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Predictions from this Video

Total: 69
Correct: 23
Incorrect: 31
Pending: 14
Unrated: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted the S&P 500 could reach 6,600 or higher by the end of August 2025 (as relayed from Tom Lee).
"I think you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month."
SPX
Incorrect
Predicted United Health (UNH) stock price will benefit in the short term.
"this is going to benefit the stock price in the short term, no doubt."
UNH
Unrated
Predicted United Health (UNH) will be problematic for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted United Health's business model will undergo negative changes in the near-to-mid term.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely, right?"
UNH
Correct
Predicted the government will crack down on United Health in the near-to-mid term.
"I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will lose business from Walmart, hurting its growth rates in 2026, 2027, and 2028.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Tom Lee predicted that the S&P 500 could reach 6,600 or higher in August 2025.
"I I think you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month. >> Yeah. And this doesn't change that at all."
SPX
Incorrect
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will likely have to lower its charges to compete with Amazon, which will hurt its margins for the next few years.
"They're going to have to lower the percentage they charge companies to compete directly head-on with Amazon, which then would hurt margins."
TTD
Correct
Predicted that the UNH stock would form a short-term bottom.
"That could put a short-term bottom on this stock, right?"
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that the worst-case scenario for investors for the rest of 2025 and 2026 is the Fed hiking interest rates.
"as we think about the rest of this year and next year, I think that the thing that's the worst case for investors is Fed hiking."
Fed Policy / Stock Market
Incorrect
Predicted that Warren Buffett would likely hold UNH for 10-20 years, and David Tepper might sell if the stock reaches $350.
"Buffett's probably buying because he probably wants to own this for the next, you know, 10, 20 years. Some of these other guys like David Ter, like David Ter could be out of like let's say the stock goes 350. Like I wouldn't be surprised if David Ter got out, right?"
UNH
Pending
Predicted that if the Fed does nothing to normalize real interest rates between now and year-end 2025, it will be positive for stocks.
"If the Fed does nothing between now and year end really to normalize real interest rates, that's actually positive for stocks."
Fed Policy / Stock Market
Correct
Predicted that UNH would face a 'messy' situation for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Correct
Predicted that if the 10-year Treasury yield goes over 4%, there will be a lot of panic in the market in the short term.
"If you go over four, you're going to get a lot of panic in the market."
10-year Treasury Yield / Market Reaction
Incorrect
Predicted that if HIMS is found to have acted illegally, it would incur a substantial fine (tens to hundreds of millions), but the company would be resilient enough to handle it.
"if they're going to find they did anything illegal or something wrong... then HIMS is probably going to get a fine. Could be tens of millions of dollars, could be hundred million dollars, whatever. Hims could probably weather that."
HIMS
Pending
Predicted the 10-year Treasury yield could hit 4.5% or 4.6% after September 2025, if the Federal Reserve lowers rates but investors remain concerned about high inflation.
"it could also hit like 4.5 or 4.6% or something"
10-year Treasury Yield
Incorrect
Predicted that UNH's business model would likely face negative changes and a government crackdown.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely... And I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that changes in Walmart's adtech agreement would not significantly impact Amazon's overall financial performance due to its large size.
"Amazon the business is so big it's not like this is going to massively change numbers or something for Amazon."
AMZN
Correct
Tom Lee predicted that the S&P 500 (^GSPC) could reach 6,600 or higher in August 2025.
"you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month."
^GSPC
Incorrect
Predicted that if Walmart takes adtech business away from Trade Desk, it would negatively impact Trade Desk's growth rates in 2026, 2027, and 2028.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Predicted the S&P 500 could reach 6,600 or higher by the end of August 2025 (as relayed from Tom Lee).
"I think you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month."
SPX
Incorrect
Predicted that UnitedHealth Group (UNH) will be a 'mess' for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that the S&P 500 could reach 6,600 or higher in August 2025.
"I I think you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month. >> Yeah. And this doesn't change that at all."
SPX
Incorrect
Predicted that if the Federal Reserve lowers rates in September 2025 but investors remain concerned about high inflation, the 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) could rise and hit 4.5% or 4.6%.
"if say the Federal Reserve does start to lower September, but let's say investors are very concerned that inflation is going to remain much higher. Then what could transpire is a 10-year yield could actually uh basically go up. it could also hit like 4.5 or 4.6% or something"
US10Y
Incorrect
Predicted that Trade Desk would likely need to lower its service charges to compete with Amazon, resulting in hurt margins for the next few years.
"Trade is likely going to have to... lower the percentage they charge companies... which then would hurt margins... have margins hurt for the next few years."
TTD
Incorrect
Predicted United Health (UNH) stock price will benefit in the short term.
"this is going to benefit the stock price in the short term, no doubt."
UNH
Correct
Predicted that UnitedHealth Group (UNH) will face many negative changes to its business model.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely, right?"
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that the UNH stock would form a short-term bottom.
"That could put a short-term bottom on this stock, right?"
UNH
Correct
Predicted that United Health stock (UNH) price will benefit in the short term.
"UNH is, yeah, this is going to benefit the stock price in the short term, no doubt."
UNH
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that the stock market rally would continue.
"I think that the arguments and elements for a rally to continue are in place."
Stock Market
Correct
Predicted United Health (UNH) will be problematic for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that the government will really crack down on UnitedHealth Group (UNH).
"And I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that Warren Buffett would likely hold UNH for 10-20 years, and David Tepper might sell if the stock reaches $350.
"Buffett's probably buying because he probably wants to own this for the next, you know, 10, 20 years. Some of these other guys like David Ter, like David Ter could be out of like let's say the stock goes 350. Like I wouldn't be surprised if David Ter got out, right?"
UNH
Pending
Predicted that United Health stock (UNH) will be a mess for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Pending
Tom Lee predicted that if the Federal Reserve implemented no interest rate hikes between the video's publication and the end of 2025, it would positively impact stocks.
"if the Fed does nothing between now and year end really to normalize real interest rates, that's actually positive for stocks."
Stock Market Reaction to Fed Policy
Correct
Predicted United Health's business model will undergo negative changes in the near-to-mid term.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely, right?"
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will experience reduced growth rates in 2026, 2027, and 2028 due to loss of business and increased competition.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Predicted that UNH would face a 'messy' situation for years.
"I think UNH is going to be a mess for years."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that if Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) is found to have done something illegal, it will receive a fine of tens to hundreds of millions of dollars, but the company will likely be able to withstand it.
"Like, if they're going to find they did anything illegal or something wrong. Okay, let's say they do they did do something wrong, then HIMS is probably going to get a fine. Could be tens of millions of dollars, could be hundred million dollars, whatever. Hims could probably weather that."
HIMS
Pending
Tom Lee predicted that the stock market would be resilient even if the Federal Reserve chose to take no action on interest rates.
"Well, what if they don't do anything?... Can this market stand up under that? >> Uh, yes."
Stock Market Resilience
Correct
Predicted the government will crack down on United Health in the near-to-mid term.
"I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Correct
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will likely need to lower its charges to compete with Amazon, which would hurt its margins, or its revenue will falter, potentially hurting margins for the next few years.
"Trade is likely going to have to do what? They're going to have to lower the percentage they charge companies to compete directly head-on with Amazon, which then would hurt margins. So if the hard decisions to make whether they want to maintain margin and or you know and and have revenue potentially falter or go after revenue growth, go after market share and then potentially have margins hurt for the next few years."
TTD
Pending
Predicted that if HIMS is found to have acted illegally, it would incur a substantial fine (tens to hundreds of millions), but the company would be resilient enough to handle it.
"if they're going to find they did anything illegal or something wrong... then HIMS is probably going to get a fine. Could be tens of millions of dollars, could be hundred million dollars, whatever. Hims could probably weather that."
HIMS
Pending
Predicted that there will likely be many negative changes to United Health's (UNH) business model.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely, right?"
UNH
Pending
Tom Lee predicted that if bond yields surpass 4%, the market would experience significant panic.
"If you go over four, you're going to get a lot of panic in the market."
Market reaction to bond yields
Correct
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will lose business from Walmart, hurting its growth rates in 2026, 2027, and 2028.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Tom Lee (Scott) predicted the start of a pretty good stock market rally this week (around August 11-17, 2025).
"we came in to this week, which you said was going to be the start of a pretty good rally, which it kind of looked like it was."
Stock Market Rally
Incorrect
Predicted that UNH's business model would likely face negative changes and a government crackdown.
"I think there's going to be a lot of changes made to their business model that are going to be negative likely... And I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Correct
Predicted that the government will strongly crack down on United Health (UNH).
"I just feel like the government's going to really crack down on them."
UNH
Incorrect
Predicted that if the Federal Reserve lowers rates but investors remain concerned about high inflation, the 10-year Treasury yield could rise to 4.5% or 4.6%.
"if say the Federal Reserve does start to lower September, but let's say investors are very concerned that inflation is going to remain much higher. Then what could transpire is a 10-year yield could actually uh basically go up. it could also hit like 4.5 or 4.6% or something"
10-Year Treasury Yield
Incorrect
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will likely have to lower its charges to compete with Amazon, which will hurt its margins for the next few years.
"They're going to have to lower the percentage they charge companies to compete directly head-on with Amazon, which then would hurt margins."
TTD
Correct
Tom Lee (Scott) predicted the market could reach 6600 or higher in August 2025.
"I I think you told me we could go 6,600 if not higher uh this month."
Stock Market Index
Incorrect
Predicted that changes in Walmart's adtech agreement would not significantly impact Amazon's overall financial performance due to its large size.
"Amazon the business is so big it's not like this is going to massively change numbers or something for Amazon."
AMZN
Correct
Predicted that The Trade Desk's (TTD) future growth rates will be hurt in 2026, 2027, and 2028 due to loss of business.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Predicted that the worst-case scenario for investors for the rest of 2025 and 2026 is the Fed hiking interest rates.
"as we think about the rest of this year and next year, I think that the thing that's the worst case for investors is Fed hiking."
Fed Policy / Stock Market
Incorrect
Predicted that if Walmart takes adtech business away from Trade Desk, it would negatively impact Trade Desk's growth rates in 2026, 2027, and 2028.
"It's going to take business away from the trade desk, which is going to hurt future years growth rates. We're talking 2026, 2027, 2028."
TTD
Pending
Predicted that The Trade Desk (TTD) will likely have to lower the percentage they charge companies to compete with Amazon, which will hurt their margins.
"Trade is likely going to have to do what? They're going to have to lower the percentage they charge companies to compete directly head-on with Amazon, which then would hurt margins."
TTD
Incorrect
Predicted that if the Fed does nothing to normalize real interest rates between now and year-end 2025, it will be positive for stocks.
"If the Fed does nothing between now and year end really to normalize real interest rates, that's actually positive for stocks."
Fed Policy / Stock Market
Correct
Predicted that Trade Desk would likely need to lower its service charges to compete with Amazon, resulting in hurt margins for the next few years.
"Trade is likely going to have to... lower the percentage they charge companies... which then would hurt margins... have margins hurt for the next few years."
TTD
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that the week of August 11, 2025, would be the start of a pretty good stock market rally.
"we came in to this week, which you said was going to be the start of a pretty good rally, which it kind of looked like it was."
Stock Market Rally
Correct
Predicted that if the 10-year Treasury yield goes over 4%, there will be a lot of panic in the market in the short term.
"If you go over four, you're going to get a lot of panic in the market."
10-year Treasury Yield / Market Reaction
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that the stock market rally would continue.
"I think that the arguments and elements for a rally to continue are in place."
Stock Market
Correct
Tom Lee predicted that the stock market rally will continue.
"I I think that the arguments and elements for a rally to continue are in place"
Stock Market Rally
Correct
Predicted the 10-year Treasury yield could hit 4.5% or 4.6% after September 2025, if the Federal Reserve lowers rates but investors remain concerned about high inflation.
"it could also hit like 4.5 or 4.6% or something"
10-year Treasury Yield
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that if the Federal Reserve implemented no interest rate hikes between the video's publication and the end of 2025, it would positively impact stocks.
"if the Fed does nothing between now and year end really to normalize real interest rates, that's actually positive for stocks."
Stock Market Reaction to Fed Policy
Correct
Tom Lee predicted that if the Fed does not normalize real interest rates between August 14, 2025, and year-end 2025, it will be positive for stocks.
"If the Fed does nothing between now and year end really to normalize real interest rates, that's actually positive for stocks."
Stock Market Performance
Correct
Tom Lee predicted that the stock market would be resilient even if the Federal Reserve chose to take no action on interest rates.
"Well, what if they don't do anything?... Can this market stand up under that? >> Uh, yes."
Stock Market Resilience
Correct
Tom Lee predicted that if the 10-year Treasury yield goes over 4%, the market will experience a lot of panic.
"So if you start to approach closer and closer to four, we got an issue. If you go over four, you're going to get a lot of panic in the market."
Market Reaction to 10-year Yield
Incorrect
Tom Lee predicted that if bond yields surpass 4%, the market would experience significant panic.
"If you go over four, you're going to get a lot of panic in the market."
Market reaction to bond yields
Correct
Predicted that if the Federal Reserve lowers rates but investors remain concerned about high inflation, the 10-year Treasury yield could rise to 4.5% or 4.6%.
"if say the Federal Reserve does start to lower September, but let's say investors are very concerned that inflation is going to remain much higher. Then what could transpire is a 10-year yield could actually uh basically go up. it could also hit like 4.5 or 4.6% or something"
10-Year Treasury Yield
Incorrect