The Fed Just Issued An Economic Warning
Published: 2025-03-04
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-03-04
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin was priced around $60,000 six months prior.
"6 months ago Bitcoin was at $60 some thousand a coin"
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The Atlanta Fed predicts the US economy will shrink in Q1 2025.
"the Atlanta fed just said that the United States economy is not expected to grow in the first quarter 2025 it's not expected to stay the same they are expecting our economy to shrink in the first quarter of 2025"
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Q1 2025 contraction would be the first since Q1 2022.
"this would be the first quarterly contraction for the United States economy since the first quarter of 2022"
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The stock market fell by approximately 20% in 2022.
"we also saw the stock market Fall by around 20% in 2022"
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The Federal Reserve Bank believes the US economy will shrink in Q1 2025 and throughout 2025.
"the Ben Reserve Bank put out essentially two sentences saying that we believe that the economy is going to shrink in the first quarter of 2025 and then they link to their chart showing that they believe that the economy is going to be shrinking in 2025"
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Imports soared in Q1 2025 as businesses preemptively bought goods to avoid anticipated tariffs from the Trump administration, negatively impacting GDP growth.
"Imports have soared in the first quarter of 2025 this is what market watch said Imports have soared as businesses moved to get ahead of higher costs from proposed tariffs from the Trump Administration this increase in imports subtracts from GDP growth"
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Businesses imported goods in Q1 2025 proactively due to concerns about potential tariffs.
"it looks like a lot of businesses were importing stuff into the United States in the first quarter of 2025 as a proactive measure being worried about tariffs"
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Concerns about the economy stem from changes related to tariffs, Doge, AI, reciprocal tariffs, cryptocurrency, and BRICS.
"the second part to this is people being worried because there's a lot of changes happening in our economy we have changes with tariffs we have changes with Doge we have changes with artificial intelligence we have changes with reciprocal tariffs we have changes with cryptocurrency and we would have changes with bricks"
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The stock market is experiencing significant volatility.
"we have been seeing a ton of volatility in the stock market"
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Cryptocurrency is experiencing significant volatility.
"we're missing a ton of volatility in cryptocurrency"
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Uncertainty negatively impacts the stock market.
"the stock market hates uncertainty"
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US government spending, funded by taxes and debt, stimulates the economy.
"the United States government has been spending money through our tax dollars and debt well that's good on one hand because it's been stimulating the economy"
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US national debt exceeds $36 trillion, with a $2 trillion deficit in 2024.
"we have $36 trillion of national debt actually more than that and we spent about $2 trillion more than what we generated in taxes in 2024"
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Deficit spending boosts the economy but contributes to inflation.
"deficit spending and this is good in the economy because it boosts the economy but it creates a problem and that problem is inflation"
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The stock market is sensitive to uncertainty.
"like I said a few minutes ago the stock market hates uncertainty"
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Gold prices are experiencing a boom.
"you might have seen gold prices they've been booming"
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While not always correlated, stock market downturns often coincide with economic downturns.
"just because you see a stock market downturn doesn't necessarily mean you're going to see a recession but they do often go hand inand when you see the economy go down you generally see the stock market go down"
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The stock market reached new highs by the end of 2020 despite a recession.
"in 2020 we were in a recession supposedly the worst recession since the Great Depression yet the stock market was breaking a new record high by the end of 2020"
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A significant stock market downturn last occurred after the 2008 recession.
"the last time we really saw a true painful downturn was after the 2008 recession"
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Recessions are a normal part of the economy and individuals should prepare for them.
"recessions are a part of our economy you got to be prepared for them"
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Small market fluctuations are a normal aspect of market behavior.
"we see these small moves in the market but that's a part of the market"
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Bitcoin experienced a boom in early 2025 due to excitement about potential US policies making it the crypto capital.
"Bitcoin was booming in the early parts of 2025 because everybody was excited on this idea that Trump is going to make the United States the crypto capital of the world"
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Crypto prices fell significantly in recent weeks, causing panic.
"over the last few weeks we saw crypto prices fall now a lot of people panicked about crypto prices going from hundred some thousand dollar a coin to below $8,000 a coin"
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Cryptocurrency is highly speculative and prone to rapid price fluctuations and crashes.
"cryptocurrency is extremely extremely speculative and that's what you have to remember if you remember if you're investing in speculative assets that they move up and down very fast they can crash just as fast as it booms"
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Following Trump's announcement of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve including XRP and Solana, crypto prices surged.
"Trump put out a message saying that now he wants to create a strategic cryptocurrency reserve and he named off a few cryptocurrencies like xrp and Solana and after that we saw crypto prices boom again"
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The timing of the next recession is unknown, but preparation allows for capitalizing on the opportunity when it occurs.
"we don't know when the next recession is going to happen you want to be prepared so when it happens not if but when it happens you can capitalize on that opportunity"
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