ilmscore | A Discussion With David Lin on Bitcoin, Stocks, and Macro

Predictions from this Video

Total: 6
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 6
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin will experience more choppiness and sideways price action in the short term until significant news emerges.
"I think that we're going to get again if I were to guess we're just guessing here if I were to guess probably more choppiness sideways action until we see some more news"
BTC
Pending
An altcoin cycle will occur in 2025, following the Bitcoin bull run, with increased retail interest in altcoins driven by government attention and desire for leverage.
"I think once the government starts to pay more attention to other digital assets uh definitely there will be more interest just naturally in the news but I think um and and I think you and I have talked about this before an altcoin cycle typically follows a Bitcoin Bull Run and so people are naturally going to be more and the retail crowd that is is I think they're going to naturally be more interested in the altcoins after big Bitcoin dominance Bull Run anyway just because they want that additional leverage and they want that additional risk so I think it's just a function of waiting and it's going to happen so um yeah I I I you know whether or not it's going to be xrp or salano or ethereum this remember last last Bull Run four years ago ethereum was all the hype in 2021 that is no longer huge now what's going to be the next thing that people going to be talking about to flip Bitcoin I don't know um the xrp guys want xrp to be the thing but we'll see but yeah the short answer to your question is yes"
Cryptocurrency Market
Pending
If interest rates are cut further, inflation will likely increase due to concerns about a heating labor market.
"to your question about whether or not interest rates would cause inflation coming down uh if interest rate were to come down more um the answer is probably yes I think people are concerned about uh the labor market heating up already"
Inflation
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates by January 29, 2025.
"there's a 0% chance the FED will cut by tomorrow we're speaking like yeah literally by tomorrow um is the f MC announcement um if they do there that's going to be the mother of all rallies but I I doubt it so"
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending
US GDP growth rate will be slower in 2025 but will not contract into negative territory.
"I'm I I I I think the growth rate of the economy may be slower due to the base effect from the previous year um I don't see us Contracting into negative GDP this year if you were to force me to give an answer so I'm kind of somewhere in between I think the growth rate may be slower and that's not that's not my Pro by the way that's not only what I think the IMF is making a similar forecast for the global economies um I think the growth rate may be slower um I don't think the growth rate will be negative"
US Economy
Pending
The meme coin craze will escalate ('degeneracy') later in 2025, serving as a signal for the overall crypto market top when retail excitement peaks.
"I think the meme coin craze hasn't hit us fully yet I think there's going to be if I may use the word degeneracy um later on this year and I think once you see that that's your signal for the market top I think retail is nowhere nowhere near the top for retail excitement yet"
Meme Coin Market
Pending