Inflation Isn’t Over: Why 2025 Could See Rising Prices Again
Published: 2025-01-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-01-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Inflation concerns are expected to persist.
"it doesn't look like the inflation worries are going away anytime soon"
Pending
Concerns about inflation are increasing in 2025.
"people are starting to get more concerned about inflation in 2025"
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US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen admitted that COVID stimulus measures may have contributed to inflation.
"Janet Yellen who is a treasury secretary in the United States finally said that maybe the covid stimulus measures that they passed might have contributed a little bit to our inflation problem"
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Rising treasury yields will lead to more expensive mortgages and car loans due to increased interest rates.
"when you hear the news that treasury yields are going up what that means in real terms is that means getting a mortgage is going to become more expensive that means getting a car loan gets more expensive because as treasury yields go up interest rates on debt also go up"
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Persistent inflation is a result of past actions.
"sticky inflation problem isn't going away because of things we've done in the past"
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Concerns exist that government spending and potential Trump policies could exacerbate inflation.
"worries about government spending and worries about potential Trump policies that could make the inflation problem worse"
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Inflation fell to approximately 2.4% in September of the previous year (2024).
"last year we got the news in September that inflation has finally Fallen to around 2.4%"
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Inflation increased to approximately 2.6% in October of the previous year (2024).
"in October we got the unfortunate news that inflation actually went up to around 2.6%"
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Inflation rose again to approximately 2.7% in November of the previous year (2024).
"in November we got the news that inflation went up again to around 2.7%"
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The US government incurred the third-largest national deficit in history in 2024, spending more than it had.
"the United States government had the third largest national deficit in history that means in 2024 the United States government spent a lot of money that they didn't have"
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Government spending without sufficient funds may be worsening the inflation problem.
"maybe all this government spending when we don't have the money to spend could be making the inflation problem worse"
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Government spending is unlikely to be reduced in the near future.
"it doesn't look like despite all this news that the government's going to be cutting down spending anytime soon"
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Continued government deficit spending is a potential source of further inflationary concerns.
"the concern is that maybe government spending is going to continue running in the deficit which could create more inflationary concerns"
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The Federal Reserve Bank noted stronger inflation readings and potential impacts from changes in trade and immigration policies.
"Federal Reserve Bank cited recent stronger than expected readings on inflation and the likely effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy"
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There are concerns about potential trade changes, specifically tariffs.
"what they're saying is they're concerned about trade changes maybe potential tariffs"
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Changes in immigration policy, such as deportations, could potentially impact inflation.
"changes to immigration policy maybe deporting millions of immigrants and how those things could potentially create an impact on inflation"
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Potential policy changes could worsen inflation.
"they're saying that it could make inflation worse"
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The Federal Reserve Bank plans to cut interest rates only twice in 2025 due to inflation concerns.
"the Federal Reserve Bank says that because they're worried about inflation that they're only going to cut interest rates two times in 2025"
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Interest rate cuts will be less aggressive.
"now they're now going to be cutting interest rates less aggressively"
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Some predict that new tariffs will significantly worsen inflation.
"some people are saying that these tariffs are going to make the inflationary problems much worse"
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Others believe tariffs will not exacerbate inflation problems.
"other people that are saying that the tariffs are not going to make the inflation problems worse"
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Inflation is expected to persist.
"it doesn't look like inflation is going away"
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The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation.
"inflation has happened the Federal Reserve Bank says that they want a 2% inflation Target"
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Inflation is proving stubborn and is expected to persist longer than anticipated.
"inflation is sticky it looks like inflation is going to be harder to bring down it looks like inflation is going to be around for a little bit longer than expected"
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Average incomes are unlikely to keep pace with the rising cost of living.
"the average income is probably not going to keep up with the cost of living"
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Grocery prices have risen approximately 20% since pre-pandemic times.
"grocery prices have increased around 20% since before the pandemic"
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Inflation negatively impacts salaried individuals but benefits investors.
"inflation disproportionately hurts the average person who relies on their salary but it disproportionately benefits the investor"
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Between 2019 and 2024, the stock market grew by approximately 80%, significantly outpacing the 20% rise in median income.
"between 2019 to 2024 those 5 years we saw the median income in America Rise by around 20% while the stock market grew by around 80%"
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President-elect Trump is set to implement broad tariffs starting in 2025.
"president-elect Trump has promised big blanket tariff starting in 2025"
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A goal is to repatriate manufacturing to the United States.
"he wants to bring manufacturing back to the United States"
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