If Bitcoin quickly drops to its 100-day moving average and bounces strongly, it indicates a bullish scenario. If it slowly drops below the 100-day moving average and stays below the range low, it suggests a bearish scenario similar to 2023, potentially leading to a larger drop.
"I would say if you get a quick move down by Bitcoin to the 100 day moving average and then it bounces strongly off that it would imply that this is the more relevant analog if on the other hand Bitcoin slowly drops below it and then just kind of stays just below the range low like that kind of like it did right there then the implication is that it looks more like 2023 where then it could get that drop back down maybe find support there and then figure out the next move"