Published: 2024-03-07
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
If Bitcoin's market cycle follows historical patterns, its peak is predicted to occur in Q4 of 2025.
"the last three Peaks by Bitcoin all occurred in Q4 of the PO having year right so this cycle if it were to play out in a very similar fashion it would correspond to Q4 of 2025"
Pending
After durably breaking its all-time high (which happened before the video date of March 7, 2024), Bitcoin's rally is predicted to last 35 to 50 more weeks, ending around late 2024 or early 2025, suggesting a 'left translated peak'.
"in all prior cases you're looking at you know a rally after durably breaking the all-time highs that lasted anywhere between say 35 to 50 weeks or so the problem with that is that you know 30 weeks from now only puts you you know 35 weeks only puts you at the end of the year right 50 weeks puts you at the very beginning of of next year"
Pending
Bitcoin was predicted to reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2023 or 2024.
"when I started my YouTube channel what I said back then was that Bitcoin you know would would sort of go to six figures in 2023 or 2024 that was kind of what I initially thought way back then"
Pending
If Bitcoin experiences a 200-day (approx. six-month) cool-off phase after the having, where it does not set new highs, then the market cycle is predicted to play out normally, potentially leading to a peak in Q4 2025.
"if we get a cool off phase post having where for 200 days Bitcoin isn't really pushing more new highs... if we do enter into a a several hundred day cool off phase that could you know last six months or so then maybe you argue that the cycle plays out like it normally does"
Pending
If the Federal Reserve's first rate cut occurs in June 2024 (as markets expect), Bitcoin is predicted to peak in May 2024. Alternatively, if rate cuts come in May or April, Bitcoin peaks could occur in April or March 2024, respectively.
"markets are currently expecting a rate cut in June last cycle in 2019 we saw Bitcoin Peak out in in one month month before the First Rate cut right so if the First Rate cut is in June then you have may if the First Rate cut is in May maybe you have April going into the merge eth peaked before it peaked one month before the merge so if that's the case it would mean March for Bitcoin"
Pending
If Bitcoin continues to accelerate into new highs without a cool-off, a 'left translated peak' is predicted within approximately six months (around September 2024) from the point of acceleration.
"if all that keeps getting pushed off and and we accelerate into new high history shows that you know you're may be looking at at at six more months um and then that's where you could theoretically get into a a left translated Peak"
Pending
Models developed in 2019 predicted Bitcoin would reach $1,000,000 by the late 2030s.
"all the models that I did back in 2019 when I was trying trying to predict out when Bitcoin would hit a million it suggested it wouldn't happen until like you know the late 2030s"
Pending
Bitcoin was predicted to reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2023 or 2024, according to the author's earlier prediction.
"when I started my YouTube channel what I said back then was that Bitcoin you know would would sort of go to six figures in 2023 or 2024 that was kind of what I initially thought way back then"
Pending
Bitcoin's market cycle peak will occur in Q4 2025 if it follows historical patterns.
"this cycle if it were to play out in a very similar fashion it would correspond to Q4 of 2025"
Pending
If the Bitcoin market continues to accelerate after the halving, a 'left translated peak' (earlier than normal, i.e., before Q4 2025) is likely, leading to negative market ramifications for the subsequent couple of years (2024-2026).
"if the market continues to accelerate then I think that there's more evidence to suggest you could get a left translated Peak that comes you know much earlier than normal right and I I I I suppose the implications of that would be that then you get um you know on the other side of that right if you if you Peak earlier on then that could have you know negative ramifications following that you know potentially for the next couple of years right because we just basically front ran everything"
Pending
Bitcoin could peak around mid-2025 and still be considered a normal cycle.
"or you could have a peak say like mid 2025 and it still be considered I think a fairly normal cycle"
Pending
If the first Fed rate cut occurs in June 2024, Bitcoin is predicted to peak in May 2024, based on historical patterns.
"last cycle in 2019 we saw Bitcoin Peak out in in one month month before the First Rate cut right so if the First Rate cut is in June then you have may"
Pending
After durably breaking new all-time highs, Bitcoin's rally typically lasts between 35 to 50 weeks (approximately 6 to 12 months).
"in all prior cases you're looking at you know a rally after durably breaking the all-time highs that lasted anywhere between say 35 to 50 weeks or so"
Pending
Analogous to Ethereum's peak before its merge, Bitcoin is predicted to peak in March 2024, one month before its halving event.
"eth peaked before it peaked one month before the merge so if that's the case it would mean March for Bitcoin"
Pending
If Bitcoin's price rally accelerates into new highs, a 'left-translated peak' (an earlier peak than traditional cycles) could occur within approximately six months.
"if all that keeps getting pushed off and and we accelerate into new high history shows that you know you're may be looking at at at six more months um and then that's where you could theoretically get into a a left translated Peak"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to top a week or two after gold breaks out, likely around the time of the first Fed rate cut (Summer 2024), based on 2019 market behavior.
"gold broke out and then Bitcoin topped like you know a week or two later"
Pending
Bitcoin was initially predicted to reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2023 or 2024 (prediction made prior to the video's publication).
"Bitcoin you know would would sort of go to six figures in 2023 or 2024 that was kind of what I initially thought way back then"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $1,000,000 in the late 2030s, according to the author's models from 2019.
"all the models that I did back in 2019 when I was trying trying to predict out when Bitcoin would hit a million it suggested it wouldn't happen until like you know the late 2030s"
Pending
Bitcoin could peak one month prior to the first Federal Reserve rate cut, potentially in March, April, or May 2024, depending on the Fed's action.
"if the First Rate cut is in June then you have may if the First Rate cut is in May maybe you have April going into the merge eth peaked before it peaked one month before the merge so if that's the case it would mean March for Bitcoin"
Pending
The first Federal Reserve rate cut is predicted to occur in Summer 2024.
"We are rallying into the First Rate cut which is probably coming sometime I don't know like this summer or something"
Pending
Bitcoin was predicted by the author's 2019 models to reach $1 million no earlier than the late 2030s.
"all the models that I did back in 2019 when I was trying trying to predict out when Bitcoin would hit a million it suggested it wouldn't happen until like you know the late 2030s"
Pending
The uninversion of the yield curve could be a short-term catalyst for a market pullback.
"I think that upon the uninversion of the yield curve I think that could have be a short-term Catalyst for a pullback in the market"
Pending
The uninverting of the yield curve (US 10-year minus US 3-month) is predicted to be a short-term catalyst for a market pullback.
"I think that upon the uninversity I think that could have be a short-term Catalyst for a pullback in the market"
Pending
The unemployment rate reaching 4% will be a significant indicator or turning point for the market.
"4% you know once the unemployment rate hits 4% that's when we find out I think"
Pending