Published: 2025-08-18
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin is predicted to retest its bull market support band (20-week SMA and 21-week EMA) in September 2025, based on a historical pattern where post-halving years with green July/August lead to red September months.
"my thought process for Bitcoin right now is that it likely has a date with the bull market support band, which is the 20we SMA and 21week EMA in September... if August does stay green, then what you'll notice is that 2021, 2017, and 2013 September were all red. So, I'm thinking that Bitcoin has a date with the 20week SMA and or 21week EMA, but if I had to to guess the timing of that date, I would guess sometime in September."
Pending
The predicted rise in the 10-year US Treasury yield is expected to cause Bitcoin to pull back to its bull market support band in September 2025.
"that move by the 10-year yield could be responsible for Bitcoin getting that pullback potentially back to the bullmark sport band in September."
Pending
If Bitcoin experiences a 5-6% drop to its bull market support band, Ethereum is predicted to drop 20-30%, and other altcoins are predicted to drop 30-50%.
"if Bitcoin does that, while it would only be another 6% drop or so for Bitcoin... it would likely be a much larger drop for the altcoin market. it would probably be like a 20 to 30% drop for Ethereum and probably like a 30 to 40 to 50% drop for all coins."
Pending
Altcoins are predicted to experience a correction on their USD pairs in September 2025, likely due to Bitcoin retesting its bull market support band.
"I think that altcoins will likely get a correction on their USD pairs in September is because I think Bitcoin is going to is going to visit that bull market support ban in September."
Pending
The bond market is predicted to have a negative reaction to the Federal Reserve's rate cut in September 2025.
"while it's likely they're going to cut rates in September, it's also likely that the markets uh that the bond market is going to have a negative reaction to that."
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to rally when the Federal Reserve cuts rates in September 2025.
"when the Fed cuts more than likely in September, there's a really good chance that the 10-year yield will likely go up, right? There's a good chance the 10-year yield will likely rally"
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield's level on the day of the Fed's rate cut in September 2025 could mark a low point for the yield.
"there's a chance here that the 10-year yield wherever the 10-year yield is on the day the Fed cuts in September, um that could mark a low for the 10-year yield."
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to rise back to 5%, similar to its level in October 2023.
"if the 10-year yield starts to go back up, which is my base case, if it starts to go back up to where it was in October of 2023, which is what I think is going to happen, that's going to put it back at 5%."
Pending
Altcoins are predicted to remain strong against Bitcoin through August 2025, but a larger drop on their Bitcoin pairs is expected in September 2025.
"my guess is that altcoins continue to stay strong against Bitcoin uh through the end of August... I don't think they're going to get a larger drop on their Bitcoin pairs until the month of September."
Pending
Bitcoin is likely to retest its bull market support band (20-week SMA and 21-week EMA) in September.
"my thought process for Bitcoin right now is that it likely has a date with the bull market support band, which is the 20we SMA and 21week EMA in September."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to have a green (positive) monthly return in August.
"stands to reason there's a decent, you know, decent probability that August is green as well."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to have a red (negative) monthly return in September, based on historical patterns in post-halving years.
"if August does stay green, then what you'll notice is that 2021, 2017, and 2013 September were all red."
Pending
If Bitcoin retests its bull market support band in September, it would represent a 5-6% drop for Bitcoin.
"it would only be another 6% drop or so for Bitcoin um you know, or even 5% depending on how long it takes to happen"
Pending
If Bitcoin retests its bull market support band in September, Ethereum is likely to experience a 20-30% drop.
"it would probably be like a 20 to 30% drop for Ethereum"
Pending
Altcoin USD pairs are likely to experience a correction in September, linked to Bitcoin's expected retest of its bull market support band.
"altcoins will likely get a correction on their USD pairs in September is because I think Bitcoin is going to is going to visit that bull market support ban in September."
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is likely to increase and rally following the expected Fed rate cut in September.
"when the Fed cuts more than likely in September, there's a really good chance that the 10-year yield will likely go up, right? There's a good chance the 10-year yield will likely rally"
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to rise back to 5%.
"if it starts to go back up to where it was in October of 2023, which is what I think is going to happen, that's going to put it back at 5%."
Pending
If Bitcoin retests its bull market support band in September, altcoins (excluding Ethereum) are likely to experience a 30-50% drop.
"and probably like a 30 to 40 to 50% drop for all coins."
Pending
Altcoins are expected to maintain strength against Bitcoin through the end of August.
"my guess is that altcoins continue to stay strong against Bitcoin uh through the end of August"
Pending