ilmscore | Crypto News: Satoshi Unmasked, XRP, EIGEN, China FOMO, Giveaway & More!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Prediction
Topic
Status
Market expectation shifted from a 50 basis point Fed cut to a 25 basis point cut in November, with another 25 basis point cut likely in December, based on recent labor data and the Fed Dot Plot.
"we can look at the CME fed watch tool our handy tool over there and you can see that last week we were expecting a 53% chance of a 50 basis point cut and uh since the labor numbers came out it's gone to 0% so it looks like all is set for a 25 basis point cut at least according to the Futures Market uh when it get to the November meeting U which probably means another 25 in December according to and that goes according to the FED Dot Plot which said another 50 basis points Accord for the rest of the year okay"
US Economy
Pending
Despite short-term rate cuts expected, medium to long-term US interest rates (5-10 years) are anticipated to rise in the coming years due to strong growth potentially leading to increased inflation.
"the long medium to long-term rates so 5 to 10 years have gone up... they're expecting potentially in the next few years the FED will have to increase interest rates again because the strong growth component will lead to potentially more inflation right"
US Interest Rates
Pending
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, through which 20-30% of global oil flows, could lead to significant disruptions in oil markets, causing oil rallies, supply shocks, and a resurgence of inflation.
"Iran could block The Straits of homus which is about 20 to 30% of global oil flows through there so um if that is the case then that could have a massive disruption to oil markets if oil rallies um you know leads to oil shock supply side shock inflation could start picking up again"
Geopolitical Risk and Oil Markets
Pending
A former Chinese finance minister has urged the government to study cryptocurrency developments, indicating a potential shift in China's stance as it seeks not to fall behind the US in embracing digital assets.
"a former finance minister was urging Chinese governments the Chinese government to do studies on crypto... because the US is embracing it that China doesn't want to fall behind"
China's Stance on Crypto
Pending
An HBO documentary, sensationalized by a Politico article, is rumored to be revealing the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto.
"an HBO documentary has uncovered a new satosi... this Politico article then uh then is published saying that it is going to identify Satoshi"
Satoshi Nakamoto Identity
Pending
Approximately one in eight cryptocurrency owners reside in US battleground states, representing a significant voting bloc that could influence presidential election outcomes decided by narrow margins.
"One in eight crypto owners live in a Battleground State including 1.4 million crypto owners here in Pennsylvania when you have a presidential race that will be decided by raise Ain margins this is a voting block that's set to tip the scales"
US Elections and Crypto Owners
Pending
Thursday of the upcoming week is a critical day for US macro data, with the release of initial jobless claims and US CPI numbers.
"Thursday is a very big day because that's when two of the most important macro data points land for this month... initial jobless claims... and then of course just after that we have the US CPI numbers"
US Macro Data Points
Pending
The median expectation for US CPI is 2.3%, but it could surprise to the downside, similar to recent PCE numbers, indicating a potential trend of lower inflation.
"US CPI numbers previous was 2.5% the Medan expectation for this month is 2.3 or previous month is 2.3% and I think it could potentially also surprise us because remember the pce numbers uh came out two weeks ago and that was a surprise to the downside so already the market is expecting trending lower"
US Inflation (CPI)
Pending