ilmscore | Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

Predictions from this Video

Total: 16
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 16
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin was predicted to run to new highs before the halving, which has occurred.
"Bitcoin is is now at at around 62 to 63k and we did run the highs today which is something that we said was you know was likely going to happen given the momentum"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to reach 56% first, and then 60%.
"that Bitcoin dominance to 56% first and then 60% [...] I think we I think we're going to make it there"
BTC
Pending
The ETH/BTC pair is predicted to eventually experience a weekly close below 0.049.
"the eth Bitcoin pair which I think will eventually get a weekly close below 049 [...] I think eth Bitcoin will eventually bleed back down to the range lows and eventually give us a weekly close below 049"
ETH
Pending
USDT dominance was predicted to reach approximately 4%, which has occurred.
"usdt dominance going to approximately 4% [...] we went down down to oh we did we went down to 3.98 so we have hit it right we have hit that 4% threshold so that is something I think we can say look I mean you know whether that ends up being something material that we're going to look back on and be like oh yeah it was kind of obvious it's happened right"
USDT
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to increase leading into the halving, whether Bitcoin's price drops or slowly grinds up.
"my guess is that whatever happens going into the having the dominance of Bitcoin is going up meaning that if you do get a a a rent in crypto where it goes down a lot more I would guess the dominance would go higher if on the other hand Bitcoin continues to sort of slowly grind back up I'm getting yes in dominance also goes up"
BTC
Pending
The Bitcoin market is predicted to cool off for a period after the current rally, possibly in April or May.
"my guess is that whenever that's all said and done whether it's now whether it's in April or May we're then going to cool off for a while"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to experience a larger drawdown at some point, potentially after the halving.
"at some point I imagine there's a larger draw down [...] I do think that there's probably going to be a larger pullback at some point it could be post having for all I know"
BTC
Pending
All altcoin pairs (Total 3 minus USDT) are predicted to have a weekly close below 0.39, likely by early April, leading to altcoins bleeding down quickly against Bitcoin.
"the argument is that we should see a weekly close below 04 meaning a weekly close at 39 or below and if and when that happens it should Mark a turning point in the cryptoverse in terms of altcoins should then bleed down against Bitcoin relatively quickly [...] if all Bitcoin pairs were to break down let's say sometime between now and and the beginning of April"
Altcoins vs. Bitcoin
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement its first rate cut between May and July.
"there's there's a part of me that thinks like maybe they'll actually do one in May [...] the first real chance of a cut is may [...] probably you're going to get at least a cut between May and July is my guess"
Federal Reserve
Pending
The combined dominance of Bitcoin and Ethereum is predicted to achieve a weekly close greater than 73%.
"Bitcoin dominance plus e dominance we have said I have said that this this should get a weekly close greater than 73%"
Crypto Dominance
Pending
Gold is predicted to be in the process of breaking out, which would be confirmed by another weekly close above $2070.
"gold breaking out [...] I would like to see another weekly closeup here if we get another weekly closeup here then that would seem like confirmation to me that gold is breaking out"
Gold Price
Pending
The Fear and Greed Index was predicted to hit 90, which has occurred.
"the fear and greed index going into the '90s [...] the fear and greed index has hit 90 so again"
Market Sentiment
Pending
Liquidity from altcoins is predicted to flow into Bitcoin.
"there still is liquidity in altcoins that I think will make their way over to bitcoin"
Altcoins vs. Bitcoin
Pending
If Bitcoin experiences a larger drop in the next few months, altcoins, already significantly below their all-time highs, are predicted to struggle further against Bitcoin.
"if Bitcoin does get a larger drop sometime in the next few months the issue is that a lot of these Al KN were even close to their all-time highs think about that right think about that they're nowhere even close and if Bitcoin drops and altcoins are still 70% below their lows that's why it's so difficult to be an altcoins over Bitcoin because dominance just keeps on going up"
Altcoins vs. Bitcoin
Pending
A multi-stage market cycle is predicted: altcoins bleeding to Bitcoin, Bitcoin dominance hitting 60%, a labor market event causing yield curve uninversion, a risk-off sell-off, the Fed pivoting to QE, leading to a temporary 'Bitcoin Maxi' phase, followed by Ethereum durably outperforming Bitcoin during the QE period.
"if altcoins do bleed against Bitcoin and the Bitcoin dominance goes to 60% and something happens in the labor market leading to the yield curve uninversion and there's a larger sell-off in Risk assets and then the FED pivots and goes back to QE Everyone by that point has been converted into a Bitcoin Maxi and not everyone but a lot of people have been converted to bitcoin Maxis because they just spent 3 years watching all most of these alls bleed to bitcoin right but then by that time QE comes back and then finally e starts to durably outperform bitcoin and the cycle goes on and the cycle goes on and the cycle goes on"
Market Cycles
Pending
Many altcoins (including AVAX, LTC, XRP, DOT, BNB, ADA, and potentially LINK if support fails) are predicted to continue putting in new lows against their Bitcoin pairs.
"we're not even that far away from seeing altcoins put in new lows on their Bitcoin pairs [...] avac Bitcoin it's bleeding back down I'm guessing it's going to come back to this line eventually at the very least [...] poor Litecoin all it knows how to do is put in new lows against Bitcoin xrp Bitcoin just keeps on putting in new lows [...] dot Bitcoin not that far away from a new low [...] B&B Bitcoin could easily go down and put in new lows [...] if it if it can't hold here at its bull market support band then you're likely looking at it going back down to 12,000 sets from 19,000 [Link/BTC] [...] ada Bitcoin it's not even that far off the lows right it's back below 1100 SATs the lows are like 800 SATs just another 20% drop but it's putting in new lows basically"
Altcoins vs. Bitcoin
Pending