Published: 2025-02-27
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
If Ethereum (ETH/USD) continues its drop, and the Fed signals an end to quantitative tightening in a few months (from Feb 2025), there's a good chance this will mark the bottom for Ethereum's Bitcoin valuation (ETH/BTC).
"if ethereum continues this drop right if it continues this drop and then you see a signal in a few months that the FED has ended quantitative tightening there's a good chance that that the bottom for eth Bitcoin"
Pending
Ethereum's Bitcoin valuation (ETH/BTC) is not expected to achieve durable higher prices until quantitative tightening by the Fed concludes.
"I don't really expect it to go higher and I don't really expect it to go higher until quantitative tightening is over at least not in a durable fashion"
Pending
Ethereum's Bitcoin valuation (ETH/BTC) is likely to rally back up to its bull market support band once quantitative tightening ends.
"what's likely going to happen at some point is whenever quantitative tightening ends it'll likely get a rally back up to the bull market support band right eth Bitcoin will ... likely get a rally back up to the bull Mark sport band whenever quantitative tightening is over"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH/USD) is likely to slowly continue dropping below its current wedge formation, with potential counter-trend rallies.
"ethusd will likely continue to drop below the wedge slowly it's not going it's likely not going to all happen at once you could have some counter Trend rallies but it's probably going to slowly drop below the wedge at some point at some point"
Pending
Ethereum's Bitcoin valuation (ETH/BTC) may remain weak for a longer period because altcoin/Bitcoin pairs still need to decline to their range lows.
"one of the reasons why eth Bitcoin might stay weak for a little longer is because all Bitcoin pairs still need to go down"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH/USD) is predicted to bleed back down into its logarithmic regression band, potentially forming a macro higher low there.
"there is a a case to be made that ethusd could sort of bleed back down into the regression band right and and sort of you see that macro higher low from last cycle ... what if you get sort of a macro higher low at the regression ban"
Pending
Following a bottom in its regression band, Ethereum (ETH/USD) is expected to experience a very large rally, potentially reaching new all-time highs.
"from that level I think you would get a really big rally by ethereum I do it's possible that it leads to a new high when that happens"
Pending
If Ethereum (ETH/USD) drops and subsequently rallies, following historical patterns, it could reach $3,000.
"if eth goes down here to a number that I'm not going to say out loud and it rallies you know it could mean it goes back up to 3K if it follows this pattern"
Pending
Ethereum is predicted to experience a significant rally, after which a recession might occur.
"you could get a scenario for eth where it does this big rally and then the recession hits"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH) could be around $1,500 by the end of 2025, aligning with its logarithmic regression band.
"even by 2025 the regression ban is still only going to be at around $1,500... you could still see a $1,500 eth"
Pending
Risk assets, including the S&P 500, are predicted to find a bottom around Summer 2025, approximately one year after the US interest rates metric tagged its trend line in Summer 2024.
"when did it tag the trend line the summer of 2024 so what if what if this isn't the craziest comparison to make right what if it's not the craziest comparison to make you can see right now that this metric is starting to go up when this metric tops right when this metric tops whenever it tops after this knee-jerk reaction right like it got over here when this metric tops what if that is the bottom for risk assets"
Pending
If a recession results in a 'garden variety' S&P 500 drop of only 20%, Ethereum (ETH) is expected to bottom within its logarithmic regression band and subsequently begin a new rally.
"if it's your garden variety recession where the S&P just drops 20% like it dropped in 1990 it was just a 20% drop then I don't see any reason why eth can't just bottom in the regression band and then begin its Journey up again"
Pending
If the S&P 500 experiences a severe 50% drop, Ethereum (ETH) is predicted to fall significantly lower than its regression band, failing to find a bottom there.
"if the S&P drops 50% then ethereum basically has no chance of bottoming out in this progression man it will go a lot lower"
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to experience significant weakness during post-election years (specifically 2025).
"there's a lot of weakness in the S&P 500 during this time of postelection years"
Pending
The S&P 500's weakness (in a post-election year, i.e., 2025) is expected to continue until late March.
"that weakness is likely not going to go away until late March"
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to show considerable weakness between its February and March options expirations (referring to 2025).
"there's a lot of weakness between options expiration in February that happened about a week ago and options expiration in March that happens in about 3 weeks or so"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH/USD) could potentially drop to $2,100 without breaking its technical support level.
"ethusd still hasn't actually broken down it could go as low as 2100 and still technically not be below the support level"
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur when the specific US interest rates metric (US interest rates minus the 2-year yield) touches its defined trend line.
"whenever this metric hits this trend line there is ultimately a recession"
Pending