The Fed Cuts Interest Rates (and Bitcoin and Ethereum Discussion)
Published: 2024-11-07
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2024-11-07
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The ETH/BTC ratio is predicted to bottom between 0.03 and 0.04.
"I've said for a long time I think eth Bitcoin will bottom between .03 to .04"
Pending
If the 10-year Treasury yield breaks out, the S&P 500 is predicted to experience a correction by the end of 2024, potentially in December.
"if the 10year breaks out here then it could correspond to a correction by the S&P 500 again so I would watch that going into the end of the year potentially in in December"
Pending
Ethereum is predicted to bleed down to its lower logarithmic regression trend line in 2024.
"it has been my view all year that it will bleed back down to the lower logarithmic aggression trend line"
Pending
Ethereum is predicted to potentially drop significantly ('go home') in December 2024.
"it Still Remains a possibility that it will go home in December"
Pending
If the unemployment rate remains low in December 2024, Bitcoin is predicted to continue following its historical cyclical pattern.
"if the unemployment rate comes in low again then Bitcoin will likely again just defer to the cyclical View"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (excluding stablecoins) is predicted to enter a topping process around 60% and then decrease in early 2025 with the start of Quantitative Easing.
"outcome one is just that it sort of goes into a topping process now and that 60% ends up being the top maybe it just kind of bounces around around 60% and then QE begins in you know next month or in early 2025 and then it starts to go down"
Pending
The 'others Bitcoin' ratio is predicted to form a bottom (potentially a higher low) in December 2024, consistent with historical patterns.
"wouldn't that be interesting if the low that occurred in September of 2019 when the FED ended QT happens to be December of 2024 which is also historically when when others Bitcoin puts in a higher low"
Pending
Altcoins are predicted to start outperforming Bitcoin in 2025 (the year after the halving).
"all start to outperform Bitcoin in the post ta year"
Pending
The US Dollar and long-term bond yields are predicted to rally until the end of 2024.
"my base case is that the dollar and the long the old Curve will rally into the end of the year"
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to break through its current resistance level.
"my base case is that the 10-year yield will break through here"
Pending
A recession in the US economy is predicted to be possible within a year from November 2024, contingent on a historical market comparison.
"there's a chance that you get a recession but it could still be a year away right if if 19 the 1989 comparison is it all relevant"
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to continue decreasing.
"interest rates will likely continue to come down"
Pending
The US 2-year Treasury yield is predicted to continue increasing.
"there's a good chance that the two-year yield will continue to go up"
Pending
The spread between general interest rates and the 2-year US Treasury yield is predicted to continue decreasing.
"this is likely going to keep going down"
Pending
Markets are predicted to react positively to the interest rate cut for a couple more weeks (from Nov 2024), then potentially stall before unemployment rate data in December 2024.
"my best guess in the short term is that you know the markets will still like the interest rate uh cut here for at least a couple more weeks and and then they might stall out again just sort of just before the unemployment rate stuff that comes through in December"
Pending