ilmscore | The Great Recession Fear is Here!

The Great Recession Fear is Here!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
The market (futures) could reverse up if the 8:30 AM ET employment report (on Aug 2, 2024) is strong, but could go down more in the short term if the report is negative.
"if we get uh strong employment report then I think Futures could reverse up we could bounce back higher but if the employment report comes negative then yeah we could go down a bit more in the short term"
Stock Market, US Economy
Pending
The stock market is expected to end August (2024) bullish, based on historical seasonality in presidential election years.
"if seasonality and history is anything to go by we should end August up bullish"
Stock Market (Seasonality)
Pending
The stock market is expected to experience significant volatility and trade in a range from August to mid-October (2024) in a presidential election year.
"from August which made a high all the way to October mid October the market actually was not that bearish but it wasn't bullish as well it was actually in a Range going up and down and up and down and up and down and up and down so we should expect a lot more volatility in this case"
Stock Market (Volatility)
Pending
If the economy avoids a recession (which the author does not foresee for now), the market will trade sideways for the next 2-3 months (from August 2024) before rallying towards the end of 2024.
"as long as the economy doesn't tip into recession which for now I don't see that then we should be able to chop around for the next two or three months and then R towards the end of the Year"
Stock Market, US Economy
Pending
If no recession occurs after the Fed begins cutting rates (starting August 2024), the stock market is predicted to be up 16-17% by August 2025 and up close to 40% by August 2026, based on historical averages.
"if there was no recession you can see that there we are average with no recession in red you can see that 12 months later the Market's up about an average about what 16 17% and 24 months later the Market's up like about close to 40% fantastic right"
Stock Market
Pending
If a recession occurs after the Fed begins cutting rates (starting August 2024), the stock market is predicted to be down ~5% from its peak by August 2025 but to have recovered all losses by August 2026, based on historical averages.
"if a recession happens then it's a different story so you can see that uh if there's a recession then you get this um orange line over here where the market you know 12 months later could be down about well actually not that bad you know 12 months later it's down like maybe 5% from from the top went all the way down you know uh 15% then 12 months later down 5% but 24 months later it's made it all back"
Stock Market
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to end August 2024 bullish, based on historical seasonality in presidential election years.
"August for presidential election years tends to be pretty bullish actually okay so if seasonality and history is anything to go by we should end August up bullish"
Stock Market
Pending
Increased stock market volatility is expected from August to mid-October 2024, given it is a presidential election year.
"we should expect a lot more volatility in this case"
Stock Market Volatility
Pending
If no recession occurs, the stock market is predicted to trade sideways ('chop around') for 2-3 months (August-October 2024) and then experience a strong rally by the end of 2024.
"as long as the economy doesn't tip into recession which for now I don't see that then we should be able to chop around for the next two or three months and then rally towards the end of the Year"
Stock Market
Pending