Published: 2024-09-24
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin dominance predicted to decrease in 2025 (base case).
"my base case right now is that Bitcoin dominance goes down in 2025"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance predicted to top out at approximately 60% by end of 2024 or latest by second week of January 2025.
"Bitcoin dominance could still inch a little bit higher to perhaps 60% where I ultimately think it will Top out sometime by the end of the year the second week of January potentially at the latest"
Pending
ETH/BTC valuation likely to form a bottom between September and December 2024.
"my base case right now for eth Bitcoin is that it's probably just going to go through you know forming a bottom between you know September and December"
Pending
ETH/BTC valuation expected to rise, then retrace for a higher low in December 2024, before rising again in 2025 (base case).
"it goes up and then it comes back down in December and then goes up in 2025 I think that that might be my Bas case almost I think I don't I can't really think of a case that is more compelling"
Pending
Retail crypto investors could start to return by 2025.
"my argument is that they could start to arrive by 2025"
Pending
Crypto social risk expected to form a base and then rise in the post-halving year (2025).
"perhaps it will form a base and then start to go up in the post having year just like it did last time"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance predicted to durably decrease in 2025.
"Bitcoin dominance to durably go down which is what I think will happen in 2025"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC) predicted to decrease in 2025 as a base case.
"my base case right now is that Bitcoin dominance goes down in 2025"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance (BTC) most likely to inch higher to ~60% and top out by end of 2024 or second week of January 2025.
"the most likely outcome is that Bitcoin dominance could still inch a little bit higher to perhaps 60% where I ultimately think it will Top out sometime by the end of the year the second week of January potentially at the latest"
Pending
If ETH/BTC reclaims its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for several daily closes, the odds of its bottom being in increase significantly.
"if eth Bitcoin gets above its 50 daysa on several daily closes in a row then the odds that the bottom is in go up quite a bit"
Pending
ETH/BTC is expected to form a bottom between September and December 2024, possibly double-bottoming, then rising in 2025.
"my base case right now for eth Bitcoin is that it's probably just going to go through you know forming a bottom between you know September and December and it it's possible the Bottom's already in right... you could see something like that happen right where it it it it goes up and then it comes back down in December and then goes up in 2025 I think that that might be my Bas case"
Pending
If ETH/BTC has not bottomed at 0.038, it could potentially drop to 0.036.
"if the low is not in and E Bitcoin has not bottomed at 0038 then perhaps it'll go to 0036"
Pending
Retail investors could start to return to crypto by 2025.
"my argument is that they could start to arrive by 2025"
Pending
Unemployment rate has a decent chance of continuing to rise, leading the Fed to cut rates further.
"a decent chance the unemployment rate will continue to go higher therefore there's a DEC decent chance that the fed's going to start cutting"
Pending
Retail investors might return in 2025, followed by market difficulties in 2026.
"maybe retail returns in 2025 and then we have to face the music in 2026"
Pending
Fed funds rate likely to be at 4% by December 2024 or January 2025.
"I don't think it would be that surprising to any of us if the FED funds rate were back at 4% by December or maybe January"
Pending
Social risk (crypto interest) will form a base and then rise in 2025 (post-having year).
"it'll form a base and then start to go up in the post having year just like it did last time"
Pending
If social risk metrics fall back down by end of 2024, it could mark the bottom for social risk.
"if you see the social risk kind of coming back down again that could very well be the bottom for the social risk"
Pending
Fed is expected to continue cutting rates in upcoming meetings, which should help bring back retail investors.
"I think the fed's going to keep cutting at the next several meetings and it should help bring retail back"
Pending