ilmscore | Bitcoin Dominance in 2025

Bitcoin Dominance in 2025

Predictions from this Video

Total: 33
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 33
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin dominance is unlikely to rise for the entire year of 2025.
"if you go into 2025 saying that it's going to go up the entire year right that Bitcoin Dominus will go up the entire year there's a good chance she'll be disappointed"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is strongly likely to drop a considerable amount at some point in 2025.
"I do believe there is a strong likelihood that at some point this year we will see Bitcoin dominance drop a considerable amount"
BTC
Pending
A significant upward move in Bitcoin's price in 2025 could mark a cycle top, especially if labor market issues arise later in the year.
"there's a chance it could be a cycle top depending on how big the move is um like if you know if it's a if it's a major move move like basically if it's like a a really big move and the only reason I say that is because as you get out further and further into this year we might have some labor market issues"
BTC
Pending
A 'growth scare' causing quantitative easing before the cycle's end in 2025 would likely lead to altcoins outperforming Bitcoin, with Bitcoin dominance entering a downtrend.
"if you were to get a growth scare before the actual end of the cycle that would probably be enough to induce quantitative easing right quantitative easing and from from that drop you would then likely see alts outperform Bitcoin because QE is back and Bitcoin dominance would likely be in a downtrend"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to continue converging, showing lower highs and higher lows.
"I still for now I'm sticking with sort of the the lower high idea and the higher low and it's basically just converging into whatever it's going to go"
BTC
Pending
Altcoins will likely set a macro lower high against Bitcoin.
"it just ends up being a macro lower high right"
BTC
Pending
If Cardano (ADA) cannot break out of its current trend line by March or April 2025, it is likely to see a price decline.
"if it can't do that by April by March or April then there's a good chance it could just bleed back down"
ADA
Pending
The ETH/BTC trading pair is likely to bottom out soon (in 2025).
"I would argue there's a good chance it could bottom out soon"
ETH
Pending
If Bitcoin follows its historical 'right translated cycle' pattern, it should see another upward price move soon in 2025.
"if Bitcoin follows a normal right translated cycle then it should get another move up soon"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin will fall below its 2x running one-year ROI if it does not reach $140,000 by March 2025.
"if Bitcoin doesn't go to 140k by March then it's going to fall below this 2x running onee Roi"
BTC
Pending
If quantitative tightening ends, altcoins are predicted to outperform Bitcoin, especially during periods of Bitcoin stagnation.
"if quantitative tightening were over I would say that altcoins can outperform Bitcoin uh especially as it stalls out"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is likely to outperform altcoins during any rallies as long as quantitative easing has not returned.
"if Bitcoin can rally bitcoin's likely going to outperform alts in any rally until QB returns"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is likely to decrease, with the final drop potentially not occurring until November 2025, mirroring the 2017 cycle.
"it likely will go down if it's like 2017 it'll it won't occur until Al you know the the final drop of Bitcoin dominance won't even occur until November"
BTC
Pending
A sustained drop in Bitcoin dominance in 2025 is unlikely until quantitative tightening ends.
"there's a decent chance that it won't be a durable drop by dominance until quantitative tightening ends"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to rise between 2026 and 2028.
"don't fade dominance from 2026 to 2028 because there's a good chance dominance will go up during that time regardless of what happens this year"
BTC
Pending
An increase in the unemployment rate in 2025 could trigger quantitative easing by the Fed, shifting the market cycle.
"if the unemployment rate starts to move back up again right early this year or or anytime this year that could spook the FED that could lead to quantitative easing and then you might get to a a different part of the cycle"
Macroeconomics
Pending
With rising inflation in 2025, it is unlikely that quantitative tightening will end soon.
"with inflation going up it's not necessarily the most likely scenario for the in quantitative tightening"
Macroeconomics
Pending
Throughout 2025, market attention will increasingly divert from Bitcoin to 'frothier' altcoins.
"as the year goes on you're probably going to see that happen more and more and more"
Crypto Market Sentiment
Pending
Quantitative tightening may not end in 2025 until a 'spooky data point' (e.g., in unemployment or inflation) causes a growth scare.
"and quantitative tightening might not end until there's a spooky data point somewhere that leads to a growth scare"
Macroeconomics
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) was predicted to reach 60% by 2024.
"back in 20122 really even in at some point in 2021 I believe in May of 2021 we called for Bitcoin dominance to go on a very long journey back to 60%"
BTC.D
Pending
The ETH/BTC pair was predicted to drop to the 0.03-0.04 range (made when it was at 0.08).
"when I said that eth Bitcoin would likely go to the .3 to point 04 range it was met with a lot of hate and criticism"
ETH/BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is predicted to drop a considerable amount at some point in 2025.
"I do believe there is a strong likelihood that at some point this year we will see Bitcoin dominance drop a considerable amount"
BTC.D
Pending
A significant Bitcoin (BTC) rally into March 2025 could potentially mark a cycle top.
"if it gets like a big move up into March uh you know if it if it does do something like that there I mean I don't want to say it's it has to be the most likely outcome but there there's a chance it could be a cycle top depending on how big the move is"
BTC
Pending
If the Cardano/Bitcoin (ADA/BTC) pair fails to break out of its current trend line by March or April 2025, it is predicted to 'bleed back down'.
"if it can't do that by April by March or April then there's a good chance it could just bleed back down"
ADA/BTC
Pending
If Bitcoin (BTC) rallies in 2025 while Quantitative Easing (QE) has not yet returned, Bitcoin is predicted to outperform altcoins during that rally.
"if Bitcoin can rally bitcoin's likely going to outperform alts in any rally until QB returns"
BTC
Pending
A durable drop in Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) in 2025 is predicted not to occur until Quantitative Tightening (QT) ends, which may require a 'spooky data point' (e.g., negative economic news) to trigger a growth scare.
"there's a decent chance that it won't be a durable drop by dominance until quantitative tightening ends and quantitative tightening might not end until there's a spooky data point somewhere that leads to a growth scare"
BTC.D
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is predicted to increase from 2026 to 2028.
"don't fade dominance from 2026 to 2028 because there's a good chance dominance will go up during that time regardless of what happens this year"
BTC.D
Pending
Altcoins are predicted to begin durably outperforming Bitcoin in 2025 (the post-Bitcoin halving year).
"altcoins start to durably outperform bitcoin this tends to happen sometime in the post having year which is the current year that we're in right it's the current year that we're in"
Altcoin Outperformance
Pending
Labor market issues are anticipated to emerge later in 2025.
"as you get out further and further into this year we might have some labor market issues"
Labor Market
Pending
If a significant crypto market drop occurs in 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is predicted to experience a smaller percentage decline compared to the altcoin market.
"if we're unfortunate and something bad happens that causes the market to drop... then while Bitcoin would drop and it would really suck it's still probably wouldn't drop as much as the altcoin market"
Bitcoin vs. Altcoin Drop Performance
Pending
If the collective 'all Bitcoin pairs' market capitalization (altcoins' combined market cap relative to Bitcoin's) does not decline to its historical range low, it is predicted to be less likely to subsequently reach its historical range high.
"if you don't go to the range low then you're less likely to go to the Range High"
Altcoin Market Cap vs. Bitcoin
Pending
If a growth scare leads to a market sell-off and Quantitative Easing (QE) begins, altcoins are predicted to underperform Bitcoin during the initial drop but then outperform Bitcoin as QE unfolds, with Bitcoin dominance entering a downtrend.
"if you were to get a growth scare before the actual end of the cycle that would probably be enough to induce quantitative easing right quantitative easing and from from that drop you would then likely see alts outperform Bitcoin because QE is back and Bitcoin dominance would likely be in a downtrend"
Altcoin Performance with QE
Pending
If Quantitative Tightening (QT) continues throughout 2025, the collective 'all Bitcoin pairs' market capitalization is predicted to decline into the summer, potentially capitulating in October-November and reaching historical range lows before bottoming by year-end.
"if quantitative tightening just keeps going on... and all Bitcoin pairs just kind of do this where they you know maybe they bounce around for a little bit but by the time you get out into the dog days of the summer like last year they just kind of come back down here and then October November they capitulate down like they did right there in November of 2017 and everyone really gives up and they're like what in the hell is going on and then maybe that's where they bottom"
Altcoin Market Cap Decline
Pending