Published: 2024-01-15
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin could potentially retest its 100-week SMA around early March 2024.
"if we were to just sort of assume something similar again it probably won't play out in a very in identic you know identical manner but if it did I mean you're looking at early March um you know potentially getting getting back to that level"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to top out around the time the first interest rate cuts arrive, a pattern observed in the previous cycle, which markets expected around March 2024.
"at least based on last cycle Bitcoin topped out right around the time that rate Cuts arrived ... markets are currently thinking sometime around March so you know that's at least what we saw last cycle"
Pending
If Bitcoin drops below its 8-week moving average (around $42,300 at the time), it is predicted to have a good chance of testing the bull market support band, estimated to be around $35,000-$37,000 (roughly $36,000).
"if we get below it good chance we're going to go test the bull Mark sport band which is all the way down you know 35k to 37k just think think about 36k or so is where it is"
Pending
The speaker predicts that an economic 'landing' (either soft or hard) will occur, ruling out a 'no landing' scenario where Bitcoin would continuously stay above its 100-week SMA.
"I don't think that's going to happen right I I do think there will be some form of a landing whether it's a soft Landing or a hard Landing we're yet to find out"
Pending
The speaker predicts that the Ether/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) valuation will eventually 'break down', implying a decline in the ETH/BTC ratio.
"so that we finally see The Ether Bitcoin valuation break down which is something that I I do think will happen"
Pending
Bitcoin's price is predicted to test the bull market support band within a few weeks from January 15, 2024.
"once you get close to that moving average it's only a few more weeks typically before you at least check in with the bullmark sport band"
Pending
Bitcoin's price is predicted to eventually test the 100-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), leading to either a soft or hard economic landing scenario, rather than avoiding a 'landing' entirely.
"I don't think that's going to happen right I I do think there will be some form of a landing whether it's a soft Landing or a hard Landing we're yet to find out"
Pending
The Ether/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) valuation ratio is predicted to break down, implying significant underperformance of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
"we finally see The Ether Bitcoin valuation break down which is something that I I do think will happen"
Pending
The Ether/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) valuation pair is predicted to slowly fade back down over the next two months (by mid-March 2024).
"The Ether Bitcoin pair is is does it fade back down does it slowly fade back down over the next two months okay because I think that's something that that could theoretically play out so I would be aware of that um over the next two months"
Pending
If Bitcoin's price closes below its 8-week moving average, it is predicted to test the bull market support band, estimated to be around $36,000 (ranging from $35.6k to $37k).
"if we get below it good chance we're going to go test the bull Mark sport band which is all the way down you know 35k to 37k just think think about 36k or so is where it is"
Pending
Bitcoin's price is predicted to slowly decline back to its 20-week moving average, mirroring a pattern observed in April 2023.
"the short-term bubble risk seems like it could be playing out how it did back over here in April right of 2023 where you get this this sort of high here and then while you do get a higher high we still then just slowly bleed back to that 20we moving average um which could be you know sort of underway right now so I would keep an eye on on that idea and and I I still think that is a plausible idea to play out"
Pending
A significant market event or disruption is predicted to occur in the first half of 2024, given it is an election year.
"election years often times you know early on in the election year sometime early on within the first half of it or so there's something that happens"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement looser monetary policy or quantitative easing (QE) in 2024, specifically leading into the election, to improve economic conditions.
"in your election years there there tends to be a a sort of a reason I think that that that tends to happen that gets us back into looser monetary policy quantitative easing just so going into the election um things aren't aren't as bad"
Pending