ilmscore | The Fed Continues Quantitative Tightening

Predictions from this Video

Total: 18
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 18
Prediction
Topic
Status
Ethereum dominance (ETH.D) was predicted to bottom out around 9% to 10%.
"I sort of speculated that eth the eth dominance would likely bottom out around 9 to 10%"
ETH
Pending
ETH/BTC was predicted to bottom at approximately 0.03.
"I would honestly prefer for it to just go ahead and bottom out at around 03 that's what I said was a good you know back when it was at 85 I said 03 could in fact be the bottom"
ETH
Pending
Should ETH/BTC fall below 0.03 while Quantitative Tightening (QT) persists, the next support is projected to be around 0.026.
"if and if it just drops below .003 then I guess the next support is you know maybe here at 026 perhaps like the 2019 um you know that low right there I'm not saying it has to go that low as far as I'm concerned 03 is good enough but if QT continues it's always a possibility"
ETH
Pending
Bitcoin is expected to outperform the overall altcoin market as long as Quantitative Tightening (QT) continues.
"as long as QT continues bitcoin's probably going to ultimately hold up better than the collective altcoin market"
BTC
Pending
The current trend of Bitcoin outperforming altcoins is predicted to reverse sometime in 2025.
"I think that Trend will change some point this year"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance was predicted to increase starting from May 2021.
"we first started talking about coin dominance going higher as early as May of 2021 it became fairly obvious though in January of 2022 that it was going to happen"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
The US Federal Reserve's terminal interest rate was predicted to reach 5.5%.
"the FED went to five and a half which is what we said the terminal rate would likely be"
US Federal Reserve
Pending
The US Federal Reserve will continue quantitative tightening (QT) for longer than the Bank of Canada (BoC).
"I guess it makes sense that the fed's going to hold out for longer than the Bank of Canada right so the Bank of Canada has announced an end to quantitative tightening coming up the FED has given no such indication"
US Federal Reserve Quantitative Tightening
Pending
The market's expectation of only two US Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 (one in summer, one in December) is unlikely to happen.
"this is likely not what's going to happen right you're probably not just going to get two rate Cuts followed by basically nothing and then another rate cut a full year later probably not was going to happen"
US Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
Pending
If the 2019 Bitcoin dominance pattern repeats, Bitcoin dominance could rise above 60%, then sell off, and potentially rise again later in summer 2025.
"so if that were to repeat you could actually see Bitcoin dominance go back above 60% and then maybe it sells off again right I mean you could and then maybe it go goes back up later on in the summer"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
Bitcoin dominance will likely drop at some point during 2025.
"at some point it will likely drop this year"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
If the 'all Bitcoin pairs' index (Total 3 minus USDT / BTC) continues its current broadening wedge pattern, it might reach the range low by November 2025, potentially leading to an upward move thereafter.
"Now if it were to continue along this path it might continue to go down a little bit more rally for a little and then drop like that and if it does do that you might actually find it back down here here you know by at the range Low by November at which point maybe then it finally goes up"
Altcoin Market
Pending
The US Federal Reserve will likely end Quantitative Tightening (QT) before November 2025.
"I have a hard time believing at this point that it'll take until November for the FED to in QT especially considering that the Bank of Canada is already ending it"
US Federal Reserve Quantitative Tightening
Pending
The new US administration will advocate for further interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve.
"the new Administration that's come in is is going to really be wanting you to lower rates even further"
US Politics
Pending
The Federal Reserve is unlikely to initiate Quantitative Easing (QE) soon due to ongoing inflation trends.
"it's probably premature for them to go to QE simply because who knows if this is a trend that's going to continue to sustain itself"
US Federal Reserve Quantitative Easing
Pending
A potential scenario is that the Federal Reserve might halt Quantitative Tightening (QT), leading to a market sell-off within the next couple of months (Feb-Mar 2025), which would then compel the Fed to reverse course and potentially begin easing in March 2025.
"one potential outcome I've mentioned is that you could see the FED not go forward within in QT and and maybe you see a sell-off in the Market at some point of the next couple of months and then they have to reverse course in in March"
US Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending
If the 'all Bitcoin pairs' index (Total 3 minus USDT / BTC) replicates its performance from the previous year, it is expected to consolidate, then decline into summer 2025, potentially reaching 0.25 by October-November 2025, after which it might begin an upward trend.
"if it follows what it did last year then all Bitcoin pairs might just kind of Bounce Around in here for a little while and then fade into the summer and then you get down to your 0.25 by October November and then maybe it goes up"
Altcoin Market
Pending
In the short term, Bitcoin dominance could rise to sweep a high, then drop, consolidate, and potentially rise again later in 2025, before a possible decline in Q4 2025.
"in the short term again I think you could see something like this where dominance goes up and sweeps this high and then gets a drop and then kind of consolidates maybe goes up again later on this year um before potentially dropping late this year like say Q4"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending