ilmscore | The Fed Slows Quantitative Tightening

The Fed Slows Quantitative Tightening

Published: 2025-03-19
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
If Bitcoin experiences further weakness, the key support level to watch is the 2024 high.
"the main area to the downside to watch for if there is more weakness and this is not the low would of course be the 2024 High"
BTC
Pending
The FED's next interest rate cut is not expected until June 2025 at the earliest, with only about a 20% chance of a cut at the May 2025 FOMC meeting.
"the next rate cut at least according to CME Group the earliest it would likely occur wouldn't even be until June right so the fomc is not projected to lower interest rates at the May meeting there's only about a 20% chance or so at least as of uh this time"
Interest Rates
Pending
The market is predicted to experience renewed strength going into Q2 2025. The majority of weakness is expected between February and March options expiration, potentially extending until mid-April. A more sustained rally is anticipated further into spring, with local lows generally occurring between mid-March and mid-April, often in March.
"going into the second quarter of the year we likely will see some renewed strength. I've mentioned many times that any weakness would likely the majority of the weakness will likely be between February options expiration and March options expiration... I could see it lasting the weakness lasting until say mid April but normally by the time you get further out into the spring there's a more sustained rally in the market... you see some type of low between mid-march to early to mid April and really a lot of times the low is in March more often than not the local low occurs in March not April"
Stock Market
Pending
Following the recent QT slowdown announcement (March 19, 2025), the market is predicted to see an initial bounce, followed by weakness a week or two later (late March/early April 2025), and then a stronger bounce approximately a month after that weakness (late April/early May 2025).
"what happened last time was a bounce on the announcement of a Slowdown a little bit of weakness a week or two later followed by a stronger bounce"
Stock Market
Pending
Altcoin pairs are expected to devalue against Bitcoin during April 2025. However, once the balance sheet slowdown actually takes effect (in April 2025), altcoin pairs might find renewed strength for a period.
"I'm curious if we will actually see you know some devaluation of all Bitcoin pairs um going into April... and then maybe once the actual slowdown occurs by the balance sheet then you might find renewed strength by off Bitcoin pairs for a while"
Altcoins
Pending
Altcoin pairs are predicted to experience a drop in April 2025, followed by temporary renewed strength, then another decline, and finally a larger upward move towards the end of 2025 or early 2026, potentially mirroring patterns from two cycles ago.
"all Bitcoin pairs um get another drop in April and then maybe they find a little bit of renewed strength for a while and then ultimately they go down here and then you get a larger move up you know later on right like maybe the end of 2025 early 2026"
Altcoins
Pending
The Bank of Japan is predicted to raise interest rates again in Q3 2025, specifically with a decent likelihood around July 2025 (plus or minus one month).
"there is a good chance that the bage pen will raise rates again in the third quarter of the year... a decent likelihood that the bank of Japan will raise rates again around July July okay plus or minus one month or so"
Interest Rates (Japan)
Pending