Published: 2025-01-07
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin could reach $120,000 by January 20th, 2025, based on a historical pattern.
"by the inauguration January 20th it would correspond to approximately $120,000"
Pending
If the US unemployment rate (to be released on the upcoming Friday in January 2025) is 4.2% or less, it will be positive for Bitcoin.
"if the unemployment rate is equal or less than 4.2% then that is good for Bitcoin... if the unemployment rate comes in on Friday at 4.2 or 4.1 or four probably a good thing for Bitcoin"
Pending
If the US unemployment rate is 4.3%, Bitcoin will likely trade sideways until February 2025.
"if on the other hand the unemployment rate comes in at 4.3 then I would argue Bitcoin would probably chop around for another month then Bitcoin probably chops until February"
Pending
If the US unemployment rate is greater than 4.3% (e.g., 4.4%), Bitcoin will likely experience a correction.
"if the unemployment rate is greater than 4.3% so let's say it's 4.4 then Bitcoin probably gets a correction"
Pending
The US Dollar (DXY) is predicted to top out in Q1 2025.
"I would say that there's a good chance the dollar is going to top out this quarter it could have already topped"
Pending
If the US Dollar tops out in Q1 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield will also likely top out in Q1 2025, leading to a loosening labor market throughout 2025.
"if the dollar is to top out in q1 of 2025 then the implication is that the 10 year yield would likely top out in q1 of 2025 and if that is the case then the implication of that would be that the labor market will likely continue to loosen up as the year goes on"
Pending
If Bitcoin reaches $120,000 by inauguration day (Jan 20, 2025), a correction might follow.
"keep this scenario in the back of your mind if on inauguration day bitcoin's at 120k and it just seems like it can't possibly get better right... then you might get a correction"
Pending
Bitcoin's next sustained period of weakness (lasting a few months) is predicted to occur in Q3 2025.
"perhaps the next main weakness sustained weakness that'll last for a few months might not be until Q3 of 2025"
Pending
A typical bear market is predicted for 2026.
"and then you get your typical 2026 bare Market"
Pending
Bitcoin price is predicted to reach approximately $120,000 by January 20, 2025.
"if you actually take the prior High and go 10% above that then of course that gets you to around 120k that would essentially be like repeating this pattern right where it it basically just tags this trend line again and you can see that actually by the inauguration January 20th it would correspond to approximately $120,000"
Pending
Bitcoin's $73,000 peak was predicted to be a mid-cycle top that would hold for 6 to 9 months (from roughly mid-2024).
"we said over and over again that 73k would likely be a midcycle top that would probably hold as the top for about 6 to n months"
Pending
If the unemployment rate (expected to be reported on January 10, 2025) is 4.2% or lower, it will be a positive catalyst for Bitcoin in the short term.
"if the unemployment rate is equal or less than 4.2% then that is good for Bitcoin"
Pending
If the unemployment rate (expected to be reported on January 10, 2025) is 4.3%, Bitcoin will likely trade sideways with volatility until February 2025.
"if the unemployment rate comes in at 4.3 then I would argue Bitcoin would probably chop around for another month then Bitcoin probably chops until February"
Pending
If the unemployment rate (expected to be reported on January 10, 2025) is greater than 4.3% (e.g., 4.4%), Bitcoin will likely experience a correction.
"if the unemployment rate is greater than 4.3% so let's say it's 4.4 then Bitcoin probably gets a correction"
Pending
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is predicted to top out in Q1 2025.
"there's a good chance the dollar is going to top out this quarter"
Pending
If Bitcoin reaches $120,000 by January 20, 2025, it could subsequently experience a significant drop to $63,000 in February 2025, mirroring a past QQQ pattern.
"if Bitcoin finds itself at 120k at some point in a few weeks... after it hit 120 it had a large drop down to 63 which is a pretty big drop... it occurred the the next month right so that'd be uh February not January"
Pending
Bitcoin's next period of sustained weakness, lasting a few months, is predicted to occur in Q3 2025.
"the next main weakness sustained weakness that'll last for a few months might not be until Q3 of 2025"
Pending
In 2025, the ratio of S&P 500 to unemployment rate squared may drop (indicating a potential market bottom), followed by a multi-month rally, preceding a typical bear market in 2026.
"at some point in 2025 you might get that same thing right you might see the S SMP divided by the unemploy rate squared at some point drop down here everyone thinks it's over and then it just pops back up for another few months and then it's over for a while and then you get your typical 2026 bare Market"
Pending
If the DXY tops out in Q1 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield will also likely top out in Q1 2025.
"if the dollar is to top out in q1 of 2025 then the implication is that the 10 year yield would likely top out in q1 of 2025"
Pending
If the dollar and 10-year yield top in Q1 2025, the labor market will likely loosen throughout 2025, prompting the Federal Reserve to end quantitative tightening and begin quantitative easing.
"if that is the case then the implication of that would be that the labor market will likely continue to loosen up as the year goes on which would then incentivize the FED to end quantitative tightening and go back to everyone's favorite quantitative easing"
Pending