Published: 2024-09-22
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
S&P 500 earnings per share are expected to increase over the next 1-2 years from September 2024, leading to higher stock prices.
"the next one to two years we do expect companies to earn more in terms of their earnings per share and they earn more they'll be worth more so stock prices should continue going up"
Pending
Small-cap ETFs (IWM, VBK) are expected to play catch-up to the S&P 500 as interest rates decline (from September 2024).
"as rates come down I do expect that small companies small cap ETF the iwm or the vbk either one I'm personally invested in the vbk I think that this should play some catchup to the S&P 500 again there's no guarantees in life but uh I think there's a pretty high chance that could happen"
Pending
If the S&P 500 closes below 5669 within 1-2 days (from September 2024), it could signal a bull trap, leading to a drop to the 50 or 100 moving average before a year-end rally.
"if in the next uh in the next one to two days if the market closes below this High which is 5669... we could expect the market to come back down again to the 50 moving average or even the 100 moving average before the rally at the end of the year brings it back up again so that is one scenario"
Pending
If the S&P 500 stays above 5669 in the next few days (from September 2024), it would indicate a strong breakout pattern leading to further upside.
"in the next few days if we can stay above this level if the market can't break below this then this is a very strong breakout pattern that should take us all the way up"
Pending
Federal Funds Rate expected to reach 3% within 1-2 years from September 2024.
"the eventual goal for the FED is to bring the rate down to about 3% and that will take about one or two years depending on uh the incoming data"
Pending
Federal Reserve to make two more 25 basis point rate cuts by end of 2024, bringing the rate range to 4.5%.
"by the end of this year they're going to have two more rate cuts of 25 basis Points each .25% each and the the the range of the rates will come down to 4.5% by the end of this year"
Pending
Federal Funds Rate to come down to 3.5% by end of 2025 and 3% by end of 2026.
"by the end of next year you'll come down to 3.5% and then eventually by 2026 it it should go down to 3%"
Pending
If the economy remains strong, the stock market could go up 15% in the 12 months following September 2024.
"as long as the economy holds up we can expect that in the next 12 months the stock market could uh potentially go up another 15% in the next 12 months"
Pending
If the economy enters a recession, the stock market could be 15% lower in the 12 months following September 2024.
"However if for whatever reason the economy goes into a recession and of course stocks will go down and 12 months from now stocks could be 15% lower"
Pending
Auto sales and housing sales are expected to rebound and recover following the Fed's rate cuts (from September 2024).
"once the FED Cuts rates which is what they did we should expect Auto Sales and housing sales to start to rebound and recover because those are the most rate sensitive parts of the market"
Pending
Small-cap ETFs (IWM or VBK) are expected to catch up to the S&P 500 as interest rates decline.
"as rates come down I do expect that small companies small cap ETF the iwm or the vbk either one I'm personally invested in the vbk I think that this should play some catchup to the S&P 500 again there's no guarantees in life but uh I think there's a pretty high chance that could happen"
Pending
Consumer discretionary stocks (e.g., Amazon, Lululemon, Nike) are expected to rebound strongly and outperform other sectors following the Fed's rate cuts (from September 2024).
"once the FED Cuts interest rates consumer discretionary tends to have the highest outperformance out of all the sectors ... there are a lot of consumer discretionary stocks that are still very attractive value that could rebound pretty strongly one once we move forward companies like your you know Amazon... Lululemon... Nike... they could come back pretty strongly once this happens"
Pending
Fed funds rate to eventually reach 3% within 1-2 years from video publication date (September 2024).
"the eventual goal for the FED is to bring the rate down to about 3% and that will take about one or two years"
Pending
The market is expected to drop in the short term (late September/early October 2024), followed by a strong rally by the end of October/early November 2024.
"if the market drops again yes I'm going to reenter many of these trades ... because I still do expect that by the end of October uh early November we should see a very strong rally in the markets"
Pending
Fed to implement two more 25 basis point rate cuts by end of 2024, bringing the Fed funds rate range to 4.5%.
"by the end of this year they're going to have two more rate cuts of 25 basis Points each .25% each and the the the range of the rates will come down to 4.5% by the end of this year"
Pending
Kamala Harris has a 90% chance of winning the next US election (from September 2024).
"now I'm giving Harris a 90% chance of winning"
Pending
Fed funds rate to come down to 3.5% by the end of 2025.
"and by the end of next year you'll come down to 3.5%"
Pending
Fed funds rate to eventually go down to 3% by 2026.
"and then eventually by 2026 it it should go down to 3%"
Pending
If the economy remains strong, the stock market could increase by 15% in the 12 months following the video publication (September 2024).
"as long as the economy holds up we can expect that in the next 12 months the stock market could uh potentially go up another 15% in the next 12 months"
Pending
If the economy goes into a recession, stocks could be 15% lower 12 months from the video publication (September 2024).
"however if for whatever reason the economy goes into a recession and of course stocks will go down and 12 months from now stocks could be 15% lower"
Pending
The speaker remains bullish on the market for the 6 to 12 months following the video publication (September 2024).
"I remain bullish for the next 6 to 12 months"
Pending
Consumer discretionary stocks (e.g., Amazon, Lululemon, Nike) are expected to rebound strongly and outperform other sectors following the Fed's interest rate cuts.
"once the FED Cuts interest rates consumer discretionary tends to have the highest outperformance out of all the sectors... companies like your you know Amazon by the way Amazon is actually under consumer discretionary companies like your Lululemon companies like your Nike you right they could come back pretty strongly once this happens"
Pending
The speaker is cautious about the market for the two weeks following the video publication (September 2024).
"but in the very short term in the next two weeks I'm getting a bit cautious"
Pending
A strong market rally is expected by late October/early November 2024, typical for an election year, regardless of the winner.
"by the end of October uh early November we should see a very strong rally in the markets as we always do most of the time during an election year regardless of who wins"
Pending
Kamala Harris has a 90% chance of winning the 2024 US Presidential Election.
"now I'm giving Harris a 90% chance of winning"
Pending
If the market closes below 5669 within 1-2 days of the video, it would signal a bull trap, leading to a drop to the 50 or 100 moving average before a year-end rally (2024).
"if in the next uh in the next one to two days if the market closes below this High which is 5669 right if the market Market happens to close reverse and close bearish and close below this level this is what we call a bull trap pattern... we could expect the market to come back down again to the 50 moving average or even the 100 moving average before the rally at the end of the year brings it back up again"
Pending
If the market stays above 5669 in the few days following the video, it indicates a strong breakout pattern leading to further upside.
"however in the next few days if we can stay above this level if the market can't break below this then this is a very strong breakout pattern that should take us all the way up"
Pending