Unemployment Rate Holds Steady at 4.2%

"My guess is that altcoins will continue to bleed back to Bitcoin for at least another few weeks."

"My guess is going into the summer, June, July time frame, then I would probably expect a bounce by all Bitcoin pairs, but then I would also expect more weakness by them, you know, in like September and October and then early November."

"Bitcoin dominance likely is going to go up no matter what."

"We said in May we'll likely see initial claims start to go up."

"if the initial claims do continue to go up um in May and June, then it seems like it would probably also correspond to the unemployment rate going up."

"I wouldn't be that surprised to see this go up as we get later on into the year."

"I do believe there's a high probability that the current Fed funds rate is higher than the neutral rate and therefore it's going to continue to lead to a slowing economy."

"I wouldn't be surprised to see it go back down there relatively soon."

"By 2026, you'll probably see it be negative is my guess. By 2026, it probably will be negative."

"I think this might be one of the first months where we really start to see the impact of tariffs."

"If you if you were from the future and you told me that Bitcoin were to set a lower low, then I would assume I would assume that means that it's not going to go much higher... this is where you would ultimately expect it to top out, right? Somewhere around 100k"

"we basically said that that January 20th will represent a local top at the very least. You'll see weakness between February OPEX and March OPEX that will likely that'll likely continue into early to mid April and then a at at the very least a counter trend rally in Q2 Q3 after the death cross."

"We said in May we'll likely see initial claims start to go up."

"if we see initial claims go higher in May and June like they have for the last couple of years, then arguably we could see the unemployment rate do something similar."

"So, I wouldn't be that surprised to see this go up as we get later on into the year."

"I wouldn't be surprised to see it go back down there relatively soon."

"I would argue that as long as it stays below 300K, it's still relatively okay for the labor market. Above 300K, I I would be more concerned that we would sort of induce a negative feedback loop where, you know, increasing layoffs lead to lower demand, which lead to lower earnings by companies, which then lead to more layoffs."

"this is one that I I I would probably by 2026, you'll probably see it be negative is my guess. By 2026, it probably will be negative."

"my guess is that all Bitcoin pairs continue to bleed... the more times that all Bitcoin pairs test this level, you know, arguably the the more likely it is for it to eventually break down... If they keep knocking on the door, eventually people, you know, it's the the door is going to open, right? I mean, you're basically what you're witnessing right now is just people giving up on all season. That's essentially what you're witnessing."

"My guess is that altcoins will continue to bleed back to Bitcoin for at least another few weeks. My guess is going into the summer, June, July time frame, then I would probably expect a bounce by all Bitcoin pairs, but then I would also expect more weakness by them, you know, in like September and October and then early November."