Should You Buy Stocks Now At An All Time High?
Published: 2024-11-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-11-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The stock market has historically fallen in the year after an election only once since 1944, which was in 2001 after the 2000 election.
"what we found in our research is that the year after an election between 1944 to 2020 the only time we saw the stock market Fall the year after an election was after the 2000 election when the stock market fell in 2001"
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The largest year-over-year stock market gain after an election occurred in 1997, following the 1996 election, with a 31% increase.
"the biggest year for the stock market after an election was after the 1996 election when the stock market Rose by 31% in 1997"
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Government spending, constituting 22-29% of GDP, means the President can significantly influence specific economic sectors through contract awards and investment decisions.
"our government spends about 22 to 29% of our GDP so if government spending is making the largest portion of our GDP about a quarter of our GDP that means that the person who is in the White House can impact certain parts of the economy depending on who the person in the White House wants to give contracts to and wants to invest in"
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Potential industries to see increased investment and deregulation under a Trump presidency include oil and gas, financial services, military, private prisons (due to immigration policies), and space exploration.
"Donald Trump has talked about deregulating and investing in the oil and gas industry he's talked about deregulating and investing in the financial services industry he's talked about investing in the military he's talked about deporting many illegal immigrants which is good for private prisons and he's also talked about investing in space exploration"
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Historically, the stock market has grown by approximately 10% annually over the past century.
"the stock market we know historically has grown by around 10% a year for the last century"
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The economy experiences recessions and market crashes approximately every decade, a trend that has persisted for the last century.
"our economy goes up and down we have seen a recession pretty much every decade for the last century period along with those recessions have come Market crashes which have come decade after decade after decade"
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Despite recessions and market crashes, the stock market has shown overall growth in the long term.
"despite these Market crashes despite the recessions the markets have still gone up over the long term"
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Individual companies can go bankrupt, and investors who lack proper analysis skills or the psychological fortitude to hold investments may lose money.
"some companies have gone bankrupt and if you don't know how to analyze your investment or if you don't have the psychology to hold that investment then you're going to be the person that's paying for somebody else's profits"
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A 'market shift' represents an opportunity to identify assets that are undervalued today but are expected to increase in value in the future.
"what I call Market shifts a market shift is now an opportunity where I think there's opportunity in the future to buy this thing today"
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The President's control or influence over government spending can directly benefit specific industries, sectors, and stocks.
"the person in the White House can control a big chunk of spending or they can help influence that big chunk of spending which can help certain industries certain sectors and certain stocks"
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Donald Trump plans to deregulate the oil and gas industry.
"Trump wants to deregulate oil and gas"
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Recessions can negatively impact companies, regardless of industry deregulation or investment.
"we might even end up seeing a recession and these things can hurt the companies"
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The speaker prioritizes real estate investments primarily for their cash flow generation.
"that's why real estate is the largest asset outside of my business in my Investment Portfolio because when I invest in real estate I'm investing for the cash flow"
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Active investment in individual companies is pursued for both potential growth and, in some cases, cash flow.
"when I'm investing here actively into companies it's for growth and sometimes cash flow as well"
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The ease with which some brokerages allow trading on margin (using debt) poses significant risks for inexperienced investors.
"many brokerages make it very easy for you to invest or trade on margin meaning with debt so if you don't know what you're doing that's a problem"
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Traditional financial media often profits by generating emotional responses from audiences, promoting either extreme optimism ('to the moon') or extreme pessimism ('crash').
"the traditional Financial media companies are in the business of selling clicks they want to sell you emotion they want to tell you that the stock is going to go to the moon or the stock is going to crash"
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Financial companies generate revenue by exploiting emotions like greed and fear to drive audience engagement.
"many companies profit by selling you this greed or this Doom and Gloom because that's what's going to get you to click"
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Historical data shows that the stock market has consistently risen over the long term, even in the face of market crashes and recessions.
"history and once you understand history now we know that despite Market crashes despite recessions markets have still gone up"
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When investing in individual stocks at all-time highs, investors need a compelling reason, such as a unique proposition or a significant market shift, to justify the purchase and expect continued growth.
"if you're investing in individual companies then maybe you need a real reason to buy a stock at an all-time high you have to understand what is that shift what is their unique proposition for next year the year after that and the year after that to allow them to keep Rising"
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The IRS has announced the new tax brackets for the year 2025.
"the IRS just released their new tax brackets for 2025"
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