ilmscore | S&P 500 Outlook

S&P 500 Outlook

Published: 2024-12-22
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted the US dollar would rally in Q4 2024, accelerate in December 2024, and potentially top in early January 2025.
"I said that the dollar would likely rally in Q4 and accelerate in December potentially topping in early January"
USD
Pending
Predicted a short-term correction for the S&P 500 if the US dollar and the long end of the yield curve rally to previous highs.
"if the dollar rallies the long of the O curve is likely also going to rally and if they rally right if they rally together and they continue to go back up to these highs that's where you could see a a a short-term correction by the S&P 500"
SPX
Pending
Predicted the 10-year yield would drop significantly if a recession occurs soon.
"if you get a recession soon then the 10e yield would likely Drop Like a Rock"
US10Y
Pending
Predicted that a recession is unlikely as long as initial jobless claims remain below 300,000.
"as long as it's below 300K I I don't really think it's a recession"
Recession
Pending
Predicted the US dollar would top out in late 2024 or early 2025 after an explosive Q4 rally, and then start to decline.
"it basically gets a fairly explosive rally in Q4 and then kind of like tops out sort of late this year early next year and then starts to go back down"
USD
Pending
Predicted that TLT, even after forming a double bottom and a brief rally, would eventually resolve lower.
"even when that happens it then still resolves lower eventually so be aware that that you could see that play out"
TLT
Pending
Predicted that risk assets would accelerate again if the long end of the yield curve starts to show weakness.
"if you can see the long end uh start to to show weakness then you would likely see risk assets accelerate again just like they did in in 2023"
SPX
Pending
Predicted that the S&P 500 should start moving up again whenever the long end of the yield curve tops.
"whenever the long end tops that's when the S&P should start moving up again"
SPX
Pending