ilmscore | Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 55)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 11
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's running one-year ROI is predicted to decay if Bitcoin does not move up in February 2025.
"if Bitcoin does not move up this February then this would start to Decay kind of like it did back over here in in 2019"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to react significantly to unemployment rate data if it falls outside the 4.1%-4.2% range next week (early February 2025).
"I don't think Bitcoin is going to care too much about it if it's outside of those bounds Bitcoin may start to care about it"
BTC
Pending
Continued pullback of Nvidia in February 2025 is predicted to be a headwind for the crypto market.
"If Nvidia continues to pull back in February then it would likely be sort of a headwind for crypto"
NVDA
Pending
Cryptocurrency market is predicted to experience significant volatility next week (early February 2025).
"I think decision time is next week."
Cryptocurrency Market Volatility
Pending
The cryptocurrency market cycle peak is ideally predicted to occur later in 2025.
"ideally we get a right translated cycle where the cycle Peak occurs in say later on this year"
Cryptocurrency Market Cycle Peak
Pending
If a right-translated cycle occurs (peak later in 2025), altcoins are predicted to see significant gains towards the end of 2025, followed by a bear market in 2026.
"if you do get a right translated cycle like normal then it would be the last year of the cycle at some point... that all Bitcoin pairs start to go up... the froest stuff usually goes up the most at the very end of the cycle and then that's what you that's what usually leads into the midterm year bare market"
Cryptocurrency Market Cycle (Altcoins, Bear Market)
Pending
Evidence of a left-translated cryptocurrency cycle peak (earlier than Q4 2025) is predicted to be apparent by Q3 2025.
"if we're unfortunate and we get a left translated Peak... then there would be plenty of evidence for it by the third quarter of the year"
Cryptocurrency Market Cycle Peak (Left Translated)
Pending
If a left-translated cryptocurrency cycle occurs, a market drop in Q1 2025, followed by a Q2 2025 rally forming a macro lower high, is predicted.
"the way it would work out would be there'd be a drop in q1 at some point and then sort of like a rally in Q2 that would put in sort of a macro lower high"
Cryptocurrency Market Cycle (Left Translated Scenario)
Pending
The cryptocurrency market is predicted to enter a durable overvaluation phase (lasting more than a couple of months) if inflation and unemployment rates remain stable and non-accelerating.
"if all of that can happen and the stars align and we can still have this sort of in between phase where the inflation data is not really accelerating and the unemployment rate data is not really accelerating if we can get that then it would more so favor going into that more durable overvaluation phase where the asset class go goes more durably overvalued and we stay there for more than just a month or two"
Cryptocurrency Market Overvaluation
Pending
A significant move into overvaluation from the fair value trend line is predicted to lead to a cryptocurrency market crash in 2026.
"if we get a big move off of this fair value log logarithmic aggression trend line then it would likely take us you know relatively overvalued meaning the asset class is getting kind of ahead of itself and that'll lead into a market crash probably in 2026 like we normally get in midterm years"
Cryptocurrency Market Crash
Pending
The total cryptocurrency market cap is predicted to ultimately reach $10 trillion (plus or minus a few trillion dollars).
"ultimately I do think the asset class will go to 10 trillion plus or minus a few trillion"
Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap
Pending