Published: 2024-02-27
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin dominance predicted to rally until September 2024, topping out at 60%, then turning around.
"Bitcoin dominance should go on a massive Bull Run theoretically you know to around that 60% level... maybe it just rallies until September finally tops out at 60% and then turns around"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance predicted to break above 55%.
"I think it is certainly possible that dominance could break above that 55% threshold"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance predicted to soar just before the first Fed rate cut.
"dominance will soar right before the First Rate cut arrives"
Pending
ETH/BTC ratio predicted to bleed back down by March 2024 at the earliest.
"at the earliest it'll be March before eth Bitcoin bleeds back down at the at the earliest right likely March and and March even could be pushing that timeline"
Pending
ETH/BTC ratio predicted to revisit lows below 0.05 sometime in the first half of 2024.
"I would be looking for for eth Bitcoin is for it to slowly fade back down to the range lows sometime later on in the in the first half of this year... sometime in the next four months I I think we'll see it back below .05"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH/USD) predicted to experience a large correction if ETH/BTC drops below 0.049 and retests the 0.03-0.04 range.
"after eth Bitcoin breaks the range low ethusd will likely get a fairly large correction... below 049 I think you're going to get a larger correction by ethusd as eth Bitcoin goes back to the .3 to 0.4 range"
Pending
ETH/BTC ratio predicted to take two years from July 2023 to durably break above its 20-month SMA.
"I'm saying it might take two years for eth Bitcoin to durably break above the 20-month moving average"
Pending
ADA/BTC ratio predicted to eventually return to its summer 2023 low.
"Adaa Bitcoin has not yet gone back to the summer 2023 low right it hasn't um but it probably will eventually"
Pending
ADA/ETH ratio predicted to bleed back down to the bottom of its channel.
"I think it's right here where it's bleeding back down to the bottom part of the channel"
Pending
ETH/BTC ratio predicted to break down, possibly during a Bitcoin rally.
"at some point I think it's going to break down could be on a Bitcoin rally"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to remain in a 'risk-on' phase until Bitcoin dominance reaches 56%.
"my base case is that Bitcoin USD stays risk on until we're at 56% dominance"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to top out when all altcoin/Bitcoin pairs break below their support levels.
"Bitcoin USD...tops out likely when all Bitcoin pairs break off support"
Pending
Altcoin market cap (excluding ETH, divided by BTC) predicted to break down if it sees a weekly close below 0.04.
"if you see a weekly close of total 3 minus USD Bitcoin below 40 below 04 so if you see it at 39 that means all Bitcoin pairs have collectively broken down"
Pending
Altcoin market cap (excluding BTC, divided by BTC) predicted to break down if it closes below 0.69.
"if you see this at 0 69 it's an indication that it's starting to break down"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to top out after Bitcoin + Ethereum dominance reaches 73%.
"what if Bitcoin USD just tops out after the Blue Chip dominance is at 73%"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to put in a local top when USDT dominance revisits its trend line.
"when usdt dominance revisits the trend line perhaps that is where Bitcoin USD puts in a local top"
Pending
USDT dominance reaching 4% predicted to be a warning sign for the market.
"if you see this [USDT dominance] at 4% that could be a warning sign"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to put in a significant local top for several months in the not-so-distant future.
"I think there will come a time in the not so distant future where Bitcoin USD puts in a significant local top for many many months"
Pending
Bitcoin + Ethereum + stablecoin dominance reaching 82% predicted to signal the end of the Bitcoin dominance rally.
"if this metric reaches 82% then I might be willing to say all right the dominance rally that could be it"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to experience a 50% correction after ETH/BTC and all altcoin/BTC pairs break down.
"Bitcoin USD after it tops out after e Bitcoin breaks down and after all Bitcoin pairs break down it then gets a final you know it finally gets that 50% correction"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) predicted to retest the 30k level.
"I think it probably will retest that level [30k]"
Pending
ADA/BTC ratio predicted to go down to 800 SATs and potentially below.
"Ada a Bitcoin likely needs to go back down to 800 SATs and likely go below it"
Pending
MATIC/BTC ratio predicted to go below 1700 SATs.
"madic Bitcoin likely needs to go below 1,700 sets"
Pending
ETH/BTC ratio predicted not to reach 0.15 in any reasonable timeframe, and Ethereum is unlikely to flip Bitcoin.
"I don't think eth Bitcoin in any reasonable time frame is taking out 0.15... I don't think ethereum is going to flip Bitcoin on in any anytime soon probably not ever"
Pending
Gold (XAUUSD) trading durably above $2070 predicted to be a risk-off signal.
"if you see gold trading above 270 durably that could be a risk-off signal"
Pending
If the Fed keeps rates high for too long, causing a recession, social risk will remain low, and Bitcoin dominance will not materially decrease in the short term (1-2 years from Feb 2024).
"if the FED does stay too high for too long and they lead us into a recession then you might not see the social risk go back up in the short term...it means that the Bitcoin dominance doesn't go down in a material fashion"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance predicted to continue going higher because a Fed pivot is further away than many anticipate.
"there's still a risk that the dominance of Bitcoin just keeps on going higher because we are further away from a Fed pivot than a lot of people think we are"
Pending
If inflation remains high in the coming months (from Feb 2024), the 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to rise, potentially leading to another correction in the S&P 500.
"if inflation still comes in hot the next few months then you could see the long of the old curve go back up and if the long of the yield curve goes back up you might get another correction in the S&P"
Pending
10-year US Treasury yield predicted to return to its range high of 5%.
"it could go back up to the Range High at at at 5%"
Pending
Worst-case scenario for the 10-year US Treasury yield in this business cycle is 5.5%.
"worst case scenario in this business cycle you might see it [10-year yield] go to the where the short end is today and the short end today is at 5 a half%"
Pending
US Dollar Index (DXY) predicted to bounce back up because other central banks will pivot more aggressively than the Fed due to weaker economies.
"I think dollar will will get a bounce and then it'll start to come back up here...because I think that other central banks around the world are going to Pivot more aggressively than the FED because they have weaker economies than the United States"
Pending
Retail investors predicted not to return to the crypto market in the next few months (from Feb 2024), potentially not until 2025 or later.
"retail doesn't come back in the next few months maybe retail doesn't come back until 20 25 right or even later"
Pending
Altcoins predicted not to see mass retail return until much later if the Fed keeps rates high for too long, causing an economic slowdown.
"the FED stays too high for too long and they cause the economy to slow down to the point where people don't really come back to those altcoins um in Mass until later than people think they will"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to break above 55%.
"I think it is certainly possible that dominance could break above that 55% threshold"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to soar just before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut.
"I think that this is ultimately what's about to happen is that dominance will soar right before the First Rate cut arrives"
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio is predicted to drop back below 0.05 in the first half of 2024 (within four months from February 2024).
"sometime in the next four months I I think we'll see it back below .05"
Pending
Ethereum (ETH/USD) is predicted to experience a large correction if the ETH/BTC ratio durably breaks below 0.049, likely dropping ETH/BTC to the 0.03-0.04 range.
"after eth Bitcoin breaks the range low ethusd will likely get a fairly large correction... below 049 I think you're going to get a larger correction by ethusd as eth Bitcoin goes back to the .3 to 0.4 range"
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio is predicted not to break down in February 2024.
"more than likely it's not going to be breaking down this month"
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio is predicted to take two years (from January 2023) to durably break above its 20-month Simple Moving Average.
"I'm saying it might take two years for eth Bitcoin to durably break above the 20-month moving average"
Pending
The Cardano (ADA/BTC) ratio is predicted to eventually revisit or break below its summer 2023 low.
"Ada Bitcoin has not yet gone back to the summer 2023 low right it hasn't um but it probably will eventually"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is predicted to remain in a 'risk on' phase until Bitcoin dominance reaches 56%.
"my base case is that Bitcoin USD stays risk on until we're at 56% dominance"
Pending
The Polygon (MATIC/BTC) ratio is likely to drop below 1,700 SATs.
"madic Bitcoin likely needs to go below 1,700 sets"
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio is not expected to reach 0.15 in any reasonable timeframe, and Ethereum is unlikely to flip Bitcoin's market cap anytime soon, if ever.
"I don't think eth Bitcoin in any reasonable time frame is taking out 0.15 a 3X move from the current levels I just don't I I don't I I think that that's been pretty clear for a long time I don't think ethereum is going to flip Bitcoin on in any anytime soon probably not ever"
Pending
When all altcoin-to-Bitcoin pairs eventually break down, it is predicted to mark a local top for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) followed by a significant correction of at least 50%.
"all Bitcoin pairs will eventually break down when they do that likely marks the Bitcoin USD top for at least a while right before a larger correction I'm not saying it has to go back down you know to a lower low but it could certainly Mark a at least a 50% drop from that level"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to reach a target of 60% over a long period of time, with potential to go higher.
"my target has been 60% on bitcoin dominance that's where I ultimately think it's going could go higher right it could go higher but I think 60% is a likely outcome over a long enough period of time"
Pending
The US Dollar (DXY) is predicted to find support, bounce, and rise aggressively in the middle to latter part of 2024 as other central banks pivot more aggressively than the Fed due to weaker economies.
"I think dollar will will get a bounce and then it'll start to come back up here and the reason why I think the dollar will will get a bounce from those levels is because I think that other central banks around the world are going to Pivot more aggressively than the FED because they have weaker economies than the United States... I think it will be pretty aggressive into the the middle to in part of this year"
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is predicted to likely retest the 30k level eventually, potentially holding it in a soft landing scenario or breaking below it in a hard landing.
"my guess is that it will likely retest that level and if it's a soft Landing it might hold that level if it's a hard Landing then it takes that level out and comes down into here that's possible"
Pending
All altcoin-to-Bitcoin pairs are predicted to bleed back down to their range lows and then break down further.
"I think that this is ultimately the next outcome is for all Bitcoin pairs to bleed back down to the range lows and then from there I think they finally go down"
Pending
The total market cap of altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH) relative to Bitcoin is likely to break below 0.04.
"total three minuts USD Bitcoin breaking below this level here 04 which will likely happen"
Pending
Retail crypto participants are predicted not to return in significant numbers until 2025 or even later.
"maybe retail doesn't come back in the next few months maybe retail doesn't come back until 20 25 right or even later"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to eventually be forced to pivot its monetary policy due to maintaining high interest rates for an extended period.
"then finally the FED will be forced to Pivot um because they will have stayed too high for too long"
Pending