ilmscore | The Market Is Soaring Again - Here’s the Truth Behind the Rally

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Federal Reserve officials anticipate gradually cutting interest rates if inflation continues to decline sustainably to 2% and the economy maintains near maximum employment. A significant job market collapse is not expected to deter these rate cuts.
""participants, meaning the Federal Reserve Bank officials, anticipated that if the data came in about as expected, with inflation continuing to move down sustainably to 2%" and the economy remaining near maximum employment, it would likely be appropriate to move gradually to a more neutral stance of policy over time. ... and as long as we don't see a major collapse in the job market, well, then you can expect the Fed to keep cutting interest rates.""
Interest Rates
Pending
Donald Trump intends to implement a 25% tax on products from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China as an early executive action.
"Trump also gave a statement where he said uh that he wants to impose a 25% tax on all products that are entering the United States from Canada and Mexico and an additional 10% tariffs on all goods from China as one of his first executive orders."
Trump Tariffs
Pending
Consumer confidence reached a two-year high in November, indicating a positive sentiment about the economy.
"consumer confidence continued to improve in November and reached the top of the range that has prevailed over the last two years."
Consumer Confidence
Pending
New home sales have declined to their lowest level in two years.
"housing sales have fallen to the lowest point that we have seen in two years."
Housing Market
Pending
The inventory of homes for sale is increasing as properties remain on the market for longer periods.
"we have seen inventory of homes rising. ... homes are staying on the market for longer. ... we are seeing a larger inventory of homes that are available for sale."
Housing Market Inventory
Pending
As homes stay on the market longer, buyers are likely to see more price reductions and gain greater negotiating power.
"when homes are staying on the market for a little bit longer, that's when you start to see more price cuts and that's when you start to see more negotiation ability."
Housing Market Negotiation Power
Pending
Donald Trump is expected to pressure the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which in turn should lead to lower mortgage rates.
"Trump wants to cut interest rates. He wants to cut mortgage rates. Although he doesn't have that direct power, we can bet that he's going to put pressure on the Federal Reserve Bank to cut interest rates. He's going to put pressure into the mortgage market to get lower mortgage rates out there."
Mortgage Rates
Pending
A decrease in mortgage rates may encourage more homeowners to sell their properties.
"Maybe lower mortgage rates could entice more sellers to leave or refinance which could help the mortgage lenders."
Housing Market Sellers
Pending
Over the long term, stocks, real estate, and starting a business have historically been the most significant asset classes for wealth creation.
"over the long term it has been one of the biggest wealth buildinging asset classes out there. I mean stocks, real estate and starting a business are the three asset classes that have built more wealth than anything else over the last century."
Stock Market Performance
Pending