Published: 2024-10-23
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
TLT has a high probability of forming a double bottom or higher low and moving up, with no major move down expected soon.
"I think that there's a higher probability this time that it it you know it could double bottom could put in a higher low and then go back up I don't think and it could sweep this low but I don't think there's going to be another major move down at least not this early"
Pending
TLT could rally back up in 2025.
"it could be sort of like this where then it goes back up in 2025"
Pending
TLT could sweep its previous low before moving up.
"I could see it coming all the way back down here sweeping that low and then going up"
Pending
TLT is currently in its structural low region.
"structurally I think this is going to be the low region for TLT"
Pending
The US Dollar (DXY) is expected to have a sharp pullback around the unemployment rate data release, then continue to rise until the end of 2024, and then drop in early 2025.
"maybe maybe it goes up gets a sharp pullback around the release of the unemployment rate data and then continues to go up into the end of the year and then drops in early 2025"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is predicted to reach 60% by the end of 2024.
"and dominance should go to 60% by the end of the year"
Pending
The US Dollar (DXY) is predicted to top by the end of 2024.
"as the dollar goes up tops by the end of the year"
Pending
Unemployment rate is unlikely to drop again, with only 20-30% odds of it happening.
"if on the other hand the unemployment rate drops again... it doesn't really seem like the most likely outcome uh I would put it at maybe like 20 to 30% odds"
Pending
The long end of the yield curve will continue to rise until new data suggests otherwise.
"there's only one direction for the long and of the old curve to go until you start to get more data to suggest otherwise"
Pending
The unemployment rate is likely to structurally increase for a while.
"the reality is it's likely going to structurally go higher for a while right"
Pending
The Fed Funds rate has a good chance of being at 4.5% or lower within two months (by late Dec 2024).
"good chance the FED funds rate is going to be at 4 and a half% in two months at the very least and it could be lower than that right"
Pending
Full normalization of the yield curve is predicted to be complete in 2025.
"my guess is that full normalization of this yeld Curve will be complete um like in 2025 is my guess"
Pending
The long end of the yield curve is likely to top by the end of 2024 or early January 2025 at the latest.
"likely see the long and the yo curve top by the end of the year or early January at the latest"
Pending