ilmscore | Bitcoin Market Cycle Theory

Bitcoin Market Cycle Theory

Published: 2024-12-18
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 5
Pending: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted that Bitcoin will reach approximately $120,000 in early 2025.
"QQQ went all the way up to 120 so for Bitcoin that would be about 120k... well 3x from the yearly open for Bitcoin is about 120k"
BTC
Incorrect
Predicted that Bitcoin's next market cycle bottom will occur in Q4 2026.
"if history were to repeat itself it would mean that the next Market cycle bottom would be in Q4 of 2026"
Bitcoin Cycle
Pending
Predicted that Bitcoin will reach its market cycle top in Q4 2025, following historical patterns.
"historically Bitcoin tops out in Q4 historically and there's a good chance that happens again"
BTC
Incorrect
Predicted that Bitcoin could experience a 'left translated cycle' with a peak as early as Q4 2024 or Q1 2025.
"you get a left translated cycle where you get a peak as early as Q4 of 2024 or q1 of 2025"
BTC
Correct
Predicted an alternative scenario where Bitcoin reaches a lower high by September 2025 and then declines in Q4 2025.
"even as far out as September of 2025 it could just then resolve to a lower high and then go down in Q4 2025 rather than up"
BTC
Incorrect
Predicted that Bitcoin will experience a 30-40% price correction in January or February 2025.
"normally Bitcoin gets a correction in q1 in January of the post year... Bitcoin would get a January correction of about 30 to 40%"
BTC
Incorrect
Predicted that the Bank of Japan will likely delay raising interest rates until January 2025.
"the market is suggesting they're not going to raise rates in December tomorrow so there's a good chance they don't raise rates tomorrow and they delay it until January"
Central Bank Policy
Incorrect