ilmscore | Healthcare Stocks. Value Trap or Opportunity? Part 2 of 2

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
United Health's profits are predicted to grow at least 10-16% long-term.
"So if you ask me my own personal uh opinion is that they should be able to grow at at least 10 to 16%."
UNH
Pending
United Health shares have an intrinsic value of $412, based on the author's adjustment to 10.47% long-term profit growth.
"So if you put that in and you recalculate, you can see that brings it gives us an intrinsic value of $412."
UNH
Pending
United Health shares have an intrinsic value of $473 if the company achieves a long-term profit growth rate of 14.5%.
"If they could reach the midterm of their long-term projections between 13 to 16% projection, let's take a mid-range of uh let's say a 14.5%... then the shares would be worth $473."
UNH
Pending
Novo Nordisk shares are predicted by the author to double in value within the next two years from the video's publish date.
"In fact, I think it's an easy uh double for me buying the shares in the next couple of years."
NVO
Pending
Novo Nordisk shares have an intrinsic value of $89, based on conservative analyst projections adopted by the author.
"the algorithm give you a valuation of $89 that is the intrinsic value. Okay. And at the current share price of $48, it's like um almost half price, right? Almost half price. Now, how is this derived? Now, we can take a look at the actual calculator over here. Let me change to change this to discounted free cash flow. Okay. So, in the last 12 months, the the business generated 13 uh billion in free cash flow. Total debt 17 billion, cash and investment 6 billion. We're using a 5.37% discount rate because it is a low beta stock given it's in uh defensive healthcare. The growth rate projection used by stock oracle that is poop from faxet analyst for the next 5 years they projecting a growth of 14.47%. Now is that fair? Well, recall management has said that they expect profit growth to be between 10 to 16%. That's a management uh guidance, right? So 14%. Is pretty fair. Okay. And then in the next five years, year 6 to 10, um fact analysts are projecting that their growth will half uh from 14% to 7.7%. And for the last 10 years, it will just grow at 4%. Which is pretty conservative, right? So based on this calculation you can see that the intrinsic value derived is $8953 and at a current share price of $48 it is 46% undervalued. Okay. Now personally for me I would I would take this valuation because I like to be conservative."
NVO
Pending
Novo Nordisk shares have an intrinsic value of $96 if the company sustains a 10% growth rate for years 6-10.
"So if you put in say 10% uh then shares will be worth $96."
NVO
Pending
Novo Nordisk shares have an intrinsic value of $68 even in a worst-case growth scenario (e.g., 10% for Y1-5, 5% for Y6-10, and 4% for Y11-20).
"in the worst case scenario the shares are worth $68 which means at the current share price of $48 is still almost 30% undervalued in the worst freaking case scenario"
NVO
Pending