
"from the uh third week of July right third week of July to the end of October you you can see some huge volatility especially in the September October period during election years the market tends to be a bit bearish during those two months before the the final hurah the the grand finale bullish finale towards the end of the year"
Stock Market
Pending