Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
Trump's new tariff regime will shrink US GDP by more than 1% and push up CPI by around 0.5%.
"Bloomberg economics estimates that Trump's new tariff regime will shrink US GDP by more than 1% and push up CP High by around half a percentage Point"
US GDP
Pending
The US will face a modest stagflationary shock, with economic output falling and price pressures rising.
"according to One Wells Fargo Economist the US will face a quote modest stagflationary shock meaning that economic output would take a tumble while price pressures would rise"
US Economy / Stagflation
Pending
Political interference in Central Bank policy will tend to increase inflation.
"history suggests that Central Bank Independence is associated with lower inflation while political interference in Central Bank policy tends to increase it"
Inflation / Central Bank Independence
Pending
Mass deportations, without immediate replacement of migrant workers, could cause US GDP to decline by up to 6.8%.
"unless the 13 million plus Deportes are immediately replaced by new migrants the loss of workers across us Industries could devastate the economy causing US GDP to decline by up to 6.8% per the AIC"
US GDP / Mass Deportation
Pending
Mass deportations leading to wage increases in certain industries would result in more tax revenue, potentially offsetting losses from tax cuts and tariffs.
"The Silver Lining is that this would result in more tax revenue overall which could make up for any losses coming from tax cuts and tariffs"
Tax Revenue / Mass Deportation
Pending
The US-China trade war is going to be ratcheted up.
"If anything is certain it's that the US China trade war is going to be ratcheted up"
US-China Trade War
Pending
Trump's administration will be bullish for the crypto market.
"there's no denying he's going to be damn bullish for the crypto market"
Crypto Market
Pending