Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

"One of which I still think will likely be achieved. Um, and that's a retest of the of the 2024 high."

"it it probably will happen in the next day or two."

"you would almost expect it at the very least to check back in with that weekly close right there at just below 80K, like 78 to 79K... So, I mean, I still think that's a likely outcome at some point in the coming weeks."

"you had a death cross in June and then you didn't really get a count a big counter trend rally until a month later, right? It was exactly one month later. So that would correspond to potentially early May, right? And that would actually line up with the S&P Divide by M2 11we drop. That would also line up with with early May."

"Ethereum is only a couple hundred away from sort of being quote unquote home, right? It's around that $15 to $1,600 milestone for Ethereum to be home. And this is exactly what's happened every cycle is that it it it goes home."

"is this is this just kind of like a lot of the other times where people are like, "Oh, Bitcoin's holding up better." And then like a week or two later, it then just does the same thing. And everyone's like, "Oh, it's not actually. It was just delayed." Um, to me, that's what's going on."

"we expected weakness in the stock market starting around February opex, February options expiration... that there would basically be weakness in the stock market starting around February opex and at least extending through March OPEX."

"that weakness can extend into early to mid April given the whole tariff stuff and inflationary worries that might persist into April with the tariffs and whatnot. It seems somewhat likely that the stock market would continue to show weakness into early to mid April."

"perhaps there'll be another low in April of 2025 before there's some type of of relief rally. I suggested we might start to finally see some relief around the maybe the midappril time frame is is what I'm thinking right now"

"What's happening right now in the market is very likely going to lead to layoffs. And those layoffs might not become obvious until later this year."