ilmscore | PPI Surges

PPI Surges

Published: 2025-08-14
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve is most likely to cut interest rates in September 2025.
"I would still say the most likely outcome is that they do cut rates in September."
Federal Reserve Rates
Pending
The long end of the yield curve is predicted to increase after the Fed's rate cut.
"I think this will provide evidence that the long end of the yield curve will likely go up after they cut rates"
Yield Curve
Pending
Lowering interest rates while inflation is rising is predicted to worsen the housing market.
"if you lower rates with rising inflation, it's not going to to improve the housing market. In fact, it's likely going to make the housing market worse."
Housing Market
Pending
A significant increase in CPI in the following month (September 2025) is predicted to make the market more concerned about inflation.
"if CPI were to get a big move up next month the markets might start to think wait a second what if this is not just a single data point thing and then the market might start to care a little bit more."
Market Reaction
Pending
The market is predicted to rally through most of August 2025, followed by a drop in September 2025.
"Rally for the rest of August or most the rest of August and then see a drop in September."
Market Trends
Pending
The Fed is predicted to cut interest rates in September 2025.
"They're probably still going to cut rates in September. ... I would still say the most likely outcome is that they do cut rates in September."
Monetary Policy
Pending
The long end of the yield curve is predicted to increase following the Fed's rate cut in September 2025.
"I think this will provide evidence that the long end of the yield curve will likely go up after they cut rates because I think the market's going to look at this and say we don't need rate cuts, right?"
Yield Curve
Pending
A rate cut by the Fed while inflation is rising is expected to worsen the housing market.
"if you lower rates with rising inflation, it's not going to affect it's not going to to improve the housing market. In fact, it's likely going to make the housing market worse."
Housing Market
Pending
The market is predicted to rally through most of August 2025, then experience a drop in September 2025.
"Rally for the rest of August or most the rest of August and then see a drop in September."
Market Trends
Pending