ilmscore | Inflation Report

Inflation Report

Published: 2024-03-15
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
If the Fed maintains high interest rates due to sticky 3% inflation, Bitcoin is predicted to continue increasing its market share (dominance) until sometime after the Federal Reserve pivots to looser monetary policy.
"if the FED stays higher for longer which they're probably going to do with inflation still at 3%... Bitcoin continues to reclaim more and more market share until sometime after the fed the Federal Reserve pivots to looser monetary policy"
BTC
Pending
Housing CPI is predicted to continue dropping over the next 6-12 months (from March 2024), leading to overall inflation going down rather than up.
"housing is a lagging indicator and that should continue to drop over you know over the next 6 to 12 months so that's why I do think it's more likely that inflation will go down then durably back up"
Inflation
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted not to cut interest rates at its March 2024 meeting.
"the fed's probably not going to Pivot at their March meeting"
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending
If the unemployment rate doesn't significantly increase in April 2024, the first Federal Reserve rate cuts are predicted to occur 'later in the year' (2024).
"if that doesn't happen then we might not get Cuts until later in the year"
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending
Due to sticky 3% inflation, the Federal Reserve is predicted to reiterate its commitment to keeping interest rates higher until a durable path to 2% inflation is evident at its upcoming FOMC meeting (March 2024).
"my guess is they do and my guess is because of inflation staying sticky at 3% they will likely just sort of reiterate that they're going to keep interest rates higher until they see a durable path to 2%"
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending