Shorting the market or buying put options is predicted to be profitable only 21-22% of the time, and unprofitable over 78% of the time.
"anytime you short the market any time you buy put options and you're batting against the market going down will will you be right yes you will be right 21% to 22% of the time your puts will make money right but over 78% of the time your shorts will lose money your puts will lose money"