ilmscore | NFA Live! The Bitcoin Halving

NFA Live! The Bitcoin Halving

Predictions from this Video

Total: 24
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 24
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted Bitcoin dominance will trend down dramatically over the next six months.
"I do believe that over the next six months or so it would probably makes sense to see Bitcoin dominance Trend down dramatically"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
Predicted ETH/BTC will find a bottom sooner rather than later.
"I imagine that that would translate to eth BTC finding a bottom sooner rather than later"
ETH/BTC
Pending
Predicted ETH/BTC will carve out a bottom in Summer 2024.
"I could see eth Bitcoin carving out a bottom this summer"
ETH/BTC
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin dominance could increase due to institutional interest.
"for me to see that Bitcoin dominance could go up why couldn't it especially with the different institutions that are here"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin dominance could go above 60%.
"actually go above 60%"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
Predicted the 2024 US Presidential Election will be tumultuous.
"there's a presidential election I think this is going to be pretty tumultuous as we get into it"
US Presidential Election
Pending
Predicted that markets in 2024, a presidential election year, will peak around March/April and then fall until later in the year.
"presidential election years which this is that year it sends to like kind of peek off around March April and then just kind of fall away until we get into"
Market Performance (Election Years)
Pending
Predicted the 'Sell in May and Go Away' market phenomenon would be front-run in 2024.
"I also think it's possible that selling may go away is being front"
Market Seasonality
Pending
Predicted months of prosperity and price discovery for Bitcoin after the April 2024 halving.
"typically what happens after a having is months and months of prosperity and hopefully price discovery"
BTC
Pending
Predicted a scenario where Bitcoin's cycle peak occurs in 2025, after a perceived stagnation in late 2024 following the halving.
"imagine you get that after the having and everyone thinks the cycle is over by the end of 2024 because it just hasn't done anything since the having and then we just get another move in 2025 and then the cycle Peaks when it always does"
BTC
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin dominance will top before Bitcoin's price falls below its 20-week Simple Moving Average.
"I think that dominance will Top before Bitcoin Falls below the 20we SMA that's my guess is that it's going to top before Bitcoin Falls below it"
Bitcoin Dominance
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin will experience occasional rallies that lead to further declines in altcoin/Bitcoin pairs.
"I think between now and then Bitcoin gets occasional rallies that just take off Bitcoin pairs even lower is my guess"
BTC
Pending
Predicted that most meme coins will not exist or be relevant within five years.
"in five years that Meme coin is probably not going to exist No One's Gonna care about it"
Meme Coins
Pending
Expressed high confidence that Bitcoin will still exist in the long term (e.g., 10-50 years).
"would I bet my life or something valuable that Bitcoin will be around... I would for Bitcoin I have a high degree of confidence"
BTC
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin will trend upwards aggressively over the next six to nine months.
"I expect Bitcoin to you Trend upwards aggressively over the next six to nine months"
BTC
Pending
Predicted the US Dollar Index (DXY) will top very soon.
"I do anticipate dxy topping very soon"
DXY
Pending
Predicted the US Dollar Index (DXY) will begin to take a dive over the next quarter.
"and begin to take a dive over the next quarter"
DXY
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin will outperform gold over the next 20 years.
"my guess is over the next 20 years Bitcoin will still outperform gold"
BTC, XAU
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will reduce the number of rate cuts planned for 2024.
"I'm I'm wondering if they're starting to walk... it might influence their the number of rate Cuts this year"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will begin to implement rate cuts once the market fully prices in no rate cuts.
"I think it's going to go back the other way because once the market fully prices in no rate Cuts that's when people give up and you need to start having some rate cuts"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending
Predicted that if the Federal Reserve implements another 25 basis point rate hike, markets will capitulate, and risk assets will perform terribly.
"if we got another 25 basis point hike... it's over I mean like we are going to absolutely nuke if we get another rate... if we get another rate hike markets are going to capitulate like that will be awful horrible for risk like sell all of your assets honestly like if that happens"
Market Reaction to Rate Hike
Pending
Predicted a risk of a deflationary crash if interest rates remain at 5.5% for another six months.
"if you stay high for too long like let's say they stay at five and a half percent for another six months then you start to run the risk of of a deflationary crash"
Economic Outcome from Sustained High Rates
Pending
Predicted the US Federal Reserve will begin to cut rates later in 2024.
"we will see the US begin to I guess cut rates hopefully uh later this year"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending
Predicted that rate cuts currently being priced out by the market will eventually be priced in.
"the pricing out of all these rate Cuts is going to cause them to get priced in"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending