Biden is Out! Who's NEXT & What It Means For CRYPTO!!
Published: 2024-07-16
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-07-16
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Democrats may need to replace Joe Biden on the ticket for the upcoming presidential election due to perceived poor debate performance.
"if the Democrats don't want the election to go the same way the recent Biden Trump debate did they're going to need a replacement and fast"
Pending
Joe Biden's presidential campaign is predicted to be nearing its end.
"Biden's campaign's days are probably numbered"
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The speaker predicts a replacement will be needed for Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket for the upcoming election.
"Democrats don't want the election to go the same way the recent Biden Trump debate did they're going to need a replacement and fast"
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Donald Trump is positioning himself as 'the crypto president' and is appealing to the crypto vote.
"Trump has taken another look at the crypto vote and spotted an open goal and now he's claiming that he will be quote the crypto president"
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The speaker believes Joe Biden's presidential campaign is nearing its end.
"Biden's campaign's days are probably numbered"
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The Republican party platform will oppose a 'crypto crackdown' and the creation of a central bank digital currency.
"the Republicans published a draft party platform declaring that they will quote end democrats' unlawful and unamerican crypto Crackdown and oppose the creation of a central bank digital currency"
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Donald Trump is predicted to actively target and appeal to the crypto voter demographic.
"Trump has taken another look at the crypto vote and spotted an open goal"
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Prediction markets show significant financial activity ($100M+) on potential Democratic ticket replacements.
"poly Market users have wagered over $100 million on who will be on the Democrat Party ticket come this November"
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Donald Trump is predicted to declare himself the 'crypto president' and appeal to crypto voters.
"Trump has taken another look at the crypto vote and spotted an open goal and now he's claiming that he will be quote the crypto president"
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Joe Biden's chances of being the Democratic nominee fell significantly after the debate and remain volatile, with pressure for him to withdraw.
"Biden's performance caused his odds on poly Market to fall off a cliff after bottoming around 35% they've recovered to around 54% but remain volatile amid the mounting pressure for Biden to walk away"
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Democrats are predicted to adopt a more favorable stance on crypto due to the Republican platform and Trump's messaging.
"Democrats have any sense they'll be scrambling to put together a softer message on crypto in response"
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Kamala Harris is the current favorite on prediction markets to be the Democratic nominee if Joe Biden steps down.
"if Biden does step down poly Market has Kamala Harris as the favorite with 32 2% odds"
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The Democratic party's messaging on crypto will be shaped by the nominee chosen at their August convention.
"The content of that message will depend on who becomes the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in August"
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Michelle Obama is considered a contender for the Democratic nomination with a 6% chance on prediction markets.
"the closest candidate is Michelle Obama Who currently has a 6% chance of becoming the nominee according to poly Market"
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A significant amount of money is being wagered on prediction markets regarding the Democratic Party ticket for the upcoming election.
"poly market users have wagered over $100 million on who will be on the Democrat Party ticket come this November"
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Gavin Newsom has a 3% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee, and Hillary Clinton has a 1% chance.
"Gavin Nome and Hillary Clinton are trailing Obama with 3% and 1% odds respectively"
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Joe Biden's chances of being the Democratic nominee have significantly decreased and remain volatile following the debate.
"Biden's performance caused his odds on poly Market to fall off a cliff after bottoming around 35% they've recovered to around 54% but remain volatile amid the mounting pressure for Biden to walk away"
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Hillary Clinton's last public comments on crypto were in 2021, where she expressed concerns about its potential for destabilization.
"Clinton last publicly voiced her opinion of crypto in 2021 at a panel discussion in Singapore"
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If Joe Biden withdraws, Kamala Harris is predicted to be the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination.
"If Biden does step down poly Market has Kamala Harris as the favorite with 32.2% odds"
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If Joe Biden resigns, Kamala Harris will likely become president before the election, allowing the public to become familiar with her presidency.
"if Biden is to exit sooner rather than later then the public will get to know president Kamala Harris before the election takes place"
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Gavin Newsom is actively involved in Joe Biden's re-election campaign.
"Gavin nusum is the co-chair of President Biden's re-election Campaign Committee"
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Gavin Newsom signed legislation in September 2022 to allow Californians to receive state records via blockchain.
"Nome passed legislation implementing the kind of Public Service blockchain application that Hillary Clinton once vaguely invoked the law in question was signed by Nome in September 2022 and enables Californians to receive State records like birth marriage and death certificates via blockchain"
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If Kamala Harris becomes president due to Biden stepping down, she is predicted to secure the Democratic nomination.
"if this happens it's hard to imagine that Harris wouldn't also take the nomination at the Democratic National Convention in August"
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Michelle Obama is currently considered the second most likely candidate for the Democratic nomination, with a 6% chance.
"the closest candidate is Michelle Obama Who currently has a 6% chance of becoming the nominee according to poly Market"
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Gavin Newsom vetoed a crypto regulation bill, deeming it premature pending federal action and his own research.
"Nome ended up vetoing this bill on the grounds that it would be quote premature to lock a licensing structure in statute without taking into account both the research conducted under his own executive order and quote forthcoming Federal actions"
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Michelle Obama polls significantly better than other Democrats and Donald Trump in a hypothetical election scenario.
"Michelle Obama came out Head and Shoulders above every other Democrat in a hypothetical election showdown between various Democrats and Donald Trump, with 50% versus Trump's 39%"
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Gavin Newsom and Hillary Clinton have low probabilities (3% and 1% respectively) of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"Gavin Nome and Hillary Clinton are trailing Obama with 3% and 1% odds respectively"
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The combined chances of all other potential Democratic nominees, including Gretchen Whitmer, are equivalent to Michelle Obama's individual chances.
"The collective chances of anyone listed here including Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer are about the same as Michelle Obama's"
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Barack Obama's 2015 executive order allowed for the confiscation of digital assets in national emergencies without prior notice.
"in 2015 he [Barack Obama] did sign an executive order that declared the quote increasing prevalence and severity of malicious cyber enabled activities to be a national emergency and empowered the government to confiscate digital assets without quote prior notice of a listing or determination"
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Gretchen Whitmer publicly supported Biden's re-election but directed donations to her own PAC.
"she [Gretchen Whitmer] tweeted her support for Joe Biden's re-election and in the same post dropped a donation link to her own political action committee rather than Biden's re-election campaign"
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Despite explicit denials, prediction markets still favor Michelle Obama as a strong contender for the Democratic nomination.
"Michelle Obama she has explicitly ruled out running for president and yet the market has her as the strongest Contender behind vice president Harris"
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Kamala Harris has a 32% chance of securing the Democratic nomination, while Joe Biden has 54%.
"poly Market shows a 32% chance of her taking the Democratic nomination this year versus Joe Biden's 54%"
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The speaker emphasizes the uncertainty of the upcoming presidential election, with multiple potential outcomes regarding Biden's candidacy and replacement.
"Anything could happen between now and then so whether Biden can cling on or if he's replaced by another Democrat Challenger we'd better be prepared for every possible outcome"
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Hillary Clinton has a 1% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"Hillary Clinton back in 2016 a 1% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee"
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Kamala Harris cultivated strong relationships with Big Tech in Silicon Valley, which contributed to her political rise.
"her [Kamala Harris's] deep ties to Silicon Valley in the 2010s Harris courted the support of big Tech and rode it all the way a victory in California state elections to become Attorney General and then Senator"
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Gavin Newsom has a 3% chance of securing the Democratic nomination.
"California governor Gavin Nusum who the market thinks has a 3% chance of stealing the nomination among Democrats"
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Kamala Harris adopted a less confrontational approach towards major tech companies during her tenure as California's Attorney General.
"quote Miss Harris rarely challenged the major tech companies after she became California's Attorney General"
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President Biden expressed high praise for Gavin Newsom, suggesting he could potentially take over presidential duties.
"Biden himself remarked 'he's been one hell of a governor man matter of fact he could be anything he wants he could have the job I'm looking for'"
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Kamala Harris may be influenced by crypto industry donations, potentially leading to a less hostile administration towards crypto, including appointments to regulatory bodies.
"if Harris does end up running for president then a donation here and there from the us crypto industry probably wouldn't hurt she seems pretty pliable and if wealthy donors can influence her appointments at the SEC Federal Reserve Treasury cftc and so on then at the very least we could probably look forward to a less hostile Administration should she get the Democrat nomination and win the election"
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Gavin Newsom's increasing media presence suggests he should be monitored for his future statements on cryptocurrency.
"if Nome continues to court media attention then we should probably keep an eye on him and what he has to say about crypto"
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Joe Biden is reportedly unwilling to step down from his presidential campaign and his cognitive abilities are perceived as unlikely to improve.
"Biden is refusing to budge love him or loathe him Biden is not going to become any more Lucid anytime soon"
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Gavin Newsom has a 97% chance of *not* being the Democratic nominee.
"at the moment the markets are saying there is a 97% chance that he will not be the nominee this year"
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Gavin Newsom is considered the most promising potential replacement for Biden due to his perceived attention and receptiveness to the crypto industry.
"our best hope for a Biden replacement is probably Gavin Nome purely because he seems to be paying attention and receptive to the crypto industry"
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Prediction markets suggest Kamala Harris has a lower chance of defeating Donald Trump than Michelle Obama, who has expressed no interest in running.
"if those prediction markets are to be believed Harris's chances of beating Trump are Slimmer than even those of a former first lady who's been out of office for eight years and apparently wants nothing to do with this election anyway"
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Michelle Obama has a 6% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"Michelle Obama with a 6% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee this year"
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In a hypothetical election, Michelle Obama polls significantly better against Donald Trump than other potential Democratic candidates.
"Michelle Obama came out Head and Shoulders above every other Democrat... with 50% versus Trump's 39%"
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Joe Biden's administration has been detrimental to the crypto industry.
"Biden has proven that he is no friend to crypto"
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Any indication from Michelle Obama of considering a presidential run could drastically alter prediction market odds.
"if Obama so much as hints that she wants to throw her hat into the ring the the numbers on poly Market could change very quickly"
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The period of Barack Obama's presidency coincided with the nascent stages of cryptocurrency development.
"the Obama years coincided with the very earliest days of crypto"
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In 2016, President Obama voiced concerns about the potential for overly strong encryption to hinder law enforcement.
"in 2016 President Obama expressed concern about the implications of encryption becoming strong to the point of impenetrability"
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Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood that Michelle Obama intends to run for president.
"the markets highly doubt she even wants to to run for president"
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There is a 6% probability that a candidate categorized as 'other' will replace Joe Biden.
"the market says there is a 6% chance of someone in this category replacing Biden"
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Gretchen Whitmer's stance on crypto is largely unknown or unexpressed.
"Gretchen Whitmer looks to us like another relatively blank canvas"
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Kamala Harris has a 32% chance of securing the Democratic nomination, while Joe Biden has a 54% chance.
"poly Market shows a 32% chance of her taking the Democratic nomination this year versus Joe Biden's 54%"
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Kamala Harris has not established a clear record or public stance on cryptocurrency.
"Harris's record on crypto is basically non-existent"
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If Kamala Harris runs for president, donations from the US crypto industry could be beneficial for her campaign.
"if Harris does end up running for president then a donation here and there from the us crypto industry probably wouldn't hurt"
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If wealthy donors can influence Kamala Harris's appointments to regulatory bodies, a future Harris administration might be less hostile to the crypto industry.
"if wealthy donors can influence her appointments at the SEC Federal Reserve Treasury cftc and so on then at the very least we could probably look forward to a less hostile Administration should she get the Democrat nomination and win the election"
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With less than a month until the Democratic National Convention, Joe Biden is still refusing to step down.
"at the time of making this video there's just over a month left until the Democratic National Convention and Biden is refusing to budge"
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The speaker expresses doubt about Joe Biden's cognitive abilities and believes the idea of him serving until 2028 is unrealistic.
"Biden is not going to become any more Lucid anytime soon and the notion that he will be mentally fit to run the United States until 2028 just seems kind of cruel"
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Gavin Newsom is considered the most hopeful candidate to replace Biden from a crypto industry perspective due to his apparent attention and receptiveness.
"our best hope for a Biden replacement is probably Gavin Newsom purely because he seems to be paying attention and receptive to the crypto industry"
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Despite potential, Gavin Newsom has low odds of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"at any rate the market markets are giving him pretty slim chances"
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Prediction markets suggest Kamala Harris has a lower chance of defeating Donald Trump than Michelle Obama, who is not actively seeking the nomination.
"if those prediction markets are to be believed Harris's chances of beating Trump are Slimmer than even those of a former first lady who's been out of office for eight years and apparently wants nothing to do with this election"
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Joe Biden is considered unfavorable to the crypto industry, while Kamala Harris's stance remains undetermined.
"Biden has proven that he is no friend to crypto and Harris well at least we can say that she has yet to show her hand"
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The speaker encourages viewers to engage with their content if they desire a pro-crypto president.
"if you're hoping for a pro crypto president as much as we are then go ahead and smash that like subscribe and notification Bell"
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