ilmscore | Why Banks Are Getting Worried

Why Banks Are Getting Worried

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker predicts an ongoing rise in defaults within the commercial real estate sector.
"we've been seeing a rise in potential commercial real estate defaults and also AR rise in corporate defaults as well."
Commercial Real Estate Defaults
Pending
The speaker predicts an ongoing rise in defaults within the corporate sector.
"and also AR rise in corporate defaults as well."
Corporate Defaults
Pending
A significant portion of commercial real estate debt is expected to readjust to higher interest rates.
"well now what we're seeing is a huge chunk of people that are starting to see these debts readjust"
Commercial Real Estate Debt Maturation
Pending
A significant portion of corporate debt is expected to readjust to higher interest rates.
"well now what we're seeing is a huge chunk of people that are starting to see these debts readjust"
Corporate Debt Maturation
Pending
Commercial real estate values are predicted to decline, with a specific example showing a building's value dropping significantly due to higher cap rates.
"well now if somebody needs a 6% return that means now that this building isn't worth their $1 million is worth less but I'm going to for the sake of this example say that it's worth $11 million so let's assume now that this building is only worth $11 million"
Commercial Real Estate Value Decline
Pending
The speaker anticipates an increase in commercial real estate foreclosures.
"we've been seeing more and more commercial real estate enter foreclosure because of this"
Commercial Real Estate Foreclosures
Pending
The Federal Reserve has indicated they will begin cutting interest rates in September (of the current year, 2024).
"they themselves said that they're going to start cutting interest rates in September"
Interest Rate Cuts by Federal Reserve
Pending
Wall Street predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 1% by the end of the year (2024).
"you have Wall Street that says that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to cut interest rates by 1% by the end of the year"
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
The speaker predicts a future characterized by significant market and economic volatility, including both growth and decline.
"we're going to see craziness we're going to see markets go up we're going to see markets go down we're going to see booms we're going to see bust we're going to see the economy grow we're going to see the economy crash"
Market Volatility
Pending
US manufacturing has been in decline for four consecutive months (as of the time of the transcript).
"Manufacturing in the United States shrank for four straight months"
Manufacturing Sector Performance
Pending