Published: 2025-01-23
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin predicted to hit a mid-cycle top in March 2024, followed by a 6-9 month downturn before breaking out again (author's confirmed prediction).
"we said back in March of 2024 that it was a midcycle top and that we would spend six to nine months going down before then breaking back out"
Pending
Bitcoin is not expected to achieve a 20x return in 2025.
"I do not expect Bitcoin to go up 20x this year right if it does then great"
Pending
Bitcoin's peak price in 2023 was predicted to be $35k (author admits being wrong, actual was $42k-$43k).
"Bitcoin in 2023 I thought the highest it would go would be 35k"
Pending
If Bitcoin clears a certain resistance level, it is predicted to reach $130,000-$140,000 by February 2025.
"if Bitcoin can clear this level... then by February you know it would it would put Bitcoin between 130 to 140k if it's going to follow what it did last cycle or last year last year"
Pending
Bitcoin is not expected to achieve a 20x price increase in 2025.
"I do not expect Bitcoin to go up 20x this year"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to be trading around $100,000-$104,000 by the third quarter of 2025, regardless of short-term volatility.
"I would argue that there's a good chance that no matter what Bitcoin is still hanging on to around the these prices by the third quarter of the year"
Pending
Bitcoin price needs to start moving up in February-March 2025 to follow historical 'right translated cycle' patterns.
"in order for this cycle to play out like a normal right translated cycle and continue to follow what it did in 2016 and 2017 then the implication is that it would need to start moving up relatively soon right February March time frame"
Pending
If Bitcoin follows its previous year's pattern, it is predicted to reach $130k-$140k by February 2025.
"if Bitcoin does that [clears current level and tags higher high structure again] then by February you know it would it would put Bitcoin between 130 to 140k if it's going to follow what it did last cycle or last year last year"
Pending
The Bitcoin market is predicted to experience more volatility in 2025 compared to 2024.
"I would argue you probably will get more volatility this year than you got last year"
Pending
The Bitcoin market peak for the current cycle is expected in Q4 2025, assuming a 'right translated cycle' pattern.
"a right translated cycle which is what ideally we would all want would imply that the peak would occur in Q4 of the post having year just like it did last cycle two cycles ago and three Cycles ago in Q4 of the post having year"
Pending
In an optimistic scenario, Bitcoin is predicted to rise to $120k-$140k by March-April 2025, then fade back to around $100k by August 2025.
"if Bitcoin can go up to say 120 130 140k sometime within the next 2 to 3 months then it might just repeat what it did in the last couple of years and then fade into the third quarter of the Year where it does something like this and then just kind of Fades into Q3 again... by August this trend line dubiously drawn would be at around 100K"
Pending
In a pessimistic 'left translated cycle' scenario for 2025, if Bitcoin drops due to negative economic news, it is predicted to experience a significant bounce and recover to around $100k by Q3 2025.
"if any of that stuff happens and it causes the markets to to get fearful and they fade down here and let's say it it back tests this trend line my guess is that it would get a really big bounce off of that and still end up at the same spot by Q3"
Pending
Regardless of market volatility, Bitcoin is predicted to remain around its current price (implied ~$100k) by Q3 2025.
"I would argue that there's a good chance that no matter what Bitcoin is still hanging on to around the these prices by the third quarter of the year"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to experience higher volatility in 2025 compared to 2024.
"I would argue you probably will get more volatility this year than you got last year"
Pending