ilmscore | Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 52)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 12
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 12
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's Fear & Greed index is likely to stay at 90 and above for a longer term period (following November 2024).
"I think we go into it thinking this could lead to a longer term period where the fear and greed index stays at 90 and above"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to 'suck liquidity' from the altcoin market one last time in December 2024.
"I still think there is a good chance that Bitcoin will suck the liquidity from the altcoin market one last time for this cycle and my guess if it's going to happen is is going to happen in December"
BTC
Pending
Total crypto market cap to durably move above its fair value logarithmic progression trendline in November 2024.
"if it were to happen this November then I suppose it would be right on time especially as compared to last cycle"
Total Crypto Market Cap Valuation
Pending
Alt season is predicted to occur in 2025.
"we probably will get one in 2025"
Alt Season
Pending
The Federal Reserve might pivot from Quantitative Tightening (QT) to Quantitative Easing (QE) in December 2024.
"maybe the FED will pivot in December"
Macroeconomics (Federal Reserve Policy)
Pending
A 6-9 month drop for Bitcoin (or crypto market generally) was predicted in March 2024.
"back in March we called for a 6 to n month drop"
BTC
Pending
If the Federal Reserve pivots to Quantitative Easing (QE), the social risk metric for crypto is predicted to put in a higher low.
"my guess is If the Fed pivots to QE it'll put in a higher low"
Crypto Social Engagement
Pending
Bitcoin will attract liquidity from altcoins one final time in December 2024 before the next cycle.
"Bitcoin will suck the liquidity from the altcoin market one last time for this cycle and my guess if it's going to happen is is going to happen in December"
BTC
Pending
If the Bitcoin Fear & Greed index remains in the 90-100 range for a few weeks (following November 2024), it would favor an alt season in early 2025.
"if it can stay here [Fear & Greed Index at 90-100] for a few weeks then it would favor an ALT season especially in say like early 2025"
Alt Season
Pending
An altcoin season is favored to begin in early 2025, provided the Fear & Greed index remains in the 90-100 range for several weeks (from November 2024).
"if it can stay here for a few weeks then it would favor an ALT season especially in say like early 2025"
Altcoin Season
Pending
If the Bitcoin Fear & Greed index only stays in the 90-100 range for a couple of days (following November 2024) and the market cools off, the total crypto market cap durably moving overvalued might be delayed by a few months.
"if it [Fear & Greed Index] only stays here for a couple days and and then the market kind of cools off again then we're just going to be kicking the can down the road again... but it might just take it another few months to get there [durably overvalued]"
Total Crypto Market Cap Valuation
Pending
If the unemployment rate remains low (not showing concerning signs) in the next 2-3 weeks (from November 17, 2024), the crypto market is more likely to trend higher.
"if in two to three weeks the unemployment rate is still low and it isn't showing any concerning signs then it's probably more likely that the market trends higher"
Crypto Market Trend
Pending